Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11
DeepSeek V3 picked ORCL, RH, CPRT, HPE, GME for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -2.64%. Picks that beat SPY: 40%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek V3 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v7 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-11 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-14 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -2.64% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 40% |
| Benchmark return | -0.65% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORCL | -7.23% | 75% | -6.57% | No |
| 2 | RH | -2.27% | 72% | -1.62% | No |
| 3 | CPRT | +1.43% | 70% | +2.08% | Yes |
| 4 | HPE | -8.34% | 65% | -7.69% | No |
| 5 | GME | -0.05% | 58% | +0.60% | Yes |
The model's market view
US equity futures point to a higher open on Friday, September 11, 2026, with Dow futures up over 1% and S&P 500 futures up roughly 0.6%, as a pullback in crude oil prices from four-month highs provides relief and investors digest an August CPI report that was broadly in line on headline (0.4% m/m, 3.4% y/y) but slightly hot on core (0.3% m/m vs. 0.2% expected). Despite the firmer core reading, which pushed September Fed rate-hike odds to roughly 85-90%, markets are rebounding after a four-session losing streak on the view that the inflation data removes a key overhang. Rotation is visible: the Dow is outperforming the Nasdaq, with value and cyclical sectors leading while technology and semiconductors lag. Oracle's strong Q1 earnings and raised FY27 guidance are lifting enterprise software and AI infrastructure sentiment, while lower oil prices are pressuring energy but easing inflation fears. The VIX remains elevated near 18, suggesting continued volatility. Against this backdrop, SPY is likely to grind higher, but idiosyncratic earnings and event-driven names with strong company-specific catalysts should outperform the broad index over the one-session window.
Why each pick
ORCL
Oracle reported better-than-expected Q1 FY27 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.92 exceeding estimates and revenue of $19.35 billion, while cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% year-over-year. Management raised its FY27 adjusted EPS guidance, and the AI cloud backlog beat estimates, easing concerns about the company's massive debt-driven spending spree. The stock surged over 7% in premarket trading, reversing a 5.38% decline from Thursday's close. Multiple analysts reaffirmed Buy ratings, with price targets ranging from $195 to $400. Risks include elevated valuation, a potential rotation away from technology stocks as the Nasdaq diverges lower from the Dow, and the possibility that the premarket gap captures much of the upside before the window opens; ORCL may also face profit-taking after its sharp reversal.
RH
RH delivered a massive Q2 FY2026 earnings beat, reporting adjusted EPS of $2.70 versus the $0.39 consensus estimate, and revenue of $922.2 million exceeding the $915.1 million forecast. The company raised its annual guidance and expects an additional $13.9 million in tariff-related benefits in the second half. Shares jumped approximately 8% in premarket trading after falling 3.84% during Thursday's regular session, and the stock appears significantly undervalued based on GF Value metrics. Risks include margin pressure from tariffs and freight costs, cautious consumer discretionary spending, mixed analyst reactions with some price target cuts (TD Cowen lowered to $190, JPMorgan to $190, UBS to $154), and the possibility that the one-time tariff refund benefit is not sustainable, which could cap upside beyond the initial gap.
CPRT
Copart announced a definitive agreement to acquire ACV Auctions for $10.50 per share in cash, representing an equity value of approximately $1.9 billion and a 45% premium to ACV's unaffected closing price. Simultaneously, Copart reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $1.2 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. Barrington Research upgraded the stock from Market Perform to Outperform with a $40 price target, implying roughly 30% upside from the premarket price. Shares rose approximately 7% in premarket trading. Risks include the acquisition being dilutive to near-term earnings (expected breakeven in the current year, accretive only in FY28), declining insurance volumes, rising per-unit costs, and integration risk; additionally, the stock had fallen 4% on Thursday, and the gap-up may attract sellers.
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged over 8% in early Friday trading, making it one of the top gainers among large-cap US equities. The move is driven by continued strong AI spending momentum, amplified by Oracle's blowout cloud infrastructure results, which signal robust demand for AI servers and enterprise hardware. HPE has a consensus Buy rating with an average 12-month price target of $67.43, implying approximately 22% upside from current levels. The stock is benefiting from the broader enterprise hardware strength noted in sector rotation trends. Risks include the stock's high beta to AI sentiment, potential profit-taking after the sharp intraday move, competition from Dell and Super Micro, and the possibility that the rally fades if the Nasdaq's divergence from the Dow widens and tech-adjacent names come under pressure.
GME
GameStop shares rose approximately 4% in premarket trading after an SEC filing disclosed that chairman and CEO Ryan Cohen purchased 1 million Class A shares in the open market at an average price of approximately $20.38, totaling roughly $20.4 million. This is Cohen's largest single purchase since January and significantly increases his direct ownership to 39.3 million shares, signaling strong insider confidence. The stock has been building a rounding bottom near $17.84 support, and retail sentiment remains a powerful force for GME. Risks include extreme volatility, the lack of a fundamental earnings catalyst (the move is purely sentiment and insider-signal driven), low analyst price targets (median $13.50), and the tendency of meme stocks to reverse sharply after gap-ups; GME could easily underperform SPY if retail enthusiasm fades intraday.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | ORCL, XOM, LMT, CVX, RTX | -0.67% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5 | ORCL, DELL, XLE, NVDA, RTX | -2.78% | 20% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | ORCL, NVDA, SMH, QQQ, MSFT | -2.71% | 20% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | ORCL, RH, CSCO, CAT, META | -1.80% | 40% |
| Grok 4.5 | ORCL, DELL, HPE, NVDA, CPRT | -3.96% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11.
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