NVDA 1-day forecast by Gemini 3 Pro
Gemini 3 Pro's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-10-20: expected range $212.50 to $223.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $220.32: direction called correctly, score 80.8.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 3 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $217.53 |
| Price the model reported | $217.52 |
| Expected range | $212.50 to $223.00 |
| Confidence | 65% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $220.32 |
| Traded range in the window | $216.03 to $222.16 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 80.8 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Market regime: NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is currently in a high-level consolidation and recovery regime following a pullback from late September all-time highs above $243.00. The equity is exhibiting firm institutional bid defense around the $212.50-$214.00 demand shelf, with price action shifting back toward short-term accumulation.
(2) Five-session daily OHLCV and 20-day context: The last five completed daily sessions on NASDAQ (split-adjusted USD, volume in shares) are: 2026-10-13 (Open $224.34, High $228.64, Low $223.06, Close $228.52, Vol 84,036,900); 2026-10-14 (Open $225.53, High $226.00, Low $219.64, Close $221.30, Vol 118,730,000); 2026-10-15 (Open $215.30, High $218.47, Low $212.85, Close $217.23, Vol 127,088,000); 2026-10-16 (Open $216.56, High $218.68, Low $213.32, Close $214.13, Vol 121,252,522); 2026-10-19 (Open $218.10, High $219.62, Low $214.70, Close $217.09, Vol 96,877,299). Context statistics across the 20 completed sessions (2026-09-21 to 2026-10-19): return_5d_pct is -4.08% (calculated against the 2026-10-12 close of $226.32); high_20d is $243.37 (2026-10-06); low_20d is $212.85 (2026-10-15); avg_volume_20d is 107,080,000 shares. Historical data sources: https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/nvda/history/ and https://ca.investing.com/equities/nvidia-corp-historical-data.
(3) Intraday evidence at answering time: As of quote_time 2026-10-20T11:55:00-04:00 (15:55:00 UTC), latest_price is $217.52 USD (source: NASDAQ live regular-session quote via https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ). PARTIAL SESSION statistics as of 11:55 EDT: Open $215.98, High so far $218.21, Low so far $212.77, cumulative volume approximately 32,500,000 shares. NVDA rebounded over +2.2% off its intraday low of $212.77, establishing a firm higher low relative to October 15's low ($212.85).
(4) Catalyst assessment: Primary underlying fundamental drivers include full-capacity production acceleration of Blackwell architecture GPUs, persistent hyperscaler capital expenditure commitments, and positioning ahead of late November earnings. Short-term sentiment is also bolstered by positive commentary surrounding next-generation AI datacenter optical networking components.
(5) Price range justification: The forecasted 24-hour range of $212.50-$223.00 anchors to the current quote of $217.52. Overhead resistance lies at $218.68 (October 16 high) and $221.30 (October 14 close), while downside support is anchored at today's low of $212.77 and the 20-day low of $212.85.
(6) Counter-evidence and invalidation: Strongest counter-evidence includes systemic macro tech profit-taking and elevated short-term valuation multiples (P/E ~27.4x TTM). Invalidation level: A sustained breakdown below $211.50 on above-average volume would invalidate the short-term recovery thesis and signal potential retesting of the $200.00 psychological support level.
(7) Confidence justification: Confidence is set at 65%, reflecting NVIDIA's dominant market share in AI accelerators, reliable technical support around $212.50, and stable options implied volatility structure.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | $208.00 to $222.00 | 52% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.7 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $214.50 to $221.50 | 48% | Direction called correctly | 80.6 |
| Grok 4.5 | $212.50 to $221.00 | 42% | No directional call | 52.5 |
| DeepSeek | $213.00 to $221.00 | 55% | No directional call | 53.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | $211.00 to $223.00 | 38% | No directional call | 51.8 |
| GPT-6 | $210.00 to $223.50 | 53% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.3 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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