Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-09-24
DeepSeek picked NBIS, CRWV, GRAL, FRVO, P for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -2.44%. Picks that beat SPY: 40%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-24 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-25 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -2.44% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 40% |
| Benchmark return | +0.15% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NBIS | -0.80% | 78% | -0.95% | No |
| 2 | CRWV | +0.94% | 75% | +0.79% | Yes |
| 3 | GRAL | +1.68% | 72% | +1.53% | Yes |
| 4 | FRVO | -9.27% | 68% | -9.42% | No |
| 5 | P | -3.99% | 65% | -4.14% | No |
The model's market view
US equities enter the September 24 session under pressure, with S&P 500 futures down roughly 0.3% and the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, its highest since 2007. The market's weakness is broad-based, with technology and semiconductor names leading declines. However, several idiosyncratic catalysts are creating sharp single-stock moves that can overcome the macro headwinds. The neocloud/AI infrastructure sector is bucking the trend on fresh analyst upgrades (Nebius, CoreWeave), while healthcare diagnostics (Grail) and geothermal energy (Fervo) have company-specific breakthroughs driving outsized premarket gains. The setup favors high-conviction, catalyst-driven individual names over broad index exposure.
Why each pick
NBIS
Nebius Group surged over 7% in early trading on September 24, bucking the broader market sell-off, after BNP Paribas Exane upgraded the stock to Outperform from Neutral and raised its price target to $399 from $260, a 53% increase. The upgrade cites strong demand and recent price hikes for GPU services, reinforcing the neocloud sector's momentum. NBIS is a direct beneficiary of the AI infrastructure buildout, and the stock's relative strength in a weak tape signals genuine institutional accumulation. Risks include the stock's high valuation (market cap ~$61 billion) and the possibility that the broader tech sell-off intensifies, dragging even the strongest names lower. Reference price is an intraday quote from September 24, 2026, sourced from yicai.com.
CRWV
CoreWeave is riding the same neocloud momentum as Nebius, up over 3% in early trading on September 24 after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight from Neutral and raised its price target to $125. The upgrade highlights strong AI demand and pricing power for GPU cloud services. CoreWeave is a direct play on the AI infrastructure supercycle, and its relative strength in a weak market is notable. Risks include the company's significant debt load, the capital-intensive nature of its business, and the possibility that a broader tech sell-off overwhelms the sector-specific catalyst. Reference price is an intraday quote from September 24, 2026, sourced from edaily.co.kr.
GRAL
Grail surged over 36% after an FDA advisory panel voted 7-2 (with one abstention) that the benefits of its Galleri multi-cancer early detection blood test outweigh its risks for adults aged 50 and older. The panel also voted unanimously that the test is safe. The FDA is not bound by the panel's recommendation but typically follows it, and the positive vote removes a major regulatory overhang. The catalyst is substantive and binary, and the stock's massive move reflects genuine re-rating potential. Risks include the possibility that the FDA rejects or delays the application despite the panel vote, and the stock's volatility (it had already rallied 42.91% over the past week before the panel vote). Reference price is an intraday quote from September 24, 2026, sourced from sohu.com.
FRVO
Fervo Energy surged over 10% in early trading on September 24 after announcing that its Cape Station geothermal development project in Utah achieved first power. The milestone validates Fervo's enhanced geothermal technology and positions the company as a key supplier of clean, firm power for AI data centers (Google is a partner). The catalyst is substantive and time-bound: first power is a concrete operational milestone that de-risks the technology. Risks include the company's post-IPO disclosure risks, a wider-than-expected net loss in Q2, and the capital-intensive nature of geothermal development. Reference price is an intraday quote from September 24, 2026, sourced from Robinhood.
P
Everpure (formerly Pure Storage) rose over 7% in premarket and early trading on September 24 after the data-storage company issued a preliminary FY28 revenue outlook of $7.0-7.3 billion, well above the $6.3 billion analyst consensus, and reaffirmed FY26 guidance. Management described the company as at an 'inflection point,' citing hyperscaler business opportunities and AI-driven demand for data storage. The stock is trading near its 52-week high of $119.10, and the guidance raise is a strong forward-looking catalyst. Risks include the possibility that the guidance proves overly optimistic, and the stock's elevated valuation after a 63% year-to-date gain. Reference price is an intraday quote from September 24, 2026, sourced from Robinhood.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | CRWD, XLE, PANW, LMT, META | -2.30% | 0% |
| Claude Opus 5 | XLE, OIH, XOM, XLF, XLV | -1.49% | 0% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | GOOG, IONQ, MSFT, NVDA, SOXL | +3.69% | 100% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | AAPL, GOOG, NVDA, MSFT, SOXL | +2.44% | 80% |
| Grok 4.5 | XLE, XOM, CVX, COP, OXY | -1.87% | 0% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-09-24.
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