Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11
DeepSeek V3 picked DELL, ACVA, HPE, MRVL, RH for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -2.58%. Picks that beat SPY: 40%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek V3 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v7 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-11 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-14 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -2.58% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 40% |
| Benchmark return | -0.31% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DELL | -3.06% | 75% | -2.76% | No |
| 2 | ACVA | -0.05% | 85% | +0.26% | Yes |
| 3 | HPE | -6.84% | 70% | -6.53% | No |
| 4 | MRVL | -6.81% | 65% | -6.50% | No |
| 5 | RH | +2.30% | 60% | +2.61% | Yes |
The model's market view
US equities are rebounding as oil prices ease and CPI matches expectations, but Fed rate hike risk and weak breadth remain headwinds. AI infrastructure names show strong momentum on earnings and backlog, while merger arbitrage offers low-risk relative performance.
Why each pick
DELL
Dell surged 10.5% on September 11, driven by its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings blowout with AI-optimized server revenue doubling to $16.4 billion and a record $95 billion AI backlog. The stock is pressing against a 52-week high on conviction buying, and the AI infrastructure buildout narrative remains strong. Risks include profit-taking after a sharp one-day move and broader market volatility from Fed rate hike expectations.
ACVA
ACV Auctions agreed to be acquired by Copart for $10.50 per share in cash, a 45% premium to its unaffected price. The stock trades near $10.38, offering a near-certain convergence to the deal price with minimal downside. Risks include deal break (unlikely given definitive agreement) and underperformance if SPY rallies more than the small arbitrage spread.
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise jumped 11.4% on September 11, benefiting from the same AI server demand tailwinds that lifted Dell. HPE's enterprise AI infrastructure exposure and recent earnings momentum position it for continued relative strength. Risks include a sharp pullback after the outsized move and competition in the AI server market.
MRVL
Marvell Technology rose over 5% on September 11 after Piper Sandler upgraded the stock, citing strong AI datacenter growth. Marvell's custom silicon and networking solutions are direct beneficiaries of AI infrastructure spending. Risks include semiconductor sector volatility and potential profit-taking after the upgrade-driven rally.
RH
RH reported a massive Q2 earnings beat with EPS of $2.70 versus the $0.39 consensus, sending shares up 8% premarket. The strong profitability and revenue beat could drive follow-through buying. Risks include a cautious Q3 revenue outlook, small-cap volatility, and potential fading of the earnings pop.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | DELL, HPE, GOOGL, AAPL, SMCI | -1.78% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5 | ORCL, DELL, XLE, NVDA, VLO | -2.96% | 0% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | ORCL, DELL, NVDA, AVGO, CLS | -4.10% | 0% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | BE, ORCL, HPE, DELL, AAPL | -3.97% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | DELL, HPE, ANET, ORCL, SMCI | -4.18% | 0% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek V3's picks for 2026-09-11.
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