SPY 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for SPY, made 2026-09-25: expected range $762.00 to $775.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call, score 53.6.
| Asset | SPY |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $768.53 |
| Price the model reported | $768.50 |
| Expected range | $762.00 to $775.00 |
| Confidence | 42% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $765.09 |
| Traded range in the window | $763.72 to $772.28 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 53.6 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
Heuristically extracted from AI response
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $762.00 to $776.00 | 54% | No directional call | 54.1 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $766.00 to $772.00 | 65% | No directional call | 53.7 |
| Perplexity | $763.00 to $772.00 | 51% | No directional call | 54.4 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $756.00 to $778.50 | 55% | No directional call | 53.5 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $762.00 to $777.00 | 58% | No directional call | 54.2 |
| DeepSeek | $762.00 to $777.00 | 62% | No directional call | 54.4 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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