ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 21 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $43.00 to $49.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.3.
(1) What I found: IonQ is trading at $45.90 as of 12:05 PM EDT on September 25, 2026, according to Yahoo Finance, up about 2% from the previous close of $44.98. Robinhood shows a similar quote of $45.91. The stock has a 52-week range of $25.89-$84.64 and a market cap near $18.6…
Forecast made : expected range $42.50 to $48.20 at 54% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called correctly. Score 64.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub IONQ quote Sep 25 shows current 45.67, open 44.7, high 46.36, low 44.12, previous close 44.98, 5-day +23.97%. American Market News Sep 25 notes gap up from 40.74 close to 45.84 open and last 42.9010 earlier. Archynetys Sep 25 07:04 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $43.50 to $47.50 at 60% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called correctly. Score 74.8.
(1) Data acquisition: Live pricing sourced via Google Search from financial platforms (https://investors.ionq.com/stock-info/default.aspx) shows IONQ trading at $45.75 as of 15:26 UTC on September 25, 2026. The stock has surged over 20% this week, breaking out from the $37 level…
Forecast made : expected range $40.00 to $48.50 at 50% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 21.0.
(1) What I found, and where: Robinhood (https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/IONQ/) shows IONQ on 2026-09-25 trading at $44.52 within a session range of $44.12-$45.51. Volume was 7.31M against a 25.59M average, which points to an early-session snapshot, and the 52-week range is…
Forecast made : expected range $42.50 to $47.50 at 40% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 9.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from StockAnalysis, Stocknear, StockMonitor, TECHi and Robinhood as of market hours 25 Sep 2026 place IONQ near $44.50-$45.50 (prev close $44.98, day range so far ~$44.12-$45.51). Technicals show RSI ~60, price above 50-day (~$39.60) and…
Forecast made : expected range $41.00 to $47.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 22.1.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $41.50 to $49.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $45.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 13.8.
(1) What I found: Investing.com showed IONQ trading in the mid-$44s on September 25, with its current-day historical row at approximately $44.69, an open near $44.58 and an intraday range around $44.23-$45.50. A separate Investing.com real-time snapshot earlier in the session…
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $165.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Multiple live quotes from TradeSmith ($148.94 at 11:44 AM EDT), StatMuse ($151.81), Barchart ($150.76 at 11:30 EDT), StockMarketWatch ($149.53 at 11:48 AM EDT), and others place SOXL near $149-$152 in midday trading on September 25, 2026 after…
Forecast made : expected range $99.00 to $118.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.1.
(1) What I found: SOXL is trading at $108.08 as of 10:05 AM EDT on September 25, 2026, per Yahoo Finance, up $5.76 or 5.63% from the previous close of $107.78 on September 24. The ETF has a 52-week range of roughly $25-$300. Recent news includes an 8-day, 53% run through late…
Forecast made : expected range $141.00 to $160.50 at 62% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called correctly. Score 77.6.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $138.00 to $164.50 at 50% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.2.
(1) What I found, and where: StockAnalysis (https://stockanalysis.com/etf/soxl/) quotes SOXL at 150.25, up 3.92 (+2.68%), at Sep 25, 2026, 10:48 AM EDT (14:48 UTC). Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/etfs/direxion-dly-semiconductor-bull-3x) has a snapshot dated Sep 25, 2026…
Forecast made : expected range $137.00 to $154.00 at 46% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 2.7.
(1) Market regime: SOXL is trading near $145.19 around the requested 15:24 UTC window. Current-session reporting shows a highly volatile range of approximately $135.75-$147.20, while the prior regular-session close was $146.33 after a $136.90-$147.20 range. (2) Technical…
Forecast made : expected range $146.00 to $156.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called correctly. Score 71.8.
(1) Live pricing sourced via Google Search from NASDAQ and financial data platforms shows SOXL trading near $151.44 as of 15:24 UTC on September 25, 2026, climbing over 3% on the session. (2) The current market regime for semiconductors remains in a structurally bullish but…
Forecast made : expected range $136.00 to $158.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $136.05: direction called incorrectly. Score 9.8.
(1) What I found: Investing.com reports SOXL at $146.33 on September 25, 2026, with a previous close near $146.25 and a displayed recent day range of roughly $136.90-$147.20. Because I could not verify an exchange-timestamped trade exactly at 15:24 UTC, I use $146.33 as the…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $777.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) What I found: SPY is trading at $769.49 as of 08:57 ET on September 25, 2026, according to a market data post on X (source: https://x.com/terra_blueocean/status/2103473975854825671). The ETF is up $2.31 or 0.30% from the prior close. Futunn shows a similar quote of $767.36 at…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $777.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 54.2.
(1) What you found, and where: SPY detailed data from FinancialContent shows price 769.96, open 766.25, 3M +25.57 (3.44%) as of Sep 25. Stocktwits SPY history shows Sep 24 close 769.11, Sep 23 774.61, Sep 22 774.72, Sep 21 765.35. Morningstar Data Talk reports S&P 500 rises 0.46%…
Forecast made : expected range $756.00 to $778.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) What I found, and where: Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/etfs/spdr-s-p-500) has a snapshot dated Sep 25, 2026 with SPY at 767.38 against a previous close of 767.81. It shows an intraday range of 763.25-768.95, a pre-market print of 764.41, and a 52-week range of…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $775.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 53.6.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $763.00 to $772.00 at 51% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) Market regime: SPY is trading near $767.77 around the requested 15:22 UTC window. Available September 25 intraday data places the ETF near $767-$768, while the prior regular-session close was reported at $767.18 after a September 24 range of $763.25-$768.95. (2) Technical…
Forecast made : expected range $766.00 to $772.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) Live pricing sourced via Google Search from TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AMEX-SPY/) and options data indicates SPY trading at $768.89 as of 15:20 UTC on September 25, 2026. (2) The current market regime remains structurally bullish, supported by cooling…
Forecast made : expected range $762.00 to $776.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a clean SPY trade timestamped exactly at the requested 2026-09-25 15:22 UTC baseline. Reuters reported at 9:59 a.m. ET that the S&P 500 was up 0.29% at 7,726.62; applying that same index move to SPY's verified September 24 close near $767.18…
Forecast made : expected range $505.00 to $525.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $509.77: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.2.
(1) What I found: Microsoft is trading at $513.77 as of 10:21 ET on September 25, 2026, according to Dow Jones Market Data (source: Morningstar, https://www.morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/202609253983/microsoft-on-track-for-highest-close-since-november-2025-data-talk). The stock…
Forecast made : expected range $498.00 to $526.00 at 64% confidence. Settled at $509.77: direction called correctly. Score 82.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub MSFT Sep 25 shows current 515.935, open 499.035, high 517.48, low 497.25, previous close 497.93, change +18.005 (+3.616%). MarketBeat Sep 25 notes MSFT opened at 497.93 Friday, 12-month low 349.20 high 553.72, 50-day MA 475.48, 200-day…
Forecast made : expected range $505.00 to $526.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $509.77: direction called correctly. Score 79.7.
(1) What I found, and where: StockAnalysis (https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/forecast/) is stamped Sep 25, 2026, 10:56 AM EDT (14:56 UTC), with the market open. It gives an average target of $576.4, 11.61% above current, and a low target of $440, 14.80% below current. Both…
Forecast made : expected range $502.00 to $525.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $509.77: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from CNBC, StockAnalysis, Motley Fool, TECHi and StockMonitor as of market hours 25 Sep 2026 show MSFT trading near $513-$516 (prev close $497.93, day range so far ~$497.25-$517.48, up ~3%). Technicals from TECHi, FXEmpire and Trendlyne…
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