ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
Latest shared forecasts
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
Forecast made : expected range $92.50 to $110.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from ChartExchange (chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-soxl/), Barchart via Raymond James (raymondjames.websol.barchart.com), Macroaxis, Stocknear and MarketWatch as of ~13:00-13:10 EDT on 2026-10-19 show SOXL trading near $100.45-$101.14…
Forecast made : expected range $90.00 to $108.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called correctly. Score 78.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote for SOXL as of Oct 19 2026 from stockscan.io showing close $100.22, high $105.00 low $98.40 volume 53.7M, up +6.99% on day. Cross-checked with finnhub.io showing current price $100.5801, open $103.95, high $104.98, low $98.4028,…
Forecast made : expected range $93.50 to $112.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 13.0.
(1) What I found: SOXL was trading near $102.55 on Monday, October 19, 2026, up roughly 9.5% intraday from Friday's $93.67 close; the quote was reported during the regular session by 247wallst.com at…
Forecast made : expected range $525.00 to $545.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $532.87: direction called incorrectly. Score 41.6.
(1) Price and data: MSFT was quoted at $534.28 at 2026-10-19T18:11:20Z (approximately 2:11 p.m. ET), up 0.99% from the prior close of $529.05; the quote is live regular-session data from Yahoo Finance/Cboe BZX via https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history/. Earlier live…
Forecast made : expected range $526.00 to $542.00 at 75% confidence. Settled at $532.87: direction called incorrectly. Score 36.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market quote for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) as of 2026-10-19T17:16:40Z (13:16:40 EDT) shows MSFT trading at $533.36 on NASDAQ (XNAS) during regular session trading (source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/ and…
Forecast made : expected range $527.50 to $540.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $532.87: no directional call. Score 53.9.
(1) Market regime and quote: Yahoo Finance showed MSFT at $533.67, +$4.62 (+0.87%), as of 2026-10-19T17:17:50Z, a live regular-session Nasdaq quote (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/). That is 70 seconds after the nominal 17:16:40Z window start and is the closest available…
Forecast made : expected range $525.00 to $544.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $532.87: direction called incorrectly. Score 47.7.
(1) Verified price and data access: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was quoted at $533.42 at 2026-10-19T13:04-04:00 (17:04 UTC), during regular trading, up $4.37 (+0.83%) from the October 16 close of $529.05. Source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/msft/history/ . The quote is…
Forecast made : expected range $526.00 to $540.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $532.87: no directional call. Score 53.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live intraday quote on 2026-10-19: Current Price 533.475, Open 528.7, High 535.5684, Low 528.06, Previous Close 529.05 from finnhub.io?q=MSFT. Confirmed by market-scanner.net showing $531.74 delayed as of Oct 19 10:00 AM EDT, day range…
Forecast made : expected range $525.00 to $542.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $532.87: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quote from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/) at approximately 13:15 EDT / 17:15 UTC on 2026-10-19 shows MSFT at $533.51 (+0.84% from prior close of $529.05), with day's range $528.48-$535.57, open $528.74, volume ~8.8M shares so far…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $224.00 at 78% confidence. Settled at $216.86: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market quote for NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) as of 2026-10-19T17:02:30Z (13:02:30 EDT) shows NVDA trading at $218.10 on NASDAQ (XNAS) during regular session trading (source: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/). (2) Daily OHLCV &…
Forecast made : expected range $213.00 to $225.00 at 53% confidence. Settled at $216.86: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.4.
(1) Price discovery and intraday evidence: Google Finance reported NVDA at $218.11 on October 19 at 12:42:18 EDT (2026-10-19T16:42:18Z), a Nasdaq regular-session quote approximately 20 minutes before the authoritative forecast start of 2026-10-19T17:02:30.803Z. Source:…
Forecast made : expected range $215.00 to $223.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $216.86: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Quote and tape: The last pre-window quote I verified was $218.65 at 12:12 PM ET (16:12 UTC) on Seeking Alpha's NVDA quote strip, a regular-session print up 2.11% from the Oct 16 close of $214.13. The timestamp is 50 minutes before the 17:02 UTC baseline, so it is the freshest…
Forecast made : expected range $214.00 to $223.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $216.86: no directional call. Score 52.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA), CNBC, StockAnalysis and MarketWatch show NVDA trading near $218-$219 midday ET on 2026-10-19, up roughly 2% from the prior close of $214.13 (Oct 16). Historical OHLCV from Yahoo Finance…
Forecast made : expected range $208.00 to $222.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $216.86: direction called correctly. Score 69.2.
