ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 20 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $128.00 to $144.50 at 56% confidence. Settled at $151.79: no directional call. Score 13.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market data feeds indicate that the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) is trading sharply lower at $136.36 as of September 28, 2026, marking a significant near-term pullback from previous closing levels near $151.45 retrieved…
Forecast made : expected range $125.00 to $150.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $151.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 26.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote from Yahoo Finance as of approximately 11:05 AM EDT on 28 Sep 2026 shows SOXL at $137.03, down $14.42 (-9.52%) from the prior close of $151.45 (25 Sep). Session range so far is $135.21-$149.99. Historical closes (ChartExchange, FT.com,…
Forecast made : expected range $130.00 to $150.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $151.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 23.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live quote Sep 28 shows SOXL $136.42 current, open $148.14 high $149.99 low $135.212 previous close $151.45 down -9.92%. 5-day +10.31% and 1-month +22.53% and 6-month +192% per Finnhub, beta 5.93. Motley Fool most active lists $103.88 +1.52%…
Forecast made : expected range $134.00 to $153.00 at 28% confidence. Settled at $151.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.8.
(1) What I found: Investing.com shows SOXL at $151.45 as the latest regular-session close (Friday Sept 25; the page labels it 'as of Sep 27'), with a prior close of $146.33, a last pre-market print of $149.50 and after-hours of $151.75. I found no live SOXL quote at or after…
Forecast made : expected range $147.20 to $157.80 at 58% confidence. Settled at $151.79: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.2.
(1) Market regime: SOXL is trading near $151.45 as of September 28, 2026, up approximately +3.5% from the prior close ($146.33) on strong semiconductor sector momentum. The ETF gained +5.12 points on Friday, driven by AI chip strength (NVDA +0.22%, AMD +0.22%, AVGO +0.70%) and a…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $776.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $765.44: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What I found: I retrieved an intraday quote for SPY at $767.99 (Futunn, 2026-09-28), down from Friday's close of $771.35. Premarket trading showed $767.90 (TradingView, Sept 28), giving back Friday's reclaim of $770.09. The prior session (Sept 25) closed at $771.35, up 0.54%.…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $772.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $765.44: no directional call. Score 53.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote from Yahoo Finance as of approximately 11:12 AM EDT on 28 Sep 2026 shows SPY at $765.47, down $5.87 (-0.76%) from the prior close of $771.35 (25 Sep). Session range so far is $763.72-$768.59. Historical closes (Stocknear, FT.com,…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $775.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $765.44: no directional call. Score 54.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Stockscan.io reports SPY latest close Sep 28 2026 $767.71, all-time high $779.37 Aug 13 2026. Digrin shows September 2026 adjusted $771.36. Coinarbitragebot Sep 28 12:30 GMT reports $770.12. Algotradealert morning update Sep 28 notes S&P 500 futures…
Forecast made : expected range $762.50 to $772.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $765.44: no directional call. Score 55.0.
(1) Sources and findings: Live Google search structured data shows SPY trading at $767.73 as of 14:30 UTC on September 28, 2026. The ETF opened near $768.48 and has slightly declined intraday. Recent financial news indicates market breadth concerns as SPY nears its record highs.…
Forecast made : expected range $759.00 to $773.00 at 30% confidence. Settled at $765.44: direction called correctly. Score 78.1.
(1) What I found: I could not retrieve a live SPY quote stamped at or after 14:32 UTC; the most recent direct SPY prints I found were from late August and early September (769.35 on Aug 28 per Yahoo history, 765.96 on Sep 8 per Google Finance). Current index data: the S&P 500…
Forecast made : expected range $764.50 to $772.80 at 55% confidence. Settled at $765.44: no directional call. Score 54.7.
