NVDA 1-day forecast by Gemini 3 Pro
Gemini 3 Pro's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-28: expected range $226.50 to $235.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $231.10: direction called incorrectly, score 52.1.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 3 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $231.03 |
| Price the model reported | $230.46 |
| Expected range | $226.50 to $235.00 |
| Confidence | 65% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $231.10 |
| Traded range in the window | $228.04 to $232.82 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 52.1 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Live financial market quotes retrieved from NASDAQ data feeds indicate NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is trading at $230.46 as of September 28, 2026, bolstered by an aggressive announcement expanding its stock buyback program by $150 billion to a total authorization of $235 billion.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: The equity is experiencing strong positive momentum following the major capital return announcement, driving institutional accumulation and maintaining aggressive tech sector leadership at the start of the week.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Utilizing intraday trading bands spanning a session low near $228.47 and an upper resistance test reaching $233.21, the 1-day range is projected between $226.50 and $235.00 to account for heightened volatility around the massive buyback catalyst.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Continuous capital inflows and retail-to-institutional rebalancing driven by the newly expanded $235 billion buyback program announcement will dictate immediate price action.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sudden macro-driven risk-off rotation or profit-taking exhaustion following the initial buyback gap-up could trigger a mean-reversion move toward previous closing support at $225.07.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence is set at 65% to reflect strong fundamental tailwinds and explicit shareholder-return catalysts tempered by the inherent short-term volatility of large-cap tech tape movement.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | $225.00 to $239.00 | 48% | Direction called incorrectly | 57.3 |
| Perplexity | $223.80 to $232.40 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 36.9 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $226.00 to $238.50 | 33% | Direction called incorrectly | 55.7 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $225.00 to $235.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 57.0 |
| DeepSeek | $228.00 to $240.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 58.7 |
| Grok 4.5 | $225.00 to $235.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 52.7 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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