Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-22
Muse Spark 1.1 picked GOOG, NVDA, SOXL, IONQ, SMR for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -0.47%. Picks that beat SPY: 20%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-22 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-23 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -0.47% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 20% |
| Benchmark return | -0.63% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOOG | -5.39% | 75% | -4.76% | No |
| 2 | NVDA | -1.11% | 73% | -0.48% | No |
| 3 | SOXL | -4.21% | 71% | -3.58% | No |
| 4 | IONQ | +6.32% | 68% | +6.94% | Yes |
| 5 | SMR | -1.10% | 65% | -0.47% | No |
The model's market view
Sep 22 2026 intraday 1d window 14:25 UTC to Sep 23 14:25 UTC. Finnhub live Sep 22: NVDA $228.1475 open $226.85 high $229.6 low $226.5 prev $227.38 +0.3375% 5D +8.15% 1M +6.25% 6M +29.89% YTD +22.33% beta 2.22, GOOG $356.305 open $353.24 high $359.98 low $352.95 prev $350.87 +5.435 +1.549% 5D +3.06% 1M +4.26% 6M +19.16% YTD +13.55% beta 1.20, MSFT $498.78 open $507.32 high $508.5 low $495.9 prev $501.61 -2.83 -0.564% 5D -1.31%, SOXL $146.12 open $137.67 high $146.96 low $137.46 prev $141.93 5D +44.49% 1M +21.16% 6M +185% YTD +247% 1Y +324% beta 5.92, IONQ $40.13 open $40.51 high $40.8 low $39.93 prev $40.51 5D +7.01% 6M +21.2% beta 3.35. Money flows positive AAPL MSFT NVDA TSLA, neutral GOOG META SPY QQQ per SystemTrading early trade, InvestorsHub SPY -0.30% buy 70% and SOXL +2.33% buy 43% vs SPY +0.38% buy 43%. BTC $85,936 Sep 21 +5.55% first $85k since Jan 29 per Fana. SMR $8.79 +6.35% Sep 22 Upstox, LSE $8.77 cap $3.39B. SPY ATH $777.88 Aug 13 per MacroTrends close $761.69 Sep 18, support $760 per Block2Learn $761.62 below EMA12. Outperform thesis GOOG +1.54% vs SPY -0.30% momentum.
Why each pick
GOOG
GOOG $356.305 intraday Sep 22 open $353.24 high $359.98 low $352.95 prev $350.87 +1.549% vs SPY -0.30% per InvestorsHub Sep 22 and SPY +0.38% earlier. Money flows neutral GOOG per SystemTrading but +1.549% outperforms SPY. 5-day +3.06% 1M +4.26% 6M +19.16% YTD +13.55% 1Y +41.2% beta 1.20 per Finnhub Sep 22. BTC $85,936 Sep 21 +5.55% risk-on helps megacap. Catalyst Q4 AI product launch. Risks regulation antitrust, ad slowdown, competition MSFT. Outperform SPY next session due to momentum above $352.95 low.
NVDA
NVDA $228.1475 intraday Sep 22 open $226.85 high $229.6 low $226.5 prev $227.38 +0.3375% 5D +8.15% 1M +6.25% 6M +29.89% YTD +22.33% 1Y +27.86% beta 2.22 per Finnhub Sep 22. Money flows positive NVDA per SystemTrading early trade vs neutral SPY. MarketBeat consensus Buy $324.34 +52.87% upside, SOXL +2.33% leverage indicates semi strength. BTC $85k first since Jan 29 per Fana supports AI. Risks semi cycle, China export, valuation. Outperform SPY due to beta 2.22 and +0.33% already beating SPY -0.30%.
SOXL
SOXL $146.12 open $137.67 high $146.96 low $137.46 prev $141.93 per Finnhub Sep 22, 5D +44.49% 1M +21.16% 6M +185% YTD +247% 1Y +324% beta 5.92, +2.33% per InvestorsHub Sep 22 vs SPY -0.30% and +0.38%. 3x semi bull amplifies NVDA $228 momentum. Prev $123.67 +8.85 +7.71% as at 17:17 Sep 19 per Intelligent Investor, $140.10 today Kraken range $129.63-$140.42 vol $43M. Risks decay, leverage, semis overbought. Outperform SPY 1d due to 5.92 beta and $146.96 high momentum.
IONQ
IONQ $40.13 open $40.51 high $40.8 low $39.93 prev $40.51 5D +7.01% 6M +21.2% YTD -10.56% 1Y -46.59% beta 3.35 per Finnhub Sep 22, Stockstotrade $40.39 target $0, Stockopedia $39.13 delayed 15 min -41.43% 365d underperform S&P -48.98%. Quantum high beta benefits BTC $85,936 +5.55% risk-on and SOXL +44% 5D. 52W high $84.64 low $39.93 near support. Risks dilution, pre-profit, competition. Outperform SPY due to +7% 5D momentum vs SPY -0.30%.
SMR
SMR NuScale $8.79 +0.53 +6.35% Sep 22 Upstox 01:29 IST, LSE $8.77 -0.02 -0.23% bid $8.75 ask $8.77 cap $3.39B, CoinCodex $8.69 cap $2.59B 133M shares +0.99% bullish, MarketBeat $3.77B range $8.47-$8.94 50-day $7.58-$11.19 52W $7.21-$57.42 vol 35.35M avg 31.57M target $12.96 Hold, Kraken prev $8.80 cap $3.58B 410M shares pre-market $8.72 -0.91%, FinanceCharts $3.292B FCF -$778M. Nuclear small cap +6.35% outperforms SPY -0.30% and benefits DOE loan catalyst Q4. Risks regulation NRC, dilution, execution. Outperform SPY 1d momentum +6.35%.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | PANW, CRWD, META, LRCX, AVGO | +0.73% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5 | USAR, IWM, EMAT, MP, XXI | -0.37% | 40% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | NVDA, SOXL, GOOG, AAPL, MSFT | -1.71% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | VKTX, AMD, INTC, SOXX, META | -0.07% | 40% |
| DeepSeek V3 | VICR, META, AMD, ARM, SHOP | +0.03% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-22.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.