ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 4 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $215.50 to $222.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) Market regime: At Window Starts (2026-10-19T16:35:00Z / 12:35 PM EDT), NVIDIA (NVDA) is experiencing an intraday relief rebound following a week-long pullback. NVDA trades at $218.20 (+1.90% vs prior close $214.13). Data retrieved live from NASDAQ market price snapshots via…
Forecast made : expected range $212.00 to $221.50 at 48% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called correctly. Score 81.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Intraday quote on Oct 19 at ~10:32 AM EDT $217.05 from stockanalysis.com and finnhub.io showing Current Price $218.265, Open $218.095, High $219.62, Low $214.70, Previous Close $214.13. Daily closes from vcpscanner.com and MarketMinute confirm Oct…
Forecast made : expected range $79,600.00 to $83,700.00 at 54% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) Price discovery and data access: ChartExchange reported Binance BTC/USDT at 81,994.00 USDT on October 19, 2026, at 16:21:44 UTC, approximately 33 seconds before the authoritative forecast start of 16:22:17.361 UTC. This is the latest explicitly timestamped pre-window quote I…
Forecast made : expected range $80,300.00 to $83,300.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) Market snapshot and intraday quote: At the 2026-10-19 16:22 UTC window start, BTC was quoted at $81,877.98 on Yahoo Finance BTC-USD at 16:24:44 UTC (live, market open); Investing.com's Bitfinex BTC/USD showed $81,917.00 around the same time. Same-day prints ranged from about…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $83,400.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: no directional call. Score 52.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes near Window Starts from Yahoo Finance (BTC-USD at ~15:18 UTC on 2026-10-19: $82,172.61), MarketWatch/CoinDesk XBX (~$82,175-$82,276), CoinMarketCap (~$81,900-$82,300 range across mirrors), and OKX/CryptoStruct daily bars. Consensus spot…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,300.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What I found: At the window start, BTC/USD was trading near $82,600. Bloomberg reported Bitcoin above $82,000 and around $82,600 in early London trading on October 19, while CoinGecko-based reporting put it at $82,673 at 07:51 UTC; the latest quote used here is therefore…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $83,500.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: direction called correctly. Score 81.8.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin is consolidating within a macro bullish regime but facing short-term chop between $80,000 and $85,000. Relief in global oil prices has temporarily stabilized risk sentiment, yet institutional ETF flows show persistent short-term net redemptions. (2)…
Forecast made : expected range $81,000.00 to $83,800.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $82,324.34: direction called correctly. Score 78.8.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quotes dated Oct 19 2026 as of window start 2026-10-19T16:22Z. Finnhub shows BTC on Binance at $82,005.31 with open $81,152.32 high $83,158 low $80,684.36. OKX shows live $82,212.3 up 0.85% 24h. Convextrade reports $82,219 on Oct 19…
Forecast made : expected range $28.75 to $33.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called correctly. Score 81.4.
(1) What I found: As of 2026-10-16 17:34 UTC, Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IONQ/) shows IONQ trading at $31.76, down 7.54% from the prior close of $34.35, on the NYSE. The intraday session opened at $33.03, with a day's range of $31.47-$33.64 and volume of…
Forecast made : expected range $28.20 to $34.40 at 57% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) Sources and conventions: IonQ (NYSE: IONQ) trades in USD. The historical and intraday reference is ChartExchange: https://chartexchange.com/symbol/nyse-ionq/historical/ . Historical figures represent regular-session daily OHLC and share volume, with sessions dated in…
Forecast made : expected range $29.50 to $33.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) Data sources and baseline setup: Retrieved real-time market quote data for IonQ Inc. (IONQ) listed on the NYSE (USD, volume in share units). At the window start timestamp of 2026-10-16T17:34:18Z (13:34 EDT), intraday live quote reported price at $31.70 per share (open $33.03,…
Forecast made : expected range $29.50 to $34.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes and history from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/IONQ and /history), StockAnalysis (stockanalysis.com/stocks/ionq/history), and Motley Fool show IONQ trading near $31.95 (intraday as of ~12:42-13:00 EDT on 2026-10-16, open $33.03,…
Forecast made : expected range $30.20 to $33.80 at 38% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub live quote on Oct 16 shows Current Price $31.7095, Open $33.032, High $33.6442, Low $31.47, Previous Close $34.35. StockScan confirms latest close Oct 16 $31.96. MarketBeat table gives completed closes: Oct 15 $34.29, Oct 14 $31.39, Oct 13…
Forecast made : expected range $28.50 to $34.75 at 42% confidence. Settled at $30.93: direction called correctly. Score 78.9.
