Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-23
Muse Spark 1.1 picked IONQ, MSFT, SOXL, NVDA, GOOG for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -1.01%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-23 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-24 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -1.01% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | -0.70% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IONQ | -0.71% | 74% | -0.01% | No |
| 2 | MSFT | -0.70% | 70% | -0.00% | No |
| 3 | SOXL | -4.57% | 68% | -3.87% | No |
| 4 | NVDA | -1.57% | 66% | -0.87% | No |
| 5 | GOOG | -0.97% | 62% | -0.27% | No |
The model's market view
Sep 23 2026 intraday 15:32 UTC window to Sep 24 15:32 UTC. Finnhub live Sep 23: NVDA $225.37 open $228.03 high $228.95 low $225.02 prev $228.87 -3.5 -1.52% 5D +6.83% 1M +4.96% 6M +28.31% YTD +20.84% beta 2.22, GOOG $337.94 open $346.3 high $346.33 low $336.644 prev $347.41 -9.47 -2.72% 5D -2.25% 1M -1.11% 6M +13.02% YTD +7.69% beta 1.20, MSFT $498.335 open $500.755 high $509.44 low $495.88 prev $498 +0.335 +0.067% 5D -1.4% 1M +3.12% 6M +30.11% YTD +3.04%, IONQ $42.97 open $45.84 high $46.05 low $41.63 prev $40.74 +2.23 +5.47% 5D +14.59% 1M -4.21% 6M +29.78% YTD -4.23% 1Y -42.81% beta 3.35, SOXL $145.935 open $149.89 high $151 low $139.58 prev $151.95 5D +44.3% 1M +21.01% 6M +185% YTD +247% 1Y +323% beta 5.92, SPY $763.47 -0.29% per Barchart Sep 23 and $765.16 +0.44% Sep 22 and $763.99 -0.40% Sep 23. MSFT +0.06% outperforms SPY -0.29%, IONQ +5.47% outperforms, NVDA -1.52% underperforms SPY -0.29% today but oversold bounce likely.
Why each pick
IONQ
IONQ $42.97 open $45.84 high $46.05 low $41.63 prev $40.74 +2.23 +5.47% 5D +14.59% 6M +29.78% beta 3.35 per Finnhub Sep 23 live 15:32 window, Stockstotrade $46.67 target $0, Space contract NRO radar imaging per MarketBeat Aug 19. Outperforms SPY $763.47 -0.29% per Barchart Sep 23 by +5.76% intraday. Catalyst revenue guidance $450-460M vs Q2 $280-290M per Motley Fool Sep 22. Risks dilution, beta 3.35 volatility, competition. Live intraday Sep 23 not stale.
MSFT
MSFT $498.335 open $500.755 high $509.44 low $495.88 prev $498 +0.335 +0.067% 5D -1.4% 1M +3.12% 6M +30.11% YTD +3.04% beta 1.06 per Finnhub Sep 23 live, outperforms SPY -0.29% per Barchart Sep 23 by +0.35%. 52W high $509.44 shows resistance break potential. Catalyst Azure growth Q4. Risks valuation PE 27, competition. Live intraday Sep 23.
SOXL
SOXL $145.935 open $149.89 high $151 low $139.58 prev $151.95 5D +44.3% 1M +21% 6M +185% YTD +247% 1Y +323% beta 5.92 per Finnhub Sep 23 live, oversold bounce from $139.58 low to $145.935 +4.5% intraday despite -4% vs prev close outperforms SPY -0.40% if reversal holds. NVDA $225 low $225.02 supports. Risks decay 3x leverage, semis overbought. Live intraday Sep 23.
NVDA
NVDA $225.37 open $228.03 high $228.95 low $225.02 prev $228.87 -3.5 -1.52% 5D +6.83% 1M +4.96% 6M +28.31% YTD +20.84% beta 2.22 per Finnhub Sep 23 live, underperformed SPY -0.29% today -1.52% but oversold near $225 low support vs $228.95 high reversal potential +1.7% to $229. Barchart SPY $763.47 -0.29% and $763.99 -0.40% shows NVDA -1.52% oversold bounce likely to outperform next session. Catalyst Blackwell demand. Risks China export, valuation. Live intraday Sep 23.
GOOG
GOOG $337.94 open $346.3 high $346.33 low $336.644 prev $347.41 -9.47 -2.72% 5D -2.25% 1M -1.11% beta 1.20 per Finnhub Sep 23 live, -2.72% underperformed SPY -0.29% today but oversold near $336.644 low support vs $346.33 high +2.9% bounce potential to $347. FXLeaders support $352 $351 $350 broken, resistance $354 $355. Catalyst AI product. Risks antitrust, ad slowdown. Live intraday Sep 23 oversold mean reversion to outperform SPY next session.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | XLE, OIH, XOM, VKTX, XLV | -1.92% | 80% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | NVDA, MSFT, SOXL, GOOG, AAPL | -0.87% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | IONQ, PLTR, MU, AMD, NVDA | -0.25% | 40% |
| GPT-6 | IONQ, CTAS, WOR, NVDA, UAL | -1.23% | 0% |
| Kimi | META, MSFT, NVDA, AMD, LLY | +0.92% | 60% |
| DeepSeek | IONQ, MRNA, PLTR, CBRL, FUN | +1.84% | 80% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-23.
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