Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-09-25
DeepSeek picked AKAM, META, AMD, BB, HPQ for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -3.50%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-25 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-28 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -3.50% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | +0.06% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AKAM | -4.75% | 88% | -4.81% | No |
| 2 | META | -3.95% | 82% | -4.01% | No |
| 3 | AMD | -3.33% | 74% | -3.39% | No |
| 4 | BB | -3.56% | 68% | -3.62% | No |
| 5 | HPQ | -1.59% | 62% | -1.65% | No |
The model's market view
US equity futures are modestly higher Friday morning as falling oil prices and easing bond-market stress support risk appetite following a sharp week of Treasury yield spikes. S&P 500 futures are up about 0.3-0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures are up about 0.6-0.7%, with semiconductors and AI-infrastructure names leading premarket gains. Barclays warns that rising yields are making equities a less obvious choice relative to bonds, and market breadth remains narrow, so single-stock catalysts should dominate index-level moves in this session. The Akamai-Anthropic cloud deal is the standout corporate event, lifting the entire AI infrastructure complex. Costco's better-than-expected Q4 results and BlackBerry's guidance raise add to a constructive but selective tape. With SPY essentially flat over the past week, I favor high-conviction, catalyst-driven names that can generate alpha independent of the benchmark.
Why each pick
AKAM
Akamai announced a seven-year, $11.6 billion cloud services commitment from Anthropic, with provisions allowing expansion by up to an additional $9 billion for a potential total of ~$20 billion. The deal includes a warrant for Anthropic to buy up to 5% of Akamai at $111.33 per share and is part of a broader infrastructure investment plan with hardware supply agreements. The stock surged ~21% in premarket trading to around $133.70, and multiple analysts raised price targets, including JPMorgan to $167 and BofA to $185. This is a fundamental re-rating catalyst that transforms Akamai from a value-oriented CDN provider into a hypergrowth AI infrastructure play, and the momentum should carry through the session. Risks: the stock has already gapped up significantly, so some profit-taking is possible; execution risk on the large infrastructure buildout; the deal was disclosed after Thursday's close, so the full market impact may not be fully priced.
META
Meta's personal AI agent Muse has now reached roughly 2.8 million downloads in its first 12 days and is driving a massive re-rating of the stock, with shares up about 27% in under three weeks and on track for their best monthly performance since July 2013. JPMorgan raised its price target to $920, arguing Muse could become the most widely used consumer AI application since ChatGPT. Piper Sandler lifted its target to $875 from $785. The stock closed at $777.59 on Thursday, up 4.5%, and was holding those gains in Friday's premarket. Meta is the most direct large-cap AI monetization story with a proven ad-revenue engine behind it, and the Muse rollout is still in its early innings. Risks: the stock is extended after a 36% run in September, making it vulnerable to profit-taking; any negative regulatory or AI-cost headlines could trigger a sharp reversal; the broader tech sector faces headwinds from rising yields.
AMD
AMD is riding a powerful AI-driven breakout, hitting a new 52-week high above $642 in premarket trading and up more than 2% on Friday. The stock has gained about 12.5% over the past week and just crossed into the $1 trillion market-cap club. The AI infrastructure spending wave, reinforced by the Akamai-Anthropic deal, is lifting the entire semiconductor complex, with AMD as a primary beneficiary. Analysts have outlined a path to $750. AMD's data-center GPU roadmap is gaining credibility as a second source for AI accelerators, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index was up over 1% in early trading. Risks: AMD has already run up significantly and is trading at elevated multiples; the stock is sensitive to any pullback in the broader semiconductor sector; profit-taking after a 52-week high is a real possibility; rising bond yields could pressure high-multiple growth names.
BB
BlackBerry reported Q2 FY27 adjusted EPS of $0.07 versus the $0.04 consensus and revenue of $163.3 million, up 26% year-over-year, driven by record QNX automotive software revenue. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $616-$636 million from $594-$621 million and posted an 81% increase in adjusted EBITDA. The stock jumped 4.2% on Thursday to close at $8.73, crossed above its 200-day moving average, and was trading higher in Friday's premarket around $8.90. BlackBerry's transformation into a software and IoT security company is gaining traction, and the beat-and-raise quarter provides fundamental support for continued momentum. Risks: the stock is a small-cap with higher volatility; insider selling has been persistent; the broader market's narrow breadth could limit follow-through; the 121% year-to-date gain means some investors may look to lock in profits.
HPQ
HP Inc. was added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) list on September 25, with the consensus estimate for current-year earnings having increased 8.4% over the past 60 days. The stock offers a 3.7% dividend yield, well above the industry average of 0.4%, and trades at a low P/E of around 11.8, making it a value play in a market where high-multiple growth names face yield headwinds. HPQ closed at $31.14 on Thursday and was ticking higher in Friday's premarket around $31.27. In a tape where rising bond yields are pressuring expensive tech names, a cash-generative, dividend-paying technology company with positive earnings revisions offers a relative safe-haven within the sector. Risks: the PC and printing markets face structural headwinds; the stock has underperformed recently, down about 3.2% on Thursday and nearly 10% over the past week; a Zacks rank upgrade alone may not be sufficient to drive sustained outperformance in a single session; the broader technology sector is under pressure.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | ARM, QCOM, ADI, AMD, DELL | -4.54% | 0% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | AMD, INTC, MU, TSM, AKAM | -3.43% | 0% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | NVDA, MU, PLTR, META, AVGO | -0.97% | 40% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL | +0.69% | 40% |
| Perplexity | QCOM, ARM, AMD, NVDA, SOXL | -4.31% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | AKAM, MU, ARM, META, NVDA | -3.79% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-09-25.
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