(1) Market regime: SPY is trading near $768.05 as of September 28, 2026, down approximately 0.3-0.5% intraday as U.S. stocks face pressure from rising Treasury yields (10-year above 5.1%) and rebounding crude oil prices. The S&P 500 futures are lower by ~0.4% in pre-market and…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $86,500.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What I found: Bitcoin is trading around $84,600-$85,000 on Sunday, September 27, 2026, according to CoinMarketCap and Investing.com data. The asset briefly topped $87,000 earlier in the week before pulling back. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded seven consecutive days of net…
Forecast made : expected range $83,200.00 to $86,500.00 at 56% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub via web search reports BTC Current Price $84,738.03 on Binance, Open $84,000 High $85,159 Low $83,838 as of Sep 27 2026. CoinCodex Sep 27 06:00 UTC notes BTC trading at $84,496 up 0.69% daily. Convex snapshot Sep 27 2026 shows $84,549.1.…
Forecast made : expected range $82,800.00 to $86,400.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) What I found, and where: Quotes retrieved for Sep 27 cluster between $84,300 and $84,900. CoinDesk (https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin) showed $84,602 at 2:25 am EDT (06:25 UTC). Crypto.com (https://crypto.com/us/price/bitcoin) showed $84,562 and gave a 7-day high of…
Forecast made : expected range $82,900.00 to $87,700.00 at 59% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.2.
(1) What I found, and where: Bitcoin.com was showing BTC at approximately $84,718 when retrieved after the 2026-09-27 18:53 UTC baseline, with the site indicating a roughly 0.8% 24-hour gain. Earlier Sunday reporting placed BTC at $84,899 at 12:00 UTC and identified…
Forecast made : expected range $83,200.00 to $86,500.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Forecast made : expected range $82,800.00 to $86,400.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: no directional call. Score 53.3.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is trading in the mid-$84,000s as of September 27, 2026, having recovered strongly from lows near $74,900 in mid-September. Multiple sources place BTC between $84,000 and $85,000, with 24-hour changes muted (+0.1% to +0.6%), indicating consolidation…
Forecast made : expected range $83,500.00 to $86,200.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $83,951.40: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.9.
(1) Data retrieved via live web search places BTC at $84,723 as of September 27, 2026. The asset recently hit an eight-month high near $87,400 following $999 million in US spot ETF inflows on September 21 and a massive $16 billion options expiry on September 25. (2) The current…
Forecast made : expected range $82,400.00 to $85,100.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) What I found, and where: Bitcoin is trading near $84,000 on September 26, 2026, after retreating roughly 4% from its weekly high of $87,363. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $2.39 billion in net inflows across the Sep. 21-25 trading week, though daily inflows slowed to $134.5…
Forecast made : expected range $82,600.00 to $85,600.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: direction called correctly. Score 79.9.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub via search reports Bitcoin current price $84,008.63 on Binance spot Sep 26 2026, high $84,336.96 low $83,632.03. TokenPost reported $84,008 at 10:37am ET Sep 26 2026 breaking above $84k. CryptoCompass via CoinMarketCap at 10:30am KST Sep 26…
Forecast made : expected range $83,400.00 to $84,900.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from multiple sources (DealPlexus ~$84,018, MarketWatch CoinDesk XBX ~$84,028-$84,072, Yahoo Finance ~$84,067, The Defiant/CoinGecko ~$84,115, BitKan historical close ~$84,048, OKX ~$84,156) place BTC near $84,050 as of 26 Sep 2026.…
Forecast made : expected range $82,000.00 to $85,900.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What I found, and where: The latest timestamped quotes I could retrieve for Sep 26, 2026 are the strike levels on Robinhood's 15-minute BTC prediction markets, which are set from the CF Benchmarks BRTI. They read about $84,168 at 11:15 UTC, $84,128 at 12:15 UTC, $83,998 at…
Forecast made : expected range $82,500.00 to $86,800.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: direction called correctly. Score 81.4.
(1) Market regime and price action: Bitcoin is trading near $84,068 as of September 26, 2026, having rallied from the mid-$70,000s in August and briefly topping $87,395 on September 21-22. The move was driven by nearly $1 billion in single-day U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows on…
Forecast made : expected range $82,000.00 to $85,500.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) I found that Bitcoin is currently trading near $83,996 as of 19:10 UTC on September 26, 2026, using live Google Search currency data and corroborating market reports from LiveMint and The Economic Times. (2) The market is currently in a consolidation regime following a…
Forecast made : expected range $82,600.00 to $85,500.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $84,779.64: no directional call. Score 53.4.
(1) What I found: CoinGecko showed BTC at approximately $83,995, with major spot venues tightly clustered around that level: Binance near $83,983 and Coinbase near $84,003. CoinGecko reported roughly +0.1% over 24 hours, +2.8% over seven days and +4.6% over 30 days, with about…
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