NVDA 1-day forecast by Gemini 3 Pro
Gemini 3 Pro's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-10-19: expected range $215.50 to $222.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $217.12: direction called incorrectly, score 31.6.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 3 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $218.27 |
| Price the model reported | $218.20 |
| Expected range | $215.50 to $222.00 |
| Confidence | 68% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $217.12 |
| Traded range in the window | $212.77 to $218.46 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.6 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Market regime: At Window Starts (2026-10-19T16:35:00Z / 12:35 PM EDT), NVIDIA (NVDA) is experiencing an intraday relief rebound following a week-long pullback. NVDA trades at $218.20 (+1.90% vs prior close $214.13). Data retrieved live from NASDAQ market price snapshots via Google Finance search. The asset is recovering within a macro bullish regime, recovering from a recent top of $239.24 on Oct 6.
(2) Technical synthesis and OHLCV: The last 5 completed daily sessions (oldest to newest) are:
• 2026-10-12: Open $228.73, High $228.73, Low $225.80, Close $226.32, Vol null
• 2026-10-13: Open $224.34, High $229.50, Low $224.10, Close $228.52, Vol null
• 2026-10-14: Open $225.53, High $226.10, Low $220.80, Close $221.30, Vol null
• 2026-10-15: Open $220.50, High $221.00, Low $216.50, Close $217.23, Vol null
• 2026-10-16: Open $216.20, High $216.80, Low $213.50, Close $214.13, Vol null
return_5d_pct is -7.25% (from Oct 9 close $229.28 to Oct 16 close $214.13). High_20d is $239.24 (Oct 6) and low_20d is $213.50 (Oct 16). Daily volume history metrics are reported as null due to lack of complete split-adjusted aggregate volume metrics across exchange feeds. Exchange: NASDAQ (US/Eastern timezone, USD currency).
(3) Intraday evidence at answering time: Latest quote is $218.20 as of 2026-10-19T12:35:00-04:00 (source: Google Finance/NASDAQ live quote). Observed partial session range: Open $218.10, High_so_far $219.62, Low_so_far $214.70, Cumulative volume ~47.6M shares. Pre-event baseline quote was $214.13 (Oct 16 close), representing a +1.90% intraday bounce. The price path shows steady intraday buying after opening lower at $214.70, hitting a high of $219.62 near noon before consolidating around $218.20. Over the remaining window (ending 2026-10-20T16:35:00Z), mild bullish continuation toward $220.00-$222.00 is expected as momentum stabilizes.
(4) Catalyst assessment & price range justification: Recent news highlights a broad semiconductor recovery led by analyst upgrades across chipmakers and ahead of major tech earnings. Seeking Alpha/JPMorgan reports cite strong AI data center demand and healthy valuation metrics. The 1-day range of $215.50-$222.00 anchors around $218.20, with expected intraday volatility (~$3.50-$4.00 range) allowing testing of resistance at $221.30 (Oct 14 close) while supported above $215.00.
(5) Counter-evidence & invalidation: Strongest counter-evidence is the consecutive 4-day decline between Oct 13 and Oct 16 on market concerns over AI infrastructure financing and macro chip valuation pressures. Invalidation level: A breakdown and sustained move below $213.50 (the Oct 16 low) during the session would invalidate the intraday recovery thesis.
(6) Confidence justification: Confidence is set at 68% due to high short-term beta and market sensitivity ahead of upcoming big-tech earnings, balanced by solid intraday structure holding above $217.00.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $212.00 to $221.50 | 48% | Direction called correctly | 81.0 |
| Grok 4.5 | $214.50 to $222.50 | 42% | Direction called correctly | 79.5 |
| DeepSeek | $211.00 to $223.00 | 38% | No directional call | 51.8 |
| GPT-6 | $212.00 to $226.00 | 54% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.7 |
| Perplexity | $210.00 to $224.00 | 50% | Direction called correctly | 79.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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