Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-11
Muse Spark 1.1 picked ORCL, DELL, NVDA, AVGO, CLS for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -4.10%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v7 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-11 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-14 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -4.10% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | -0.31% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORCL | -5.11% | 82% | -4.80% | No |
| 2 | DELL | -3.06% | 75% | -2.76% | No |
| 3 | NVDA | -3.19% | 71% | -2.88% | No |
| 4 | AVGO | -4.76% | 68% | -4.45% | No |
| 5 | CLS | -5.93% | 65% | -5.62% | No |
The model's market view
August CPI released Sep 11 at 8:30am ET: headline +0.4% MoM matching forecast, core +0.3% MoM above 0.2% forecast, YoY headline 3.4% and core 2.4% three-month low. Fed hike odds for Sep 16 jumped to near certainty after release, but major indices opened higher. Dominant intraday driver is Oracle's blowout Q1 FY27: cloud revenues +62% to $11.6B, IaaS +121%, $30B+ AI contracts, RPO $664B up $209B QoQ, FY27 revenue guide $90B+ and Q2 cloud growth 65-71%. That fueled 36% jump Sep 10 and contagion into AI infrastructure. For 1 session, AI capex momentum should outperform broad SPY which is pressured by hawkish CPI read.
Why each pick
ORCL
Thesis: Q1 FY27 beat with record AI demand. RPO $664B up $209B from last year, $30B new AI cloud contracts in quarter, cloud infrastructure +121% YoY. Raised FY27 revenue to at least $90B +34% and guided Q2 revenue +30-34% and cloud +65-71%. Led NYSE gains Sep 10 with +36%. Momentum continuation into Sep 11 session as shorts cover and analysts re-rate. Risks: 36% gap up leaves overbought, high capex and $20B debt/equity financing need, hot core CPI 0.3% MoM increases rate hike risk pressuring high-multiple software. Outperformance vs SPY likely because earnings idiosyncratic outweighs macro.
DELL
Thesis: Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy momentum stock for Sep 11 with earnings estimate +13.5% in 60 days. Core beneficiary of Oracle buildout: Dell builds AI Factory servers for 5,000+ customers including Nvidia, OpenAI, neoclouds. Q2 AI server orders $61B and backlog $95B up from $51.3B last quarter. Nvidia validated Dell commentary. With ORCL adding 700+ AI customers on OCI, Dell server/storage demand directly leveraged. Momentum characteristics flagged by Nasdaq/Barchart for Sep 11. Risks: PC business cyclical, margin pressure from low-margin AI servers, Fed hike bets after CPI could hit hardware spend, valuation at 19x forward already pricing some upside.
NVDA
Thesis: Oracle cloud surge is Nvidia GPU consumption story. Oracle serves vast majority of large model providers who spend new capacity in 2-3 days. Dell earnings showed AI hardware demand extends beyond cloud majors and boosted NVDA +3.2% previously. With ORCL capex ramp and 1.2 GW data center capacity delivered in FY26, GPU pull-through high. Sep 11 momentum screen favors AI chip leaders when broad market digesting CPI. Risks: Hot core CPI 0.3% raises yields pressuring growth, high expectations into earnings, supply constraints, profit-taking after Oracle-led run.
AVGO
Thesis: Broadcom benefits from same AI infrastructure capex as custom accelerators and networking for Oracle and Dell AI factories. Part of AI infrastructure basket alongside Nvidia. Less overbought than ORCL, so catch-up momentum on 1-day horizon if SPY pressured by rate hike narrative - high-quality earnings and buybacks provide defensive growth. With Oracle guiding 65-71% cloud growth, Broadcom Tomahawk/Jericho and custom XPU demand rises. Risks: CPI-driven rate hike near certainty hurts semis multiple, exposure to China, valuation premium, headline CPI 0.4% MoM acceleration may trigger risk-off rotation away from chips.
CLS
Thesis: Celestica flagged as top AI hardware supplier alongside Dell and Sanmina for September gains due to AI spending trend. Contract manufacturer for AI server racks, benefits from Oracle $664B RPO needing rapid deployment and Dell $95B backlog. Small/mid-cap high beta to AI momentum, more likely to outperform SPY on strong tape. Momentum stock with AI backlog leverage. Risks: Lower liquidity vs large caps, tariff and supply chain risk, Fed hawkishness after CPI 0.4% headline could hurt small caps more than SPY, earnings revision volatility.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | DELL, HPE, GOOGL, AAPL, SMCI | -1.78% | 40% |
| DeepSeek V3 | DELL, ACVA, HPE, MRVL, RH | -2.58% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5 | ORCL, DELL, XLE, NVDA, VLO | -2.96% | 0% |
| GPT-5.6 Sol | BE, ORCL, HPE, DELL, AAPL | -3.97% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | DELL, HPE, ANET, ORCL, SMCI | -4.18% | 0% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-11.
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