Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-11-02
DeepSeek picked OKTA, AAPL, QQQ, PLTR, RIVN for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -2.77%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-11-02 |
| Measured to | 2026-11-03 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -2.77% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | -0.98% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OKTA | -4.43% | 67% | -3.44% | No |
| 2 | AAPL | -3.46% | 65% | -2.47% | No |
| 3 | QQQ | -1.57% | 63% | -0.59% | No |
| 4 | PLTR | -7.75% | 58% | -6.77% | No |
| 5 | RIVN | -1.55% | 56% | -0.57% | No |
The model's market view
U.S. futures were higher early Monday as technology stabilized after Friday's sharp selloff. The one-session window captures Apple and Palantir earnings after the close, continued S&P 500 inclusion buying in Okta, and the first pre-market hours of Nov. 3; midterm caution and elevated Treasury yields remain background risks.
Why each pick
OKTA
Okta is set to join the S&P 500 before the open on Nov. 4, and index-tracking funds must own it by then, leaving Monday and Tuesday for inclusion-related buying. The stock fell more than 6% Friday in the broad tech selloff, which improves the setup for a rebound as index demand builds. The reference price is a premarket quote from Gotrade, not a regular-session print, so the intraday price may differ. Risks include a very high valuation, the possibility that inclusion demand is already partly priced, and renewed weakness in high-multiple software names.
AAPL
Apple reports fiscal fourth-quarter results after the close, with consensus near $113.3 billion in revenue. Product momentum is strong: iPhone 18 Pro sales are outpacing the prior cycle and the foldable variant sold out quickly. Options positioning implies a wider-than-usual post-earnings move, giving Apple a clear idiosyncratic catalyst versus SPY. The reference price is a delayed intraday quote from eToro. Risks include a demanding valuation near 39x earnings, high expectations into the print, supply constraints, and China demand uncertainty.
QQQ
QQQ offers diversified exposure to a tech-heavy rebound after Friday's rout and has a higher technology beta than SPY. The Nasdaq-100 was deeply oversold, and Apple plus Palantir earnings after the close provide near-term catalysts for the largest index weights. The reference price is an early premarket quote from Benzinga's Nov. 2 market report, not a regular-session print. Risks include disappointment from Apple or Palantir, elevated Treasury yields, oil/Iran headlines, and midterm-election uncertainty.
PLTR
Palantir reports third-quarter results after the close, and the stock enters the print de-risked after a roughly 7% weekly decline and a 6.3% drop Friday. Its beta above 2 and options-implied move much larger than Apple's create the potential for an outsized positive reaction if results and guidance beat. The reference price is a delayed intraday quote from eToro. Risks are substantial: a triple-digit earnings multiple, crowded positioning, and the possibility that AI-software sentiment remains fragile after October's selloff.
RIVN
Rivian was upgraded to Buy at UBS with a $17 target after its recent beat-and-raise quarter, and the stock is responding with a high-beta momentum move. As a small-cap EV name with a low share price and prior short interest, it can outperform SPY sharply when risk appetite improves. The reference price is an intraday quote from The Motley Fool. Risks include persistent EV demand concerns, cash burn, production-ramp execution, and the tendency of upgrade-driven pops to fade.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6.1 Sol | DAL, MAR, NVDA, AVGO, IDXX | +2.17% | 100% |
| GPT-6 | MAR, UAL, IDXX, XPEV, PLTR | +0.05% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | MAR, EL, SMH, MU, UAL | +0.02% | 40% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | AMD, NVDA, PLTR, AMZN, DAL | -1.58% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | TSLA, NVDA, PLTR, QQQ, AAPL | -2.23% | 20% |
| Perplexity | RIVN, MAR, IDXX, REGN, GPN | +1.86% | 80% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | UAL, CCL, DAL, VRT, XLI | +0.63% | 60% |
| Grok 4.7 | IDXX, RIVN, ULCC, NVDA, JBLU | -0.31% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-11-02.
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