IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-05: expected range $37.00 to $42.50 at 38% confidence. Settled at $40.46: direction called correctly, score 78.4.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $39.52 |
| Price the model reported | $39.52 |
| Expected range | $37.00 to $42.50 |
| Confidence | 38% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $40.46 |
| Traded range in the window | $39.46 to $44.42 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 78.4 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Friday 4 Sep 2026 close was $39.52 (up 1.28% from Thursday’s $39.02), day range $38.83-$39.73, volume ~13M, per Stocknear, IonQ investor relations and MarketWatch. After-hours held near $39.75. Markets are closed for the weekend; this is the last official print. 52-week range $25.89-$84.64.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Continued modest rebound for the high-beta quantum-computing name, building on Thursday’s gain. Price action remains contained within a recent consolidation range while tracking broader risk appetite in speculative growth stocks.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $39.52 Friday close. Recent daily ranges of $1.5-$3+ and elevated beta support a next-session window of roughly ±5-7%. Lower bound near $37 allows for a modest pullback; upper bound near $42.50 covers extension of the rebound. Range is roughly balanced with a mild upside bias from the recent recovery.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: Markets reopen Monday 7 Sep. Overnight global or sector developments could influence the open. No company-specific earnings or major filings expected in the immediate next session.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-off open in growth/tech could push IONQ below $37; stronger continuation of the rebound could drive a break above $42.50. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the mild bullish lean.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Friday close is confirmed and the short-term direction is constructive, yet high-volatility speculative names produce large noise on single-day horizons; weekend gap risk and absence of stock-specific catalysts keep conviction moderate-to-low.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $36.50 to $43.50 | 77% | Direction called correctly | 82.4 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $39.00 to $40.00 | 95% | No directional call | 50.9 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $37.50 to $42.50 | 53% | Direction called correctly | 80.7 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $37.50 to $41.80 | 52% | Direction called correctly | 79.7 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $37.00 to $42.20 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.6 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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