Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-22
DeepSeek picked LAD, SMCI, T, NFLX, CRL for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -1.43%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-22 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-23 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -1.43% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | -0.83% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAD | up | +0.08% | +0.08% | 75% | +0.91% | Yes |
| 2 | SMCI | down | -0.52% | +0.52% | 75% | +1.36% | Yes |
| 3 | T | up | -5.04% | -5.04% | 65% | -4.21% | No |
| 4 | NFLX | down | +0.78% | -0.78% | 60% | +0.06% | No |
| 5 | CRL | up | -1.95% | -1.95% | 60% | -1.11% | No |
The model's market view
US equities are showing sharp post-earnings dispersion, with several one-day moves being faded or extended in the next session. I expect profit-taking in SMCI after its guidance-driven spike, relief bounces in T and LAD after heavy selling, continued weakness in NFLX after its advertising guidance cut, and CRL to hold most of its sharp gain.
Why each pick
LAD
LAD fell 10.15% on Oct 21 despite an EPS beat as investors focused on lower same-store sales, weaker unit volumes and rising interest costs. In the Oct 22 session it has reversed sharply higher to $286.47 (+6.44%) as buyers refocused on record revenue and the dividend increase. I treat the prior drop and today's rebound as a reversal setup. The catalyst is substantive, but the reversal is sentiment-driven and could fail if rate or consumer concerns resurface. Price is the latest intraday Robinhood quote on Oct 22, about 10:20 AM ET. Market cap $6.30B and 20-day average dollar volume about $120M both pass the screens.
SMCI
SMCI surged 9.55% on Oct 21 after raising preliminary Q1 FY2027 revenue guidance to $18.5-$19.5B from $14.5-$15.5B and lifting margin guidance. The catalyst was substantive, but the stock has given back much of that gain on Oct 22, trading at $33.24 (-6.55%) on profit-taking. Since the source-session move was positive and the current direction is negative, this is a reversal down, not a continuation. The risk is that dip buyers defend the guidance-driven gap. Price is the latest intraday Robinhood quote on Oct 22, about 10:20 AM ET. Market cap $21.84B and 20-day average dollar volume about $1.29B both pass the screens.
T
T dropped 6.45% on Oct 21 even after a Q3 earnings beat and a raised profit outlook, as investors worried about net debt, high capital intensity, Starlink Mobile competition and declining fiber ARPU. It is rebounding to $22.63 (+3.29%) on Oct 22, which makes this an up reversal against the prior negative move. The catalyst for the original selloff is substantive, while the rebound is a relief/oversold trade. Risk: a fresh competitive headline could cap the bounce. Price is the latest intraday Robinhood quote on Oct 22, about 10:20 AM ET. Market cap $155.04B and 20-day average dollar volume about $1.40B both pass the screens.
NFLX
NFLX fell 5.31% on Oct 21 after cutting its 2026 advertising revenue forecast to about $2.7B from $3B and giving cautious Q4 guidance. The stock is still soft on Oct 22 at $64.96, so I expect the negative reaction to continue rather than fully reverse. The catalyst is substantive because it directly lowers a key growth forecast, though the stock is near a two-year low and buy-the-dip flows are a risk. Price is the latest Robinhood quote on Oct 22, about 10:20 AM ET. Market cap $270.85B and 20-day average dollar volume about $2.95B both pass the screens.
CRL
CRL jumped 9.33% on Oct 21 on analyst optimism that AI-driven drug discovery and animal-testing regulatory relief could benefit life-science tools providers. It is holding gains on Oct 22 at $345.43 (+0.16%), so I expect continuation rather than a full reversal. The catalyst is more speculative and thematic than an earnings surprise, and the stock is extended after a strong run, so confidence is moderate. Price is the latest intraday Robinhood quote on Oct 22, about 10:20 AM ET. Market cap $16.49B and 20-day average dollar volume about $352M both pass the screens.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | APLD, T, NFLX, SMCI, ZS | +0.85% | 40% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | DXCM, CRL, SMCI, NFLX, RCUS | -0.82% | 20% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | NET, DELL, NFLX, AVEX, RCUS | +1.55% | 80% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | SMCI, NFLX, T, LAD, RCUS | -0.30% | 40% |
| Grok 4 | BHVN, TTMI, CRS, SPOT, POOL | -0.04% | 60% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-22.
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