ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 6 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $340.00 to $352.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $338.03: no directional call. Score 52.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market data from NASDAQ (via Google Finance and StockAnalysis) shows Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) trading at $345.71 at 17:45 UTC (13:45 EDT) on October 15, 2026. The stock is up +$2.06 (+0.60%) from yesterday's close of $343.65, recovering…
Forecast made : expected range $342.00 to $350.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $338.03: no directional call. Score 48.9.
(1) Market regime: Alphabet shares are consolidating after a sharp pullback from the mid-$350s, with the last completed session (Oct 14) closing at $343.65, down 1.68% on elevated volume. The broader megacap tech complex is mixed, and the stock is trading roughly in the middle of…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $350.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $338.03: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/goog/) at Oct 15 2026 1:07 PM EDT showed GOOG at 344.40 (+0.75 / +0.22%) with open 340.53, day range 336.82-348.40, previous close 343.65, volume ~6.26M; MarketWatch and TECHi…
Forecast made : expected range $334.00 to $353.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $338.03: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $337.50 to $351.20 at 38% confidence. Settled at $338.03: direction called correctly. Score 78.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Current quote for GOOG at window start from Finnhub via search result shows Current Price 345.16, Open 340.53, High 348.3982, Low 336.82, Previous Close 343.65. Second source on Oct 15 shows GOOG trading at $344.94 on NASDAQ as of Oct 15 10:00 AM…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $350.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $338.03: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) Daily OHLCV: The last five completed Nasdaq sessions for GOOG, oldest to newest, were: 2026-10-08 open $349.65, high $353.53, low $343.51, close $344.86, volume 13,986,970; 2026-10-09 open $348.00, high $351.06, low $346.88, close $347.86, volume 11,142,890; 2026-10-12 open…
Forecast made : expected range $211.00 to $225.00 at 73% confidence. Settled at $215.39: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What you found, and where: As of October 15, 2026, at 17:50 UTC (13:50 EDT), live market data from NASDAQ (via Google Finance and QuoteMedia) shows NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) trading at $217.95. The stock is down -$3.35 (-1.51%) relative to yesterday's close of $221.30, but…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $222.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $215.39: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found and where: NVDA closed at $221.30 on Oct 14, 2026, down 3.16% on the session, according to Yahoo Finance historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history/) and cnyes.com (https://invest.cnyes.com/usstock/detail/NVDA). The decline was driven by a…
Forecast made : expected range $210.00 to $223.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $215.39: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Current price and data access: NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) was quoted at $217.29 at 2026-10-15T13:20:00-04:00 (17:20 UTC), down 1.81% from the previous close of $221.30. The source labels this a real-time regular-session quote, although its displayed timestamp has only minute…
Forecast made : expected range $209.50 to $224.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $215.39: direction called correctly. Score 78.6.
(1) What I found: NVDA was trading at $217.10 at 12:56 PM EDT on October 15, 2026, down 1.90% on the session, according to CNBC's real-time Nasdaq quote. The intraday range was $212.85-$218.05, with open $215.30, prior close $221.30, and reported volume of 69.19 million shares.…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $221.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $215.39: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote of $217.35 at approximately 13:20 EDT on 2026-10-15 from stockanalysis.com (NASDAQ regular session, open 215.30, day range 212.85-218.05, volume ~77.8M partial). Prior close 221.30 on 2026-10-14. Sources:…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $221.50 at 54% confidence. Settled at $215.39: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live intraday quote $217.89 on Oct 15 2026 12:02 PM EDT market open from stockanalysis.com, with delayed quote $217.35 at 11:15 AM EDT from TECHi/Yahoo Finance and $216.48 at 10:51 AM EDT from Fool.com. Prior close $221.30 on Oct 14…
Forecast made : expected range $80,500.00 to $84,000.00 at 74% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market data from MEXC, Coinbase, and Google Finance shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading at $82,252 as of October 15, 2026, at 17:15 UTC. BTC experienced an early session dip to $80,095 before staging a strong intraday recovery back above $82,000.…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $83,700.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: direction called correctly. Score 80.9.
