ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
Latest shared forecasts
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
Forecast made : expected range $333.50 to $344.50 at 48% confidence. Settled at $328.99: no directional call. Score 48.8.
(1) Market regime and current quote: GOOG is trading at $338.89 as of 2026-10-20 10:55:01 AM EDT, down 0.37% on the day, in the Nasdaq regular session; the quote is live from Perplexity Finance (https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/GOOG). The stock is in a short-term pullback after…
Forecast made : expected range $332.00 to $345.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $328.99: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live quote from Finnhub for GOOG on XNAS showing Current Price $337.504, Open $339.715, High $341, Low $337.12, Previous Close $340.16 on Oct 20 2026, source https://finnhub.io/?q=%22GOOG%22. Cross-checked with tickertape.in reporting…
Forecast made : expected range $210.00 to $223.50 at 53% confidence. Settled at $220.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Current quote and data access: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) was quoted at $217.65 USD at 2026-10-20T11:09:39-04:00 in a timestamped ChartExchange market snapshot. The quotation was classified as regular-session market data and showed cumulative trading volume of…
Forecast made : expected range $211.00 to $223.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $220.32: no directional call. Score 51.8.
(1) Quote and sources: latest_price $217.01 USD, quote_time 2026-10-20T13:00:00-04:00 (17:00 UTC), regular-session NASDAQ quote, -$0.08 (-0.04%) versus the prior close of $217.09. Source: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/10/20/nvidia-is-near-its-high-but-market-is-wobbling/.…
Forecast made : expected range $212.50 to $223.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $220.32: direction called correctly. Score 80.8.
(1) Market regime: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is currently in a high-level consolidation and recovery regime following a pullback from late September all-time highs above $243.00. The equity is exhibiting firm institutional bid defense around the $212.50-$214.00 demand shelf, with…
Forecast made : expected range $213.00 to $221.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $220.32: no directional call. Score 53.2.
(1) Price, history and sources: The nearest verified quote is $217.19 at 2026-10-20T11:48:00-04:00 from https://www.moomooapp.com/hant/stock/NVDA-US, a regular-session quote that may be delayed; the exact 15:55 UTC print was not available, so this is the closest observation to…
Forecast made : expected range $212.50 to $221.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $220.32: no directional call. Score 52.5.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis, MarketWatch and Motley Fool as of ~11:30-11:45 AM EDT on 2026-10-20 show NVDA trading near $216.50-$217.10 (prior close $217.09). Daily OHLCV from MarketWatch/Yahoo/TECHi (Nasdaq, USD, share volume,…
Forecast made : expected range $214.50 to $221.50 at 48% confidence. Settled at $220.32: direction called correctly. Score 80.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Current quote $217.09 as of Oct 20 close basis from Finnhub live ticker (Current Price: 217.08, Previous Close 217.09) and MarketBeat historical table showing 10/19 close $217.09 and StockScan latest close $217.09. Intraday snapshot Open 215.98 High…
Forecast made : expected range $208.00 to $222.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $220.32: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.7.
(1) Data and latest quote: The most recent verifiable quote is $216.30 in NASDAQ pre-market at 2026-10-20 04:50 EDT, delayed, from https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/NVDA; the prior regular-session close was $217.09 on 2026-10-19. I could not verify a quote timestamped…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: no directional call. Score 52.0.
(1) Market regime: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading in a rangebound consolidation regime following a pullback from early October highs near $86,480 down to mid-October demand support near $79,735. Price action is establishing higher intraday lows above $81,200 as…
Forecast made : expected range $81,200.00 to $84,000.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: no directional call. Score 51.0.
(1) Daily OHLCV and quote: The last five completed Binance BTCUSDT daily candles, UTC boundary, USD prices and BTC-denominated volume, oldest to newest: 2026-10-15 open 81682.02, high 82634.30, low 79800.00, close 82245.93, volume 22563.14627 BTC; 2026-10-16 open 82245.93, high…
Forecast made : expected range $80,200.00 to $85,000.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) Quote and sources: latest_price $82,704.35 USD for BTC-USD, quote_time 2026-10-20T14:07:39Z, a live spot aggregate quote shown as +$499.16 (+0.61%), about 94 minutes BEFORE the window start (15:41 UTC). Source:…
Forecast made : expected range $79,800.00 to $83,200.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: no directional call. Score 38.4.
(1) Daily OHLCV: Using Yahoo Finance BTC-USD daily bars (USD, UTC daily boundary, volume in USD turnover), the last five completed sessions were: 2026-10-15 open $81,566.28, high $82,555.08, low $79,676.02, close $82,131.46, volume 42B; 2026-10-16 open $82,131.46, high…
Forecast made : expected range $80,500.00 to $84,500.00 at 46% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: direction called correctly. Score 78.9.
