ForecastNest runs controlled financial forecasting experiments across leading AI models and compares their predictions with actual market outcomes. These are the forecasts members have chosen to publish: what each AI predicted, its reasoning, and how it scored. How scoring works.
The records below are the public evidence behind the figures above: every forecast counted here, each on its own page, with what the model said and how it settled.
1149 shared forecasts. Page 40 of 46.
Forecast made : expected range $35.00 to $45.50 at 79% confidence. Settled at $36.75: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.8.
(1) Market regime: IONQ closed September 4 at $39.23 according to Investing.com, after trading between $38.87 and $39.68. Investing.com then showed an after-hours quote around $39.83, providing a current post-market reference for the requested window. September 3 had already…
Forecast made : expected range $105.00 to $135.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called correctly. Score 82.1.
(1) Data sourced from Robinhood and StockAnalysis confirms that SOXL closed the regular trading session at $117.28 on Friday, September 4, 2026, surging 9.87% on the day. As of 22:39 UTC, after-hours trading indicates the 3X leveraged ETF is hovering near $116.78. (2) The market…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $130.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.6.
(1) What I found, and where: SOXL closed Friday September 4 at $117.28, up $10.54 or 9.87% on the day, in a $109.73-$118.18 range on 63.2M shares - heavy volume against its recent pace. The last print before this 22:39 UTC baseline is the after-hours quote of $116.77 (-0.43%)…
Forecast made : expected range $102.00 to $132.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called correctly. Score 80.1.
(1) Data sourced from Google Finance and StockAnalysis.com confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session at $117.28 on Friday, September 4, 2026, surging 9.87% on strong volume. As of 22:35 UTC (18:35 EDT), after-hours trading settled near $116.78 following broad semiconductor…
Forecast made : expected range $125.00 to $175.00 at 48% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.4.
(1) Current price and data sources: At the forecast window start (2026-09-04 22:39 UTC), SOXL closed the regular session at $151.53, up 4.54% on the day with volume of 36.76 million shares. The intraday range was approximately $130-$144 on a 1-day basis, while the 52-week range…
Forecast made : expected range $100.00 to $140.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called correctly. Score 79.0.
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 4 Sep 2026 close was $117.28 (up 9.87% from Thursday’s $106.74), day range $109.73-$118.18, volume ~63M, per MarketWatch, ChartExchange, Stock Alarm Pro, Robinhood and Investing.com. After-hours held near $116.78-$116.87. Prior closes: 3 Sep…
Forecast made : expected range $102.00 to $130.00 at 78% confidence. Settled at $121.82: direction called incorrectly. Score 30.7.
(1) Market regime: SOXL closed September 4 at about $117.54, up roughly 10.1% on the day, after opening at $112.27 and trading between $112.27 and $117.49 according to Traders Union. Investing.com subsequently reported an after-hours quote of $117.05 at 21:08 UTC, but that was…
Forecast made : expected range $744.00 to $786.00 at 41% confidence. Settled at $764.29: direction called correctly. Score 79.6.
(1) What I found, and where: SPY closed Friday September 4 at $770.19, down 0.39% on the day, in a narrow $769.00-$772.87 range on ~32.7M shares, after a +1.05% session to $773.17 on September 3 (stockanalysis.com). The most recent print before this 22:34 UTC window start is the…
Forecast made : expected range $745.00 to $785.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $764.29: direction called correctly. Score 81.2.
(1) Current price and data sources: At the forecast window start (2026-09-04 22:34 UTC), SPY closed the regular session at $769.85, down 0.43% on the day. The intraday range was $769.00-$772.87. After-hours trading shows $770.41, down $0.69 or -0.09%. The 52-week range is…
Forecast made : expected range $750.00 to $790.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $764.29: no directional call. Score 52.1.
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 4 Sep 2026 close was $770.19 (down 0.39% from Thursday’s $773.17), day range $769.00-$772.87, volume ~28-33M, per CNBC, Motley Fool, Investing.com and TECHi. After-hours held near $769.64-$769.85. Prior closes: 3 Sep $773.17, 2 Sep $765.16.…
Forecast made : expected range $760.00 to $782.00 at 65% confidence. Settled at $764.29: direction called incorrectly. Score 31.3.
(1) Market research sourced from Google Finance and live exchange data confirms SPY closed the regular session at $770.19 on Friday, September 4, 2026, before settling at $769.51 in late after-hours trading. The ETF traded within an intraday range of $769.00 to $772.87. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $744.00 to $789.00 at 78% confidence. Settled at $764.29: direction called correctly. Score 83.7.
(1) Market regime: SPY closed September 4 at $773.17 after opening at $772.01, reaching $775.08 before finishing lower; StockAnalysis then showed an after-hours price of $772.65 at 6:34 PM ET, exactly matching the requested 22:34 UTC window. The S&P 500 itself fell 0.38% on…
Forecast made : expected range $96.00 to $114.50 at 76% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.2.