(1) Market regime: BTC is in a corrective phase within a broader range. After peaking at $87,146 on Oct 2, it has made lower highs and is now testing the $80,000 support for the third time in four weeks. The macro backdrop is hostile: September CPI (Oct 14) at 3.7% y/y and PPI…
Forecast made : expected range $79,800.00 to $83,800.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: direction called correctly. Score 79.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes near Window Starts from Yahoo Finance (BTC-USD at ~$82,135.93 as of 2026-10-15 17:12 UTC, day's range $79,789-$82,463) and CoinDesk (~$82,121). Daily OHLCV from Yahoo Finance (UTC daily candles, USD, volume in USD turnover): 2026-10-10 O…
Forecast made : expected range $78,800.00 to $83,400.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: direction called incorrectly. Score 22.2.
(1) What I found: Bitcoin was trading near $81,000 at the window start. CoinDesk reported BTC at $80,983.62 at 15:15 UTC on 2026-10-15 (https://www.coindesk.com/daybook-us/2026/10/15/bitcoin-copper-stocks-yields-all-fall-gold-rises), while other same-day reports placed it around…
Forecast made : expected range $79,000.00 to $83,700.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Market data and source: Coinbase BTC/USD was quoted at $81,966.63 at 2026-10-15T17:04:22Z, approximately 8.5 minutes before the authoritative forecast start of 2026-10-15T17:12:53.714Z. This is the latest verified pre-window quote used for the forecast, not an exact…
Forecast made : expected range $79,500.00 to $83,000.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $81,082.08: no directional call. Score 45.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quotes for Oct 15 2026: Finnhub via search result shows Current Price $82,188 with High $82,631 Low $79,800 Open $82,010.45, CoinDesk summary reports Bitcoin fell below $81,000 after hotter-than-expected US inflation revived Fed hike…
Forecast made : expected range $526.00 to $545.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $540.20: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) Latest quote and intraday path: MSFT was $535.12 at 1:46:37 PM EDT on 2026-10-14, a regular-session NASDAQ quote, down 1.53% from the prior close of $543.45; source: https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/MSFT. The session opened at $545.15 and had traded between $534.92 and…
Forecast made : expected range $528.00 to $552.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $540.20: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Latest price and intraday context: The most recent verifiable quote is $538.97 as of 10:40 AM ET on 2026-10-14 from Charles Schwab (https://www.schwab.wallst.com/schwab/Prospect/research/stocks/news.asp?symbol=MSFT). This is a delayed regular-session quote, down $4.48…
Forecast made : expected range $524.00 to $544.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $540.20: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Current price and intraday evidence: Stock Analysis reported MSFT at $535.39 on October 14, 2026, at 13:43 EDT (2026-10-14T17:43:00Z), down 1.48% from the October 13 close of $543.45. Source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/. This is a regular-session quote…
Forecast made : expected range $528.00 to $542.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $540.20: no directional call. Score 53.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com (Oct 14 2026 1:43 PM EDT market open) show MSFT at 535.39, down 8.06 (-1.48%) from prior close 543.45; open 545.27, day range 535.16-545.75, volume ~9.5M (partial). Confirmed across CNBC, Morningstar, Markets…
Forecast made : expected range $531.00 to $541.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $540.20: no directional call. Score 54.7.
(1) Daily OHLCV: 2026-10-07: open $528.10, high $531.50, low $526.20, close $529.80, volume 21,450,000 2026-10-08: open $530.00, high $536.20, low $528.90, close $534.10, volume 23,100,000 2026-10-09: open $533.50, high $538.00, low $532.10, close $535.07, volume 22,800,000…
Forecast made : expected range $528.00 to $543.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $540.20: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Intraday quote $535.25 down -8.20 (-1.51%) as of Oct 14 1:55 PM EDT from MarketMinute historical page https://kqtv.marketminute.com/quote/NQ:MSFT/historical, confirmed by TECHi quote $535.08 at 1:41 PM EDT from https://www.techi.com/quote/MSFT/…
Forecast made : expected range $338.00 to $352.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.
(1) Latest quote and intraday path: GOOG was $344.39 at 1:35 PM EDT on 2026-10-14, down $5.13 or 1.47% from the October 13 close of $349.52; source: https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/GOOG/news/. This is a regular-session NASDAQ quote taken 13 minutes before the 1:48 PM EDT…
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