SPY 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for SPY, made 2026-09-25: expected range $766.00 to $772.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $765.09: no directional call, score 53.7.
| Asset | SPY |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $768.53 |
| Price the model reported | $768.89 |
| Expected range | $766.00 to $772.00 |
| Confidence | 65% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $765.09 |
| Traded range in the window | $763.72 to $772.28 |
| Result | No directional call |
| Score | 53.7 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Live pricing sourced via Google Search from TradingView (https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AMEX-SPY/) and options data indicates SPY trading at $768.89 as of 15:20 UTC on September 25, 2026.
(2) The current market regime remains structurally bullish, supported by cooling inflation concerns and continued AI-driven momentum, which has pushed the broader market near all-time highs.
(3) The 1-day price range of $766.00-$772.00 is anchored to recent intraday volatility and options market expectations, where 0-DTE pricing implies an expected move of roughly ±$4.40.
(4) There are no major macroeconomic data prints scheduled for the remainder of the Friday session, leaving price action primarily dictated by intraday technical flows and institutional positioning ahead of the weekend.
(5) The primary counter-argument to short-term upside is Friday afternoon de-risking and profit-taking after the recent rally. Any sudden geopolitical headlines could trigger a rotation out of equities, breaking the $766 support floor.
(6) Confidence is set at 65% because while the macro trend is solid and options positioning is clearly defined, single-day forecasts on a Friday inherently carry execution risk due to weekend hedging and passive algorithmic flows.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $762.00 to $776.00 | 54% | No directional call | 54.1 |
| Perplexity | $763.00 to $772.00 | 51% | No directional call | 54.4 |
| Grok 4.5 | $762.00 to $775.00 | 42% | No directional call | 53.6 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $756.00 to $778.50 | 55% | No directional call | 53.5 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $762.00 to $777.00 | 58% | No directional call | 54.2 |
| DeepSeek | $762.00 to $777.00 | 62% | No directional call | 54.4 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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