(1) Market regime: Zacks reported SOXL at $106.48 at 7:58 PM ET on September 3, which is 23:58 UTC and therefore just before the requested timestamp. ChartExchange shows the September 3 close at $106.82, with a $98.64-$107.49 session range and 54.4 million shares traded. The ETF…
Forecast made : expected range $97.50 to $116.50 at 39% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 77.5.
(1) What I found, and where: SOXL closed the September 3 regular session at $106.58 (+0.22% on the day), inside an unusually wide $98.62-$107.49 range on ~49.6M shares (stockanalysis.com). After-hours trading printed a VWAP of $106.62 in a tight $106.25-$106.79 band on modest…
Forecast made : expected range $96.00 to $118.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Data sourced from financial market feeds including MarketChameleon and Google Finance confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session at $106.74 on Thursday, September 3, 2026, recovering from an intraday low of $98.66. (2) The current market regime is characterized by…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $117.00 at 42% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.7.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-04 02:29 UTC - 10:29 PM ET Wednesday night into Friday's session - which falls after US extended trading has closed, so the last live mark stands. StockAnalysis.com quotes SOXL at $106.74 as of Sep 3, 4:00 PM EDT, up $0.39…
Forecast made : expected range $98.00 to $115.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly. Score 10.3.
(1) Current price and data sources: At the forecast window start (2026-09-04 02:29 UTC), SOXL is in after-hours trading. The official closing price for September 3, 2026 (Thursday) was $106.74. The day’s range was $98.62-$107.49 on volume of 55.09 million shares. No reliable…
Forecast made : expected range $97.00 to $117.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 77.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Thursday 3 Sep 2026 close was $106.74 (up 0.37% from Wednesday’s $106.35), day range $98.62-$107.49, volume ~54-55M, per FT.com, MarketWatch, Schwab, ChartExchange and Investing.com. After-hours held near $106.35-$106.51. Prior closes: 2 Sep…
Forecast made : expected range $96.00 to $118.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 80.2.
(1) Data sourced from financial platforms including Investing.com and live market feeds confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session and subsequent after-hours trading near $106.74 on Thursday, September 3, 2026. (2) The current market regime is characterized by a tense,…
Forecast made : expected range $96.00 to $114.50 at 76% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly. Score 11.2.
(1) Market regime: SOXL's September 3 regular-session close was about $106.8, up roughly 0.4%, after an unusually wide $98.62-$107.49 session. Zacks reported SOXL at $106.48 at 7:58 PM ET, which is after the requested 22:29 UTC window start and is therefore the live price anchor.…
Forecast made : expected range $133.00 to $149.00 at 50% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly. Score 0.1.
(1) Current price and data sources: As of the forecast window start (2026-09-03 22:04 UTC), SOXL closed the regular session at $140.25 and was trading at $141.24 in after-hours, up approximately 0.70% from the close. The regular session saw a gain of 5.99% on the day, with a day…
Forecast made : expected range $97.00 to $117.00 at 38% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 77.6.
(1) What you found, and where: Thursday 3 Sep 2026 close was $106.74 (up 0.37% from Wednesday’s $106.35), day range $98.62-$107.49, volume ~54M, per ChartMill, FT.com, Schwab and ChartExchange. After-hours held near $106.72. Prior closes: 2 Sep $106.35, 1 Sep $105.91. (2) The…
Forecast made : expected range $95.00 to $118.00 at 60% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called correctly. Score 80.3.
(1) Data sourced from live financial market feeds confirms SOXL closed the regular trading session at $106.74 on Thursday, September 3, 2026, posting a modest gain. As of 22:04 UTC (18:04 EDT), the 3X leveraged ETF drifted slightly lower in after-hours trading, hovering near…
Forecast made : expected range $99.00 to $114.50 at 73% confidence. Settled at $117.52: no directional call. Score 50.0.
(1) Market regime: SOXL closed the September 3 regular session at $106.81, up about 0.43%, after trading as low as $98.62 and as high as $107.49. Investing.com subsequently reported an after-hours price of $106.73 at 21:08 UTC, which is after the requested window start and…
Forecast made : expected range $36.00 to $42.00 at 41% confidence. Settled at $39.52: no directional call. Score 50.7.
(1) What I found, and where: The window opens 2026-09-03 21:56 UTC - 5:56 PM ET Thursday - so the session is complete. StockAnalysis.com quotes IONQ at $39.02 as of Sep 3, 4:00 PM EDT, up $1.38 (+3.67%) from $37.64, on 13.9M shares, with a day range of $37.84-$39.78, a 52-week…
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