NVDA 1-day forecast by DeepSeek

The model's reasoning

(1) Quote and tape: The last pre-window quote I verified was $218.65 at 12:12 PM ET (16:12 UTC) on Seeking Alpha's NVDA quote strip, a regular-session print up 2.11% from the Oct 16 close of $214.13. The timestamp is 50 minutes before the 17:02 UTC baseline, so it is the freshest pre-window price I can defend. Source: https://seekingalpha.com/news/4654317-modal-gets-first-nvidia-vera-cpu-server-breaking-from-intel-and-amd.

(2) Market regime: This is a rebound inside a sharp de-risking, not a clean breakout. NVDA fell from an intraday high of $243.37 on Oct 6 to $214.13 on Oct 16, a 12.0% drawdown, then bounced as AI-hardware names recovered after CoreWeave received a Goldman Sachs upgrade, as reported by Korea Times on Oct 19 (https://www.koreatimes.co.kr). The stock is near the 200-day SMA zone around $214.65 cited by Investing.com (https://jp.investing.com) but below the 50-day area near $222-$223, so the intermediate trend is still damaged. The 20-day range is wide at $212.85-$243.37.

(3) Price range: With a $218.65 anchor and recent daily true ranges of roughly $4.0-$6.4, a one-day move of about $5 is normal. Immediate support is $214.13 from the Oct 16 close, then $212.85 from the Oct 15 low; resistance is $219.62 from the intraday high and $221.30 from the Oct 14 close. I use $215.00-$223.00, which gives modestly more room above than below, matching a mild-bullish but low-conviction follow-through call rather than a breakout projection.

(4) Catalysts: Modal said it received its first Nvidia Vera CPU server, moving off an Intel/AMD-only setup; Seeking Alpha and Reuters reported this on Oct 19. The item supports Nvidia's CPU ambitions but is small relative to data-center GPU revenue, so it is mainly a sentiment positive. No Nvidia earnings event falls inside this one-day window; provider estimates point to the Q3 FY2027 report around Nov 17-18, 2026, outside the horizon. The observed 2.11% move is measured from the prior close, not a clean event-study reaction because no verified pre-headline same-minute price was available.

(5) Counter-evidence: The bearish case is that Oct 16 closed at $214.13 near the session low, the stock was down 6.61% over five sessions, and the Oct 19 rebound had already stalled below $220 by the pre-window quote. That leaves overhead supply from the $221-$228 area and makes the bounce vulnerable to short-covering exhaustion. If the AI complex reverses again, NVDA can retest the $214 area quickly, and the 20-day high at $243.37 remains distant overhead supply.

(6) Invalidation: A completed daily close below $214.13, especially below the Oct 15 low of $212.85, would undermine the mild-bullish repair and refocus the 20-day low. On the other side, a daily close above $221.30 would confirm follow-through and open the $226-$228 zone. These are conditions to monitor, not trading instructions.

(7) Daily OHLCV, oldest to newest, NASDAQ regular session in USD, split-adjusted OHLC, volume in shares, source https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history/: 2026-10-12 open 228.73, high 228.86, low 224.90, close 226.32, volume 70,690,300; 2026-10-13 open 224.34, high 228.64, low 223.06, close 228.52, volume 84,036,900; 2026-10-14 open 225.53, high 226.00, low 219.64, close 221.30, volume 118,730,100; 2026-10-15 open 215.30, high 218.47, low 212.85, close 217.23, volume 127,087,900; 2026-10-16 open 216.56, high 218.68, low 213.32, close 214.13, volume 120,855,100. Daily bars use the 09:30-16:00 ET session boundary.

(8) Context and intraday: return_5d_pct = -6.61% using the Oct 9 close of $229.28 and the Oct 16 close of $214.13. high_20d = $243.37; low_20d = $212.85; avg_volume_20d = 104,861,870 shares, the arithmetic mean of the latest 20 completed sessions. I could not verify a pre-baseline partial-session OHLCV snapshot, so open, high_so_far, low_so_far and cumulative_volume for Oct 19 are null; the 12:12 ET quote is price-only. Same-time-of-day relative volume therefore cannot be established, and the full-day 20-session average is the only volume benchmark used. The pre-window quote implies the rebound has already recovered about half of the Oct 14-16 decline, leaving the remaining window dependent on follow-through above the $219.62-$221.30 band.

Other models on the same question

How this forecast is measured

Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.

Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.