Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11
DeepSeek V3 picked ORCL, RH, CPRT, XLE, BAC for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -1.61%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek V3 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v7 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-10 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-11 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -1.61% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | +0.85% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORCL | -1.74% | 72% | -2.59% | No |
| 2 | RH | +0.04% | 68% | -0.82% | No |
| 3 | CPRT | -2.60% | 62% | -3.45% | No |
| 4 | XLE | +0.32% | 58% | -0.53% | No |
| 5 | BAC | +0.21% | 55% | -0.64% | No |
The model's market view
The S&P 500 fell for a fourth straight session on Sept 10, pressured by Brent crude above $100, elevated Treasury yields and inflation anxiety. August CPI at 8:30 AM ET on Sept 11 is the dominant catalyst: consensus expects headline +0.4% m/m and core +0.2% m/m (2.4% y/y). A hot core print would cement September rate-hike odds and favor banks and energy, while an in-line or cool print could spark a relief rally in rate-sensitive growth. Stock-specific earnings and M&A catalysts should drive relative outperformance regardless of the CPI outcome.
Why each pick
ORCL
Oracle reported a strong fiscal Q1 beat after the Sept 10 close: adjusted EPS of $1.92 versus the $1.73 consensus and revenue of $19.3 billion versus $19.14 billion expected. The company added more than $30 billion in AI cloud contracts, lifting its backlog to $664 billion, and raised FY adjusted EPS guidance to $8.10. Shares rose about 4.6% in after-hours trading to $160.04. Risks: high-multiple technology names are rate-sensitive and could sell off if CPI surprises hot; the after-hours gain may partially fade at the open; AI-driven backlog growth remains dependent on continued hyperscaler spending.
RH
RH reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.70, crushing the $0.39 consensus, on revenue of $922.2 million that also beat expectations. Shares rose roughly 6.5% after hours to $142.76. Short interest is extremely elevated at 26-32% of float, creating meaningful squeeze potential on a large fundamental beat. Risks: RH is a high-beta consumer discretionary name with housing-market exposure; a hot CPI print could pressure rate-sensitive retail; the after-hours move already prices in much of the beat, limiting incremental upside.
CPRT
Copart announced a definitive agreement to acquire ACV Auctions for $10.50 per share in cash, an approximately $1.9 billion deal that expands its position across the vehicle remarketing ecosystem. Shares jumped about 8.65% after hours to $33.35 despite a Q4 EPS miss, as investors focused on the strategic expansion. Risks: the Q4 earnings miss and deal integration risk could weigh on sentiment; the after-hours pop may fade if the broad market sells off on a hot CPI; the acquisition is subject to regulatory approval.
XLE
Brent crude surged above $109 per barrel after Iran-related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and energy is the best-performing S&P 500 sector year-to-date with a gain of roughly 48%. A hot CPI print would reinforce the inflation trade and support energy equities. Risks: energy stocks gapped up and faded during the Sept 10 session, suggesting selling pressure into strength; a cool CPI print or an oil price reversal would hurt the sector; the ETF is already extended after a large multi-month run.
BAC
Bank of America is the most interest-rate-sensitive of the mega-cap banks, with management disclosing an approximately $3 billion annual net interest income boost per 100 basis points of rate increase. With markets pricing a roughly 60-70% probability of a September rate hike, a hot CPI print would widen net interest margins and favor bank shares. Risks: a cool CPI print would reduce rate-hike odds and pressure bank stocks; BAC slipped 0.18% on Sept 10 and could lag if the market rotates into growth on a soft inflation reading.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | ACVA, ORCL, FEIM, CPRT, RH | +15.60% | 40% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | ORCL, XOM, CVX, ELV, CHTR | -0.14% | 20% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | ORCL, ADBE, AAPL, NVDA, MSFT | -0.45% | 40% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | ORCL, XLE, AAPL, CNQ, BIIB | -0.91% | 20% |
| Kimi | AAPL, XLE, SWKS, ELV, QRVO | +1.46% | 60% |
| Grok 4.5 | XLE, XOM, CVX, COP, AAPL | -0.18% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11.
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