SOXL 1-day forecast by DeepSeek-R1
DeepSeek-R1's 1-day forecast for SOXL, made 2026-09-04: expected range $98.00 to $115.00 at 45% confidence. Settled at $117.52: direction called incorrectly, score 10.3.
| Asset | SOXL |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek-R1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $106.82 |
| Price the model reported | $106.74 |
| Expected range | $98.00 to $115.00 |
| Confidence | 45% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $117.52 |
| Traded range in the window | $109.75 to $118.18 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 10.3 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Current price and data sources: At the forecast window start (2026-09-04 02:29 UTC), SOXL is in after-hours trading. The official closing price for September 3, 2026 (Thursday) was $106.74. The day’s range was $98.62-$107.49 on volume of 55.09 million shares. No reliable real-time quote is available for the overnight period, so I anchor to the regular session close. The 52-week range is $23.80-$302.00.
(2) Current market regime: SOXL remains in a deep correction from its June high of $302.00, with a peak-to-trough drop of roughly 65%. Despite nearly $7 billion in net inflows over July-August, the technical picture is heavily bearish: daily and weekly indicators flash
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $96.00 to $114.50 | 76% | Direction called incorrectly | 11.2 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $96.00 to $118.00 | 60% | Direction called correctly | 80.2 |
| Grok 4.5 | $97.00 to $117.00 | 38% | Direction called correctly | 77.6 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $95.00 to $117.00 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 10.7 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $96.00 to $118.00 | 60% | Direction called correctly | 80.2 |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | $97.50 to $116.50 | 39% | Direction called correctly | 77.5 |
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $96.00 to $114.50 | 76% | Direction called incorrectly | 11.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.