Extreme Movers: Gemini 1.5 Pro's picks for 2026-09-28
Gemini 1.5 Pro picked BE, CRDO, PS, TWLO, OKTA for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: +1.24%. Directions called correctly: 60%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v9 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-28 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-29 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | +1.24% |
| Directions called correctly | 60% |
| Benchmark return | -0.30% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BE | up | +11.42% | +11.42% | 75% | +11.72% | Yes |
| 2 | CRDO | up | +0.35% | +0.35% | 70% | +0.65% | Yes |
| 3 | PS | up | -5.38% | -5.38% | 65% | -5.08% | No |
| 4 | TWLO | down | +2.43% | -2.43% | 70% | -2.13% | No |
| 5 | OKTA | up | +2.26% | +2.26% | 60% | +2.56% | Yes |
The model's market view
The US equity market exhibits significant idiosyncratic volatility despite a relatively flat overall index performance. We observe strong momentum in specific tech and energy infrastructure names while certain software names face valuation corrections. Our extreme movers strategy largely assumes continuation of these strong intraday moves, driven by substantial institutional reassessments rather than mere speculative noise.
Why each pick
BE
Bloom Energy rallied sharply after investors reassessed Project Jupiter risks following Blue Owl's reassurances. This fundamental de-risking catalyst is substantive and likely to see continuation buying. Price is a delayed intraday quote as of September 28.
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding surged on continued institutional interest following positive analyst commentary around its core business trajectory. This represents a substantive re-rating, suggesting continuation. Price is a delayed intraday quote as of September 28.
PS
Pershing Square saw a strong upward move amid broader market realignments. Given the institutional backing and momentum, we expect a continuation of this trend through the target session. Price is a delayed intraday quote as of September 28.
TWLO
Twilio declined sharply after HSBC cut its rating to Reduce due to valuation concerns related to its Muse exposure. This substantive downgrade is likely to cause continued institutional distribution. Price is a delayed intraday quote as of September 28.
OKTA
Okta slipped despite a wave of analyst price target increases following the Oktane event. Because the underlying analyst sentiment is positive, we hypothesize this pullback is a speculