Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-22
DeepSeek picked LMT, ALLE, CSX, ROP, PG for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: +0.88%. Picks that beat SPY: 60%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-22 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-23 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | +0.88% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 60% |
| Benchmark return | -0.03% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LMT | +1.41% | 72% | +1.44% | Yes |
| 2 | ALLE | +3.18% | 70% | +3.21% | Yes |
| 3 | CSX | -1.42% | 67% | -1.39% | No |
| 4 | ROP | +3.73% | 65% | +3.76% | Yes |
| 5 | PG | -2.67% | 63% | -2.64% | No |
The model's market view
US equities are soft as AI capex concerns and higher oil weigh on index futures, with SPY around $765.50 below Wednesday's range. In this tape, post-earnings gap-up names with raised guidance and low-to-moderate beta are the cleanest candidates to outperform SPY over the next session, though most are already extended intraday.
Why each pick
LMT
Lockheed Martin reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $7.97 versus the $7.52 consensus and revenue of $20.7 billion, up 11% year over year, then raised full-year EPS guidance to $30.35-$30.75 with a midpoint above consensus. The stock was $586.72 in a live Yahoo Finance regular-session quote at 11:16 EDT on 2026-10-22, up 6.38% from the prior close of $551.51, and remains below the $618.86 mean target. The low beta and record backlog make it a relative safe haven if SPY stays under pressure, but the main risk is that the gap already captures much of the beat and the shares could consolidate intraday. Quote freshness: live regular-session price, about 0 minutes stale at the prediction timestamp.
ALLE
Allegion reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1.17 billion, up 9.6% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $2.60, and raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $9.05-$9.10 from $8.85-$9.00. The stock was $173.49 in a live Yahoo Finance regular-session quote at 11:16 EDT on 2026-10-22, up 9.11% from the prior close of $159.00 and near its 52-week high of $183.11, with the mean target at $178.00. The beat-and-raise is substantive, but the risk is that a one-day 9% gap in a cyclical name attracts profit-taking if the broader market weakens. Quote freshness: live regular-session price, about 0 minutes stale at the prediction timestamp.
CSX
CSX reported record Q3 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 12% year over year, adjusted EPS of $0.57 versus the $0.53 consensus, a 39.1% operating margin and 5% volume growth, and raised full-year guidance. The stock was $51.71 in a live Yahoo Finance regular-session quote at 11:17 EDT on 2026-10-22, up 6.83% from the prior close of $48.40, with the mean target at $53.36. The risk is that rail volumes are economically sensitive and the gap is already large; if SPY selling intensifies, CSX's beta of 1.20 could work against relative performance. Quote freshness: live regular-session price, about 0 minutes stale at the prediction timestamp.
ROP
Roper Technologies reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $5.89 versus the $5.79 consensus, revenue of $2.17 billion in line with expectations, 8% total revenue growth and 7% organic growth, and raised full-year adjusted DEPS guidance to $22.35-$22.40 from $22.15-$22.30. The stock was $422.65 in a live Yahoo Finance regular-session quote at 11:14 EDT on 2026-10-22, up 6.30% from the prior close of $397.56, with the mean target at $439.43. The beat-and-raise supports the move, but partial-session volume was only about 292,000 shares versus a 792,000 full-day average, so intraday volume confirmation is not yet established. Quote freshness: live regular-session price, about 2 minutes stale at the prediction timestamp.
PG
Procter & Gamble reported fiscal Q1 2027 EPS of $2.00 versus the $1.89 estimate and revenue that supported a 5.8% premarket-to-intraday rally, with the stock near its 52-week high of $167.25. The stock was $165.94 in a live Yahoo Finance regular-session quote at 11:13 EDT on 2026-10-22, up 5.80% from the prior close of $156.84. The defensive demand profile and beta of 0.38 make PG a relative shelter if SPY remains weak, but the mean target of $162.13 is below the current price, so analyst-implied upside is limited and the rally may be vulnerable to profit-taking. Quote freshness: live regular-session price, about 3 minutes stale at the prediction timestamp.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | LMT, CSX, XLV, XLP, SPOT | -0.10% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | LMT, XLP, SPOT, CSX, ZS | +0.79% | 60% |
| Grok 4.5 | SPOT, WCN, XLE, CVX, XOM | +3.12% | 100% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | BHVN, LRCX, IBM, ALLE, TSLA | -0.55% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-22.
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