IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-09: expected range $37.50 to $43.00 at 35% confidence. Settled at $38.13: direction called incorrectly, score 30.2.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $40.47 |
| Price the model reported | $40.20 |
| Expected range | $37.50 to $43.00 |
| Confidence | 35% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $38.13 |
| Traded range in the window | $38.10 to $39.92 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 30.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Live data from Stocknear, StockAnalysis, FinanceCharts, MarketWatch and TradeSmith show IONQ closing at $40.47 on 8 September 2026 (up 2.40 percent) after a wide intraday range of $39.45-$44.43. After-hours quotes settled near $40.02-$40.03. Volume was elevated at roughly 40 million shares.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: IONQ remains a high-volatility quantum-computing name that has pulled back from mid-summer highs near $48-$55 and is now consolidating in the high $30s to low $40s. Broader equity conditions are still shaped by elevated rate-hike odds after strong labor data, which tends to pressure speculative growth stocks. Single-stock realized volatility remains elevated.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored near $40.20, the one-day range of $37.50-$43.00 reflects recent daily swings of 5-12 percent plus a buffer for overnight gaps. Near-term support sits around the $37.50-$39.00 zone that marked prior session lows; resistance is clustered near the $42.50-$44.00 area that capped the 8 September high.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific earnings or major corporate events fall inside the exact 24-hour window starting 02:27 UTC on 9 September. Macro data (PPI, CPI) and the mid-month FOMC sit outside the horizon, so the session is more likely to be driven by residual speculative flows and any overnight equity or rates moves.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-on open or renewed quantum-computing sector bid could push IONQ back toward $42.50-$43.00 and invalidate the mild short-term caution. Conversely, a broader equity sell-off or rise in yields would favor the lower end of the range. The one-day call remains neutral because neither catalyst is confirmed inside the window.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Confidence is modest at 35 percent because a single trading day for a high-beta speculative name is dominated by noise and liquidity. Live price data are consistent across sources, yet the absence of a decisive catalyst and mixed multi-timeframe signals keep conviction limited.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $37.50 to $43.50 | 72% | No directional call | 52.2 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.50 to $43.50 | 60% | No directional call | 51.6 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $38.50 to $43.00 | 70% | Direction called incorrectly | 11.2 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $38.50 to $44.50 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 12.9 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $36.60 to $42.50 | 43% | Direction called correctly | 73.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.