Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-24
Muse Spark 1.1 picked GOOG, IONQ, MSFT, NVDA, SOXL for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: +3.69%. Picks that beat SPY: 100%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-24 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-25 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | +3.69% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 100% |
| Benchmark return | +0.15% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOOG | +1.06% | 72% | +0.91% | Yes |
| 2 | IONQ | +5.52% | 70% | +5.37% | Yes |
| 3 | MSFT | +3.65% | 68% | +3.50% | Yes |
| 4 | NVDA | +1.24% | 66% | +1.09% | Yes |
| 5 | SOXL | +7.75% | 64% | +7.60% | Yes |
The model's market view
Sep 24 2026 14:14 UTC window to Sep 25 14:14 UTC. Finnhub live Sep 24: MSFT $492.835 open $495.07 high $495.68 low $491.22 prev $500.59 -7.755 -1.54% 5D +0.52% 1M +0.23% 6M +32.83% YTD +1.91% beta 1.06, NVDA $222.1325 open $222.08 high $223.2299 low $221.09 prev $225.51 -3.3775 -1.49% 5D +3.85% 6M +24.32% YTD +19.11% beta 2.22, GOOG $335.3 open $333 high $336.27 low $332.81 prev $334.98 +0.32 +0.09% 5D -1.8% 1M -2.34% 6M +15.78% YTD +6.85% beta 1.21, IONQ $41.99 open $41.57 high $43.43 low $41.28 prev $42.54 5D +13.98% 1M -0.14% 6M +31.38% YTD -6.42% beta 3.34, SOXL $140.4033 open $138.47 high $143.475 low $136.9 prev $146.25 -5.84 -3.99% 6M +155% YTD +234% beta 5.94, Tickeron Sep 24 09:59 EDT SOXL $139.96 -6.29 -4.30% vs Sep 23 close, StockInvest Sep 24 expectations $139.83-$152.67 +/-9.19%, Tradestie $146.25 extended vs fair $106-133 support $99.87 resistance $152.64. MSFT -1.54% underperforms SPY if SPY -0.5% but GOOG +0.09% outperforms, IONQ $41.99 near high $43.43 bounce +4.5% from low $41.28.
Why each pick
GOOG
GOOG $335.3 open $333 high $336.27 low $332.81 prev $334.98 +0.32 +0.09% Sep 24 live per Finnhub, only positive among MSFT -1.54% NVDA -1.49% SOXL -3.99% Sep 24. Previous 5D -1.8% oversold bounce vs $332.81 low to $336.27 high +1%. Catalyst Q3 earnings Oct, AI product. Risks regulatory, ad slowdown. Live intraday Sep 24 outperform SPY if SPY down -0.5% to -1% today.
IONQ
IONQ $41.99 open $41.57 high $43.43 low $41.28 prev $42.54 5D +13.98% 6M +31.38% beta 3.34 Sep 24 live per Finnhub, high $43.43 +4.5% from low $41.28 shows reversal bounce +1.04% from open $41.57 to $41.99. Previous Sep 23 $43.11 open $45.84 high $46.05 low $41.63 prev $40.74 +5.47% and Motley Fool $42.54 +4.42% $1.80 current. Catalyst decoder 408 qubits 31.5M ops Superion 256 NVIDIA GB200 NVQLink Sep 23. Risks dilution, volatility. Live intraday Sep 24 bounce likely outperform SPY.
MSFT
MSFT $492.835 open $495.07 high $495.68 low $491.22 prev $500.59 -7.755 -1.54% 5D +0.52% 1M +0.23% 6M +32.83% YTD +1.91% beta 1.06 Sep 24 live per Finnhub, oversold near $491.22 low support vs $495.68 high reversal +0.7% bounce to $492.8. Previous Sep 23 $500.58 +0.51% open $500.755 high $509.44 low $495.88 prev $498. Catalyst Azure growth. Risks valuation PE 28.22. Live intraday Sep 24 washout bounce likely outperform SPY -1% to -1.5% if SPY down more.
NVDA
NVDA $222.1325 open $222.08 high $223.2299 low $221.09 prev $225.51 -3.3775 -1.49% 5D +3.85% 6M +24.32% YTD +19.11% beta 2.22 Sep 24 live per Finnhub, low $221.09 near 50-day $215.47 support per MarketBeat Sep 23, bounce $221.09 to $223.22 +1%. Previous Sep 23 $225.335 open $228.03 high $228.95 low $224.02 prev $228.87 -1.54%. Catalyst Blackwell demand. Risks China export. Live intraday Sep 24 oversold bounce to outperform SPY.
SOXL
SOXL $140.4033 open $138.47 high $143.475 low $136.9 prev $146.25 -5.84 -3.99% 6M +155% YTD +234% beta 5.94 Sep 24 live per Finnhub, Tickeron Sep 24 09:59 EDT $139.96 -6.29 -4.30% vs Sep 23 close, StockInvest Sep 24 expectations $139.83-$152.67 +/-9.19%, Tradestie $146.25 extended vs fair $106-133 support $99.87 resistance $152.64. Low $136.9 vs high $143.47 +4.8% bounce to $140.4 shows reversal. Previous Sep 23 $145.2 -4.44%. Catalyst semis oversold bounce. Risks 3x decay. Live intraday Sep 24 bounce +1.4% from $138.47 open to $140.4 outperform SPY if SPY -1%.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | CRWD, XLE, PANW, LMT, META | -2.30% | 0% |
| Claude Opus 5 | XLE, OIH, XOM, XLF, XLV | -1.49% | 0% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | AAPL, GOOG, NVDA, MSFT, SOXL | +2.44% | 80% |
| Grok 4.5 | XLE, XOM, CVX, COP, OXY | -1.87% | 0% |
| DeepSeek | NBIS, CRWV, GRAL, FRVO, P | -2.44% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-24.
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