Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-10
Muse Spark 1.1 picked ORCL, SNDK, CEG, CBRS, IONQ for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -3.00%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v6 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-09 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-10 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -3.00% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | -0.60% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ORCL | -5.38% | 78% | -4.78% | No |
| 2 | SNDK | -4.06% | 74% | -3.46% | No |
| 3 | CEG | -2.70% | 70% | -2.10% | No |
| 4 | CBRS | -2.48% | 68% | -1.88% | No |
| 5 | IONQ | -3.41% | 66% | -2.81% | No |
The model's market view
Source close Sep 8 SPY $765.88 off ATH $777.88 Aug 13, Sep 9 likely choppy. For target Sep 10, primary catalyst is Oracle Q1 FY27 earnings after close Sep 10 - officially scheduled Sep 2 PRNewswire with consensus $1.74 EPS $19.13B revenue and $638B RPO backlog guide, OCI growth 58-64%. Mizuho Outperform $320. AI infra momentum persists: SNDK memory +43% 1-month, CEG nuclear defensive, CBRS custom AI chips, IONQ quantum investor day Sep 8 tailwind. Expect risk-on into ORCL print to outperform SPY, with defensive power also bid.
Why each pick
ORCL
Oracle reports Q1 FY27 Sep 10 after close - officially scheduled, consensus $1.74 EPS $19.13B revenue per DailyPolitical, prior Q beat $2.11 vs $1.96. Preview notes $638B backlog and 27-29% revenue guidance. Mizuho $320 target. For Sep 10 regular session, anticipation of cloud OCI growth 58-64% drives run-up into print. High probability to outperform SPY on pre-earnings momentum. Risks: high expectations, any guide below $19.1B could reverse after hours but session close benefits from long positioning.
SNDK
SanDisk closed $1737.99 Sep 8 -0.12% after +17% 5-day and +43.37% 1-month, 52-week low $27.89 Apr 2025 to now 6133% rise. Memory upcycle driven by AI storage, NAND pricing strength, high beta 3.86. Outperformed SPY YTD. For Sep 10, continued AI storage demand and sympathy with ORCL OCI growth supports. Risks: parabolic valuation and insider sale at $1767, volatile, but momentum favors outperformance vs SPY.
CEG
Constellation Energy closed $299.05 Sep 8, 5-day +8.06% 1-month +10.8%, market cap $105.92B, utilities green Sep 4. Nuclear power demand for AI data centers, grid reliability, and IRA tailwinds. Defensive with AI kicker. Sep 10 likely benefits from lower yields if CPI cools and oil steady, supporting utilities. Outperforms SPY in risk-off and in AI power narrative. Risks: rate sensitivity, YTD -15% from ATH $401.70.
CBRS
Cerebras Systems closed $199.77 Sep 8 -4.89% after IPO surge to $386 high, 5-day +11.55% but 1-month -11.89%. Announced Finland AI data center. Custom AI accelerator competing with NVDA, benefits from Oracle and Broadcom AI capex. High beta 5.21. Sep 10 should rebound as ORCL anticipation lifts AI infra names. Risks: -48% off high, valuation stretched, but bounce potential to outperform SPY.
IONQ
IonQ closed $40.47 Sep 8, investor day Sep 8 with Northland raising target $70 from $55 Outperform, raised 2026 revenue outlook to $450-460M with SkyWater acquisition. Market cap $16B, beta 3.35, 52-week high $84.64. Quantum computing sentiment improving, $1.8B SkyWater foundry deal gives vertical integration. Sep 10 benefits from tech risk-on into ORCL. Risks: $254M operating loss H1, 50x sales, but event-driven momentum supports outperformance vs SPY.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | XLE, MU, AMD, META, QCOM | -1.40% | 40% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | SIG, ASO, META, DOW, QCOM | +0.80% | 60% |
| Grok 4.5 | XOM, META, NET, XLE, MU | -0.85% | 40% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | ASO, NET, AVAV, ORCL, ADBE | +0.95% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5 | XLE, MRVL, FRO, META, ORCL | -1.06% | 40% |
| Kimi | VLO, XLE, META, XOM, CULP | +2.09% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-10.
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