(1) Data and current quote: NVDA was quoted at $215.54, up 0.66%, in regular Nasdaq session at 10:06 AM EDT on 2026-10-19 (14:06 UTC), shortly before the 17:02 UTC window start; source: https://www.barrons.com/market-data/stocks/nvda/interactive-chart. The quote is live,…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $225.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $216.86: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote $218.01 current, open $218.095 high $219.62 low $214.70 previous close $214.13 from Finnhub finnhub.io?q=NVDA. MEXC quote $218.12 as of 2026-10-19 16:42:54 UTC. TradingView premarket $216.51 at 05:36 ET Oct 19. HeyGoTrade…
Forecast made : expected range $336.00 to $347.00 at 78% confidence. Settled at $337.49: no directional call. Score 54.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Live market quote for Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) as of 2026-10-19T16:41:33Z (12:41:33 EDT) shows GOOG trading at $341.27 on NASDAQ (XNAS) during regular market session (source: https://digital.fidelity.com/prgw/digital/research/quote?symbol=GOOG…
Forecast made : expected range $335.00 to $349.00 at 46% confidence. Settled at $337.49: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Market evidence and baseline quote: Alphabet Class C (NASDAQ: GOOG) traded at $340.99 as of 2026-10-19T12:09:00-04:00, according to Stock Analysis, which identified its quote as real-time. This is the latest independently timestamped pre-window quote I could substantiate,…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $345.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $337.49: no directional call. Score 53.8.
(1) What I found and where: The latest regular-session quote I can verify is GOOG at $341.21, quote_time 2026-10-19T12:01:00-04:00, source https://www.moomooapp.com/hant/stock/GOOG-US. This is a regular-session quote, not a prior close, and it is 40 minutes before the 16:41 UTC…
Forecast made : expected range $336.50 to $345.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $337.49: no directional call. Score 53.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com, CNBC, Yahoo Finance, and Motley Fool around 12:05-12:40 PM EDT on 2026-10-19 showed GOOG at approximately $341.20 (up ~1.27% from prior close $336.91), with day's range $338.25-$342.52 and partial volume ~4.5-5.1M…
Forecast made : expected range $336.50 to $346.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $337.49: no directional call. Score 53.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Live NASDAQ order flow for Alphabet Inc. Class C (GOOG) retrieved via Google Finance data. The asset opened at $340.125 on 2026-10-19 and trades at $341.44 as of 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC), near the baseline window timestamp of 2026-10-19T16:41:33Z.…
Forecast made : expected range $337.00 to $345.50 at 52% confidence. Settled at $337.49: no directional call. Score 53.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Latest intraday quote on Oct 19 at 12:42 PM EDT shows GOOG at $341.10 +4.19 (+1.24%) from MarketMinute lodinews page https://lodinews.marketminute.com/quote/NQ:GOOG/historical. Finnhub data via search shows Current Price $341.37, Open 340.125, High…
Forecast made : expected range $210.00 to $224.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called correctly. Score 79.3.
(1) Price and data: The latest verified NVDA quote at or before the 2026-10-19T16:35:00Z window start was $217.28 at 2026-10-19T14:37:00Z (10:37 a.m. ET), a live regular-session Nasdaq quote reported by…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $226.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) Price discovery and evidence: ChartExchange reported NVDA at $218.48 on October 19, 2026, at 12:28:41 EDT (16:28:41 UTC), up 2.031% from Friday's $214.13 close. This is the latest precisely timestamped quote selected before the authoritative 16:35 UTC forecast start,…
Forecast made : expected range $211.00 to $223.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $217.12: no directional call. Score 51.8.
(1) Quote and access: Latest price $217.06 from Longbridge (https://longbridge.com/en/quote/NVDA.US); quote_time is null because the page does not expose a verifiable tick timestamp, and the quote appears delayed/intraday. Other 19 October prints cluster nearby: moomoo $215.69 at…
Forecast made : expected range $214.50 to $222.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called correctly. Score 79.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from multiple sources (MarketWatch, Investing.com, Stocknear, TradeSmith, CNBC) show NVDA trading near $218.50-$219.40 in regular session on 2026-10-19 around 12:00-12:30 EDT (16:00-16:30 UTC). Prior close 2026-10-16 was $214.13. Daily…
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