GOOG 1-day forecast by Gemini 3 Flash
Gemini 3 Flash's 1-day forecast for GOOG, made 2026-10-14: expected range $340.00 to $350.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $346.38: direction called correctly, score 81.8.
| Asset | GOOG |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 3 Flash |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $344.37 |
| Price the model reported | $344.30 |
| Expected range | $340.00 to $350.00 |
| Confidence | 68% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $346.38 |
| Traded range in the window | $336.82 to $348.40 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 81.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Data sources and conventions: Intraday market data retrieved from NASDAQ real-time feed via standard market data endpoints at https://www.nasdaq.com. All prices in USD and stock split-adjusted where applicable; volume reported in base equity share units. Completed daily session OHLCV data obtained from exchange history feeds.
(2) Daily OHLCV (last 5 completed daily bars): 2026-10-07 Open $344.59 High $348.50 Low $343.80 Close $347.37 Volume 18,250,000; 2026-10-08 Open $347.37 High $348.00 Low $343.50 Close $344.86 Volume 19,100,000; 2026-10-09 Open $344.86 High $349.50 Low $344.00 Close $347.86 Volume 17,800,000; 2026-10-12 Open $347.86 High $350.20 Low $346.50 Close $348.97 Volume 16,900,000; 2026-10-13 Open $348.97 High $351.00 Low $347.20 Close $349.52 Volume 17,400,000.
(3) Context: return_5d_pct is +1.63% (comparing $349.52 close on 2026-10-13 with $343.83 close on 2026-10-05). Over the last 20 completed sessions, high_20d is $355.25 and low_20d is $334.93, with avg_volume_20d sitting at approximately 18,500,000 shares.
(4) Intraday evidence at answering time (PARTIAL SESSION): latest_price is $344.30 as of quote_time 2026-10-14T17:47:31Z (13:47:31 EDT) sourced from NASDAQ via live financial feed. Prior close on 2026-10-13 was $349.52. Today's session open was $351.43, high_so_far $355.25, low_so_far $343.72, with cumulative volume of 8,003,707 shares. The stock surged early to $355.25 following analyst projected level upgrades (UBS raised target to $380) before seeing intraday profit taking and systematic selling that pulled it down -1.49% from prior close to $344.30.
(5) Catalyst assessment & market regime: Positive underlying fundamental news (UBS projected level bump to $380 citing AI growth and European DeepMind/Cloud rollouts) initially pushed the price to a 20-day high of $355.25. However, broader tech sector profit-taking and bond yield pressure created an intraday reversal. The move after $344.30 across the remaining 24-hour forecast window is expected to be neutral to slightly recovering, as key short-term support around $342-$344 holds.
(6) Counter-evidence & invalidation: Strongest counter-evidence against a consolidation/rebound is the persistent intraday downward momentum from the session high of $355.25 down to $343.72 on moderate volume, showing active distribution. Invalidation level: A sustained break below $340.00 on expanding volume would invalidate the neutral-to-bullish baseline and signal a deeper multi-day retracement toward $335. Confidence is set to 68% reflecting low volatility and typical intraday rangebound behavior over a short 1-day forecast horizon.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $340.00 to $350.50 | 58% | Direction called correctly | 80.6 |
| Grok 4.5 | $340.00 to $350.00 | 42% | Direction called correctly | 79.0 |
| GPT-6 | $336.00 to $350.00 | 56% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.3 |
| DeepSeek | $342.00 to $355.00 | 55% | Direction called correctly | 80.3 |
| Perplexity | $338.00 to $352.00 | 50% | Direction called correctly | 79.7 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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