Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-11-03
DeepSeek picked UPWK, TEVA, AEHR, HLIT, ON for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -4.82%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-11-03 |
| Measured to | 2026-11-04 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -4.82% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | +1.19% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UPWK | -0.19% | 70% | -1.38% | No |
| 2 | TEVA | -0.40% | 65% | -1.59% | No |
| 3 | AEHR | -6.88% | 63% | -8.07% | No |
| 4 | HLIT | -6.46% | 60% | -7.65% | No |
| 5 | ON | -4.24% | 58% | -5.43% | No |
The model's market view
US equities are digesting a heavy earnings morning. Several companies that beat estimates and raised guidance are seeing strong follow-through buying, while others that beat but failed to raise are being sold. I favor clean post-earnings continuation stories where the fundamental surprise is large, volume is orderly, and the stock is not already at an extreme. I avoid names where the initial premarket gain has fully faded, and I avoid index-driven or merger-driven moves.
Why each pick
UPWK
Upwork reported Q3 2026 revenue of $185.6 million and adjusted EPS of $0.40, beating estimates, and raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $1.46 at the midpoint. The stock jumped 14.7% on November 2 and continued higher to $10.85 on November 3. The catalyst is a clean fundamental beat with a guidance raise, supported by a higher take rate and strong Business Plus and AI demand. The stock remains far below its 52-week high, leaving room for further recovery. Risks: revenue declined 8% year-over-year, and the core marketplace is shrinking; the stock could face resistance after a two-day surge. Reference price $10.85 is an intraday quote from November 3 (Robinhood).
TEVA
Teva reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.86 versus the $0.72 consensus and revenue of $4.4 billion versus the $4.25 billion estimate, and raised its full-year outlook. The stock rose 4-5% to a record high. The beat was driven by 33% growth in key innovative brands (AUSTEDO, AJOVY, UZEDY) and gross-margin expansion, a genuine improvement in the business mix rather than a one-off. The guidance raise supports continued earnings momentum, and the stock is in blue-sky territory with no overhead resistance. Risks: the stock is at an all-time high, so profit-taking is possible, and generic-drug pricing pressure remains a structural headwind. Reference price $42.65 is an intraday quote from November 3 (Investing.com).
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems reported fiscal Q1 2027 non-GAAP EPS of $0.28 versus the $0.11 consensus, revenue up 200% year-over-year, and raised FY27 revenue guidance to $150 million. The stock surged 15-19% on November 3. The catalyst is a massive fundamental beat driven by accelerating AI-chip burn-in demand, and it changes near-term business expectations rather than merely reflecting sentiment. The move is supported by backlog above $100 million. Risks: the stock is highly volatile with a wide intraday range, and profit-taking could cap further upside; the semiconductor-test niche is cyclical. Reference price $58.67 is an intraday quote from November 3 (Robinhood).
HLIT
Harmonic reported Q3 2026 revenue of $148.8 million, up 64% year-over-year and well above the high end of guidance, and raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to $545-555 million. The stock jumped 17% on the news. Revenue growth is exceptional, driven by the Rest-of-Market segment more than doubling year-over-year to a record 46% of total revenue. The catalyst is substantive and reflects real business momentum. Risks: adjusted EPS of $0.16 missed the $0.17 consensus by a penny, and the stock may have overreacted to the revenue beat; the small-cap name can be volatile. Reference price $11.95 is an intraday quote from November 3 (Robinhood).
ON
ON Semiconductor reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.90 versus the $0.87 consensus and revenue of $1.72 billion versus the $1.70 billion estimate, and guided Q4 EPS to $0.95-$1.07, above the $0.88 consensus. AI data center revenue surged 175% year-over-year. The stock is up 2.18% to $70.11, a more modest and orderly move than the other picks, which leaves room for continued re-rating as the market digests the AI growth story and the above-consensus guidance. Risks: automotive end-market weakness persists, and semiconductor cyclicality could pressure the stock if the broader sector sells off. Reference price $70.11 is a delayed intraday quote from November 3 (Yahoo Finance).
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5.5 | FISV, IDXX, HWM, RVTY, FN | -3.75% | 40% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | OKTA, IDXX, FN, TEM, AMD | -3.70% | 20% |
| GPT-6 | FN, HWM, NXT, AMD, IDXX | -1.50% | 40% |
| GPT-6.1 Sol | IDXX, REGN, FN, HWM, NXT | -1.52% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | AMD, IDXX, SHOP, SUPN, LITE | -3.31% | 40% |
| Perplexity | IDXX, HWM, RIVN, PNR, SHW | +0.66% | 80% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | AEHR, FN, NBIX, RVTY, LSCC | -7.06% | 0% |
| Grok 4.7 | IDXX, LSCC, NBIX, FN, RVTY | -4.97% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-11-03.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.