(1) Daily OHLCV: The last five completed NYSE sessions, oldest to newest, were: 2026-10-09 open $40.00, high $40.24, low $38.99, close $39.89, volume 13,255,799; 2026-10-12 open $38.79, high $38.81, low $35.89, close $36.27, volume 32,151,499; 2026-10-13 open $35.82, high $35.99,…
Forecast made : expected range $84.00 to $112.00 at 44% confidence. Settled at $100.22: direction called incorrectly. Score 27.8.
(1) Latest price and source: SOXL was quoted at $98.43 at 1:29 PM EDT on 2026-10-16 (17:29 UTC) from Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SOXL/history/), NYSEArca venue, regular-session real-time quote, USD. This is one minute after the authoritative window start…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $103.50 at 58% confidence. Settled at $100.22: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Market regime: The target asset is experiencing sharp short-term downward pressure driven by broad semiconductor sector weakness and heightened beta amplification. Leverage friction and downside momentum dominate the intraday path. (2) Technical synthesis and daily history:…
Forecast made : expected range $85.00 to $105.00 at 57% confidence. Settled at $100.22: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.8.
(1) Price discovery and data access: Google Finance reported SOXL at $96.96 on October 16, 2026, at 13:23:19 EDT (2026-10-16T17:23:19Z), down 9.68% from the previous close of $107.35. Source: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SOXL:NYSEARCA . ChartExchange independently…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $108.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $100.22: no directional call. Score 17.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Barchart/Raymond James (as of ~11:52-12:15 EDT on 2026-10-16) show SOXL trading near $99.92-$100.80 after opening at $101.19, with session range $98.55-$103.93 and volume ~50-52M shares (partial). Prior close 2026-10-15 was $107.35.…
Forecast made : expected range $88.00 to $112.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $100.22: direction called incorrectly. Score 32.7.
(1) Daily OHLCV: The last five completed NYSE Arca sessions, oldest to newest, were: 2026-10-09 open $148.18, high $148.18, low $137.71, close $139.76, volume 59,326,000; 2026-10-12 open $134.43, high $134.54, low $127.27, close $128.40, volume 58,727,700; 2026-10-13 open…
Forecast made : expected range $88.00 to $104.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $100.22: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved SOXL quote as of Oct 16 2026 from multiple sources. Finnhub shows Current Price 97.315, Open 101.185, High 103.93, Low 96.6442, Previous Close 107.35 with -9.34% intraday change. StockScan reports latest closing price as of Oct 16 2026 is…
Forecast made : expected range $528.00 to $552.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $533.58: direction called incorrectly. Score 36.2.
(1) Sources and data access: I retrieved MSFT quotes and history from Yahoo Finance (https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history/), Schwab (https://www.schwab.wallst.com/schwab/Prospect/research/stocks/news.asp?symbol=MSFT), stockanalysis.com…
Forecast made : expected range $510.00 to $536.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $533.58: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.8.
(1) Price and data access: Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was quoted at $525.61 at 2026-10-16T13:08:00-04:00, down 2.56% from its October 15 close of $539.44, according to MarketWatch (https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/msft). This is the latest verified pre-window quote used…
Forecast made : expected range $518.00 to $538.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $533.58: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from stockanalysis.com (525.69 at 13:07 EDT), CNBC/MarketWatch (~528-529), and others show MSFT trading ~$525-529 midday 16 Oct 2026 after opening near 541.31 on prev close 539.44; day range so far ~527.50-543.82 with volume ~10-11M…
Forecast made : expected range $515.00 to $538.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $533.58: direction called correctly. Score 80.7.
(1) What you found, and where: Latest intraday quote for MSFT on Oct 16 2026 is $525.06, down $14.38 (-2.66%) from prior close $539.44, open $541.31, day range $524.43-$543.82 per Finnhub financial market data source. Alternate real-time board shows $528.49 as of 7:11 PM ET Oct…
Forecast made : expected range $517.00 to $541.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $533.58: direction called correctly. Score 79.2.
(1) Latest quote and intraday path: Yahoo Finance showed MSFT at $528.35, down $11.10 or 2.06%, as of 12:40:50 PM EDT on 2026-10-16, during the regular Nasdaq session; this is the freshest quote I could retrieve, but it predates the 17:22 UTC window start, so the quote is treated…
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.