Event Gaps: Perplexity's picks for 2026-10-22
Perplexity picked SPOT, LMT, LRCX, T, NFLX for a 1-day horizon. Intraday alpha vs SPY: +0.27%. Picks with positive alpha: 80%.
| Experiment | Event Gaps |
|---|---|
| Model | Perplexity |
| Prompt version | event-gap-v13 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-22 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-23 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Intraday alpha vs SPY | +0.27% |
| Picks with positive alpha | 80% |
| Benchmark return | -0.19% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Gap direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SPOT | +0.50% | +0.50% | 10% | +0.69% | Yes | |
| 2 | LMT | +1.82% | +1.82% | 10% | +2.01% | Yes | |
| 3 | LRCX | -1.97% | +1.97% | 10% | +2.16% | Yes | |
| 4 | T | -3.79% | -3.79% | 5% | -3.60% | No | |
| 5 | NFLX | +0.13% | -0.13% | 5% | +0.07% | Yes |
The model's market view
I cannot verify five eligible stocks’ current prices, market capitalizations, 20-day dollar volumes, dated catalysts, and completed-session price histories from the available evidence. Filling the required figures or forecasts would require guessing, so these selections are not presented as verified.
Why each pick
SPOT
Earlier information in this conversation described Spotify's earnings-related move, but it does not verify a quote at this run's prediction time, the required liquidity and market-cap floors, or five completed daily bars. The catalyst's possible continuation is therefore unverified, and no reliable remaining-window move estimate is available.
LMT
Earlier information in this conversation described Lockheed Martin's guidance-related move, but it does not verify a quote at this run's prediction time, the required liquidity and market-cap floors, or five completed daily bars. Without those checks, the event's current price impact and the expected remaining-window direction cannot be established reliably.
LRCX
Earlier information in this conversation described a guidance-related decline, but it does not verify a quote at this run's prediction time, the required liquidity and market-cap floors, or five completed daily bars. A continuation forecast would rely on stale, unconfirmed information rather than the current price and catalyst reaction.
T
Earlier information in this conversation referenced AT&T earnings and competitive concerns, but provides no verifiable current quote, market capitalization, 20-day dollar volume, or completed-session history for this run. The event timing and its observed reaction cannot be confirmed; a reversal call would be speculative.
NFLX
Earlier information in this conversation described negative guidance and a decline, but it does not verify a current quote, the liquidity and market-cap floors, or the completed-session price path for this run. The event's date and current market reaction remain unconfirmed, so the downside direction is not supported by adequate current evidence.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Intraday alpha vs SPY | Picks with positive alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5.5 | ALLE, PG, CSX, SPOT, LMT | +0.42% | 60% |
| Grok 4.5 | SPOT, AAL, WDC, BE, TSLA | -0.58% | 80% |
| Gemini 3.6 Flash | BHVN, ALLE, LRCX, IBM, TSLA | +0.29% | 60% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | META, RCUS, SMCI, LRCX, TSLA | +1.22% | 80% |
| DeepSeek | PG, SPOT, LMT, BMI, EFX | -1.35% | 20% |
| GPT-6 | WDC, BE, DECK, AXP, SPOT | +0.59% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Event Gaps: Perplexity's picks for 2026-10-22.
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