NVDA 1-day forecast by DeepSeek
DeepSeek's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-28: expected range $228.00 to $240.00 at 62% confidence. Settled at $231.10: direction called incorrectly, score 58.7.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $231.03 |
| Price the model reported | $232.28 |
| Expected range | $228.00 to $240.00 |
| Confidence | 62% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $231.10 |
| Traded range in the window | $228.04 to $232.82 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 58.7 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What I found: NVDA is trading at $232.28 as of 10:01 AM ET on Sept 28, 2026, up 3.21% from the prior close of $225.07. The catalyst is a $150 billion increase to its share repurchase program, bringing total authorization to $235 billion - the largest such increase in history (Morningstar/Dow Jones Market Data, Sept 28, 2026). CEO Jensen Huang also appeared on CNBC's Squawk Box to discuss the buyback and Nvidia's Open Agent Safety Platform. The stock is on pace for its highest close since May 14, 2026.
(2) Market regime: The stock is approaching its all-time closing high of $235.74 (May 14, 2026) and its 52-week high of $236.54. It is the best performer in the DJIA and second-best in the S&P 500 today (Morningstar). The buyback news has reversed a recent pullback and put the stock back near record levels. Beta is 2.17 (Investors.com), so daily volatility is elevated.
(3) Price range justification: I am using a $228-$240 range. The lower bound reflects the intraday low of $228.47 and the prior close of $225.07 as a support zone. The upper bound extends slightly above the all-time high to account for a possible breakout if buyback momentum carries through. Today's intraday range is already $228.47-$233.21 (Investors.com), so a $12 range is consistent with recent volatility.
(4) Catalysts: The buyback is the primary catalyst and is already public. No earnings are scheduled within the 1-day window (next earnings are Nov 25, 2026 per Investing.com). The CEO's CNBC interview is ongoing but largely priced in. No other major scheduled events are inside the window.
(5) Counter-argument: The strongest bear case is that the stock is already up 3.2% and approaching strong resistance at the all-time high of $235.74. Buyback announcements often see an initial pop followed by profit-taking as the news is absorbed. If the stock fails to break $235, it could pull back toward $228 or lower. A broad market selloff or rising yields could also pressure the stock.
(6) Confidence: I set confidence at 62% because the buyback is a substantive, verifiable catalyst that provides near-term support, but the stock is already near record highs, limiting upside room and increasing reversal risk. The 1-day horizon makes the forecast sensitive to noise.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | $225.00 to $239.00 | 48% | Direction called incorrectly | 57.3 |
| Perplexity | $223.80 to $232.40 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 36.9 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $226.00 to $238.50 | 33% | Direction called incorrectly | 55.7 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $225.00 to $235.00 | 62% | Direction called incorrectly | 57.0 |
| Grok 4.5 | $225.00 to $235.00 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 52.7 |
| Gemini 3 Pro | $226.50 to $235.00 | 65% | Direction called incorrectly | 52.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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