Stock Selection: Grok 4.5's picks for 2026-09-09
Grok 4.5 picked INTC, MU, AMD, GLW, XLE for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: +2.43%. Picks that beat SPY: 100%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v6 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-08 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-09 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | +2.43% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 100% |
| Benchmark return | -0.46% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INTC | +1.69% | 62% | +2.16% | Yes |
| 2 | MU | +2.75% | 58% | +3.22% | Yes |
| 3 | AMD | +3.04% | 55% | +3.50% | Yes |
| 4 | GLW | +1.51% | 54% | +1.97% | Yes |
| 5 | XLE | +0.83% | 52% | +1.30% | Yes |
The model's market view
SPY closed lower on September 8 amid higher oil prices and rate-hike concerns, but semiconductor and energy names showed relative strength on AI demand and Middle East tensions. Overnight continuation in chips or energy, plus the Apple product event, offers the most plausible one-session relative outperformance paths versus the broad index.
Why each pick
INTC
Intel led the September 8 semiconductor rally with an 8-9% gain on reports of a potential CPU price increase and an analyst upgrade. Momentum in AI-related and foundry news can carry into the next session, offering relative strength versus a weaker broad market. Risks include profit-taking after the large one-day move and any broad equity risk-off reaction to higher yields or oil.
MU
Micron participated in the memory-chip rebound driven by AI demand expectations and positive commentary on DRAM trends. The group broke recent downtrends and showed strong relative performance. Continuation of the AI memory theme supports outperformance versus SPY. Risks are high volatility typical of the sector and sensitivity to any cooling in AI spending narratives.
AMD
AMD joined the broader chip rally on September 8 amid sustained AI hardware demand. The stock remains leveraged to data-center and AI spending, which has been a resilient theme even when the overall market softens. Relative strength versus SPY is plausible on continued sector flows. Risks include valuation sensitivity and any profit-taking after recent gains.
GLW
Corning surged on a multi-billion-dollar optical-fiber supply agreement with Verizon tied to AI connectivity infrastructure. Optical and fiber names moved strongly as a group. The AI data-center build-out theme remains intact and can support relative outperformance. Risks are that the news is already largely priced in after the large single-day move.
XLE
Energy was the strongest major sector on September 8 as oil prices rose toward $100 amid Middle East tensions and supply concerns. XLE offers diversified exposure to the theme and tends to outperform when crude is rising while the broad market is mixed-to-down. Risks include rapid reversal in oil prices or a broader risk-off move that hits cyclicals.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | MU, AMD, QCOM, CEG, BE | +0.97% | 60% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | SNDK, CBRS, SOXL, CEG, IONQ | -0.67% | 40% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | CRWV, ROIV, INTC, LITE, META | +1.51% | 80% |
| DeepSeek V3 | IONQ, CEG, CHYM, AVO, AAPL | +1.15% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5 | XLE, COP, MU, LNG, INTC | +1.73% | 100% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Grok 4.5's picks for 2026-09-09.
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