Stock Selection: GPT-6.1 Sol's picks for 2026-11-02
GPT-6.1 Sol picked DAL, MAR, NVDA, AVGO, IDXX for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: +2.17%. Picks that beat SPY: 100%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | GPT-6.1 Sol |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-11-02 |
| Measured to | 2026-11-03 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | +2.17% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 100% |
| Benchmark return | -0.98% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | -0.14% | 64% | +0.84% | Yes |
| 2 | MAR | +1.55% | 62% | +2.53% | Yes |
| 3 | NVDA | -0.38% | 60% | +0.60% | Yes |
| 4 | AVGO | +0.53% | 59% | +1.51% | Yes |
| 5 | IDXX | +4.38% | 56% | +5.36% | Yes |
The model's market view
Moderately bullish through the specified window ending 2026-11-03T15:44:00.000Z. Falling oil prices and reported efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz support travel businesses and a rebound in risk appetite. I favor fuel-cost beneficiaries, companies raising guidance, and selected semiconductor rebound candidates. Allocate 20% to each selection. Earlier session gains are already reflected in prices and are not forecast returns. Principal portfolio risks are renewed geopolitical escalation, reversal of the technology rebound, and profit-taking after earnings. Quotes are the latest accessible regular-session snapshots, not synchronized window-start prices.
Why each pick
DAL
Today's oil decline creates a direct catalyst for reassessing fuel-cost pressure. Delta previously reported absorbing more than $500 million of fuel costs above its July guidance while maintaining strong demand. My inference is that continued energy-price relief can support further outperformance versus SPY during the remaining window. Risks include reversal of the oil decline, delayed transmission to jet-fuel prices, refinery offsets, and profit-taking after the existing rally. The latest accessible quote was a regular-session price labeled real-time at 10:36 AM EST on November 2.
MAR
This morning's results showed worldwide revenue per available room growth of 6.5%, adjusted EPS of $3.02, and an increase in the full-year room-revenue growth outlook to 4.5%-5.0%. I expect favorable estimate revisions and continued digestion of the stronger outlook to support relative performance into the next session. Risks include the substantial retreat from today's opening price, elevated valuation, increased debt, and renewed disruption to international travel. The latest accessible quote was a regular-session price labeled real-time at 10:33 AM EST on November 2.
NVDA
Nvidia is rebounding following Friday's roughly 4.2% decline. My thesis is that improving risk appetite can extend the recovery in this liquid semiconductor leader, producing greater upside sensitivity than SPY over the remaining session window. This is a conditional rebound forecast rather than a prediction of a new company announcement. Risks include renewed concern about AI spending economics, further semiconductor selling, and reversal of today's recovery. The latest accessible quote was a regular-session price labeled real-time at 10:38 AM EST on November 2.
AVGO
Broadcom's October 26 announcement of a $63 billion financing structure supporting Anthropic's access to its AI accelerators and networking provides a concrete demand-related counterweight to recent sector pessimism. Combined with today's rebound, I infer potential for further relative recovery after Friday's decline. The financing announcement is already public and deliveries begin in 2027; neither guarantees immediate buying. Risks include financing and execution concerns, doubts about AI investment returns, and renewed sector weakness. The latest accessible quote was a regular-session price labeled real-time at 10:35 AM EST on November 2.
IDXX
Today's release raised full-year revenue guidance by $32 million at the midpoint and EPS guidance by $0.25 to $14.96-$15.16, supported by recurring diagnostics growth. My inference is that analyst revisions and continued earnings-related demand could sustain outperformance into tomorrow morning. Confidence is limited because the accessible quote already reflects a 16.22% advance. Risks include sharp profit-taking, valuation sensitivity, and the reduction in full-year operating-margin guidance associated with acquisition impacts. The latest accessible quote was a regular-session price labeled real-time at 10:16 AM EST on November 2; this snapshot is older than the other selections' quotes.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | MAR, UAL, IDXX, XPEV, PLTR | +0.05% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | MAR, EL, SMH, MU, UAL | +0.02% | 40% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | AMD, NVDA, PLTR, AMZN, DAL | -1.58% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | TSLA, NVDA, PLTR, QQQ, AAPL | -2.23% | 20% |
| Perplexity | RIVN, MAR, IDXX, REGN, GPN | +1.86% | 80% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | UAL, CCL, DAL, VRT, XLI | +0.63% | 60% |
| Grok 4.7 | IDXX, RIVN, ULCC, NVDA, JBLU | -0.31% | 60% |
| DeepSeek | OKTA, AAPL, QQQ, PLTR, RIVN | -2.77% | 0% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: GPT-6.1 Sol's picks for 2026-11-02.
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