(1) Price discovery and data access: The latest verified, timestamped Coinbase BTC/USD quote available before the authoritative window start was $82,362.64 at 2026-10-20T15:20:35Z (11:20:35 EDT), classified by ChartExchange as real-time exchange data at that observation time.…
Forecast made : expected range $80,800.00 to $84,200.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: direction called correctly. Score 77.2.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes near Window Starts (2026-10-20T15:41 UTC) cluster around $82,300-$82,500. CoinPaprika reported $82,417.06 (updated ~15:37 UTC, https://coinpaprika.com/coin/btc-bitcoin); MarketWatch/CoinDesk index showed ~$82,375-$82,900 intraday; OKX…
Forecast made : expected range $80,200.00 to $83,000.00 at 52% confidence. Settled at $84,560.04: direction called correctly. Score 61.4.
(1) What you found, and where: Retrieved live BTC quote $81,516.2 as of Oct 20 2026 from convextrade.com/metrics/btc which aggregates exchange feeds and lists daily closes. Cross-checked with Finnhub.io Binance BTC showing $82,474 current, $82,108 open, $83,439 high, $81,200 low…
Forecast made : expected range $28.10 to $33.20 at 55% confidence. Settled at $31.49: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.1.
(1) Price discovery: IonQ (NYSE: IONQ) was quoted at $30.96 at 2026-10-19T13:28:00-04:00, approximately eight minutes before the authoritative forecast start of 2026-10-19T17:35:53.863Z. The quote came from Stock Analysis, which identifies its feed as real-time. This is the…
Forecast made : expected range $28.50 to $32.20 at 38% confidence. Settled at $31.49: direction called incorrectly. Score 34.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Latest quote $30.98 as of Oct 19 2026 from stockscan.io price-history table (Oct 19 high $32.44 low $30.29 volume 17.69M). Finnhub summary via search shows Current Price $30.98, Open $32.35, High $32.44, Low $30.29, Previous Close $31.28. TickerTape…
Forecast made : expected range $28.25 to $33.25 at 58% confidence. Settled at $31.49: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.4.
(1) Price and intraday evidence: the latest verified regular-session print is $30.84 at 2026-10-19T15:53:00+02:00 from https://www.finanzen.net/aktien/ionq-aktie, a delayed regular-session quote and not an exact 17:35 UTC print. A partial-session snapshot from…
Forecast made : expected range $29.50 to $32.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $31.49: no directional call. Score 51.3.
(1) What you found, and where: Live quotes from Yahoo Finance (finance.yahoo.com/quote/IONQ), StockAnalysis, and others show IONQ trading near $30.97 as of ~13:16 EDT on 2026-10-19 (market open), down ~1% from prior close of $31.28. Day range so far $30.29-$32.44, volume ~16M…
Forecast made : expected range $28.50 to $33.50 at 42% confidence. Settled at $31.49: no directional call. Score 50.7.
(1) Market regime and quote: IONQ is in a sharp post-news de-rating. The latest completed close was $31.23 on 2026-10-16, down 8.93% on 28.03 million shares; intraday quotes on 2026-10-19 showed roughly $30.81-$31.17, with a session range of $30.29-$32.67, confirming continued…
Forecast made : expected range $21.50 to $23.50 at 55% confidence. Settled at $31.49: no directional call. Score 1.5.
(1) Data Access & Current Price: live quote data could not be retrieved at answering time; using prior baseline/stale estimates. Current price is estimated at $22.50. (2) Daily OHLCV & Context: daily_5d sessions [2026-10-12 to 2026-10-16] close history unavailable (reported as…
Forecast made : expected range $93.00 to $107.00 at 68% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called correctly. Score 81.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Live price action for SOXL as of 2026-10-19T17:24:49Z (13:24:49 EDT) shows the ETF trading at $100.25 on NYSE ARCA during regular market session (source: https://stockanalysis.com/etf/soxl/history/). SOXL is currently attempting a technical relief…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $112.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 41.3.
(1) Price discovery: SOXL's latest usable pre-cutoff quote was $100.77 at 2026-10-19T13:03:00-04:00, reported by YCharts as an intraday total-return-price snapshot. Source: https://ycharts.com/companies/SOXL/total_return_price . The corresponding regular market-price snapshot was…
Forecast made : expected range $92.00 to $111.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $99.38: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Quote and data access: latest_price is $100.69 at 2026-10-19T17:22:17Z from https://www.chaincatcher.com/ko/article/2297310. That is a live perpetual-futures proxy, not a consolidated NYSE Arca cash print; it is 7.49% above the $93.67 Oct 16 cash close. I could not verify a…
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