IONQ 1-day forecast by Gemini 1.5 Pro
Gemini 1.5 Pro's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-09: expected range $38.50 to $43.00 at 70% confidence. Settled at $38.13: direction called incorrectly, score 11.2.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $40.47 |
| Price the model reported | $40.47 |
| Expected range | $38.50 to $43.00 |
| Confidence | 70% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $38.13 |
| Traded range in the window | $38.10 to $39.92 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 11.2 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) Sources and data: IonQ (IONQ) closed at $40.47 on September 8, 2026, according to live Google Finance market data. Earlier that day, the company hosted its Investor Day and announced a raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $450 to $460 million following its recent SkyWater Technology acquisition, as reported by The Motley Fool and Business Wire.
(2) Market regime: The market regime for quantum computing is transitioning from purely speculative to fundamentally driven, fueled by commercial maturation and strategic M&A. IonQ's shift toward a full-stack foundry model is attracting growth-oriented capital, though the sector remains characterized by elevated intraday volatility and momentum-driven trading.
(3) Price range justification: The projected range of $38.50-$43.00 frames the extreme volatility observed during Tuesday's session. The stock surged above $44.00 on the opening bell before fading aggressively to close at $40.47. Strong near-term support sits around $38.50 to $39.00 (Monday's close), while the $43.00 level will now act as immediate overhead resistance.
(4) Scheduled catalysts: The dominant near-term catalysts will be the flow of Wall Street analyst notes, ratings changes, and projected level adjustments issued in response to Tuesday's Investor Day presentation and upward revenue revisions.
(5) Counter-argument and invalidation: The primary counter-argument to a bullish continuation is classic
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $37.50 to $43.50 | 72% | No directional call | 52.2 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.50 to $43.50 | 60% | No directional call | 51.6 |
| Grok 4.5 | $37.50 to $43.00 | 35% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.2 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $38.50 to $44.50 | 55% | Direction called incorrectly | 12.9 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $36.60 to $42.50 | 43% | Direction called correctly | 73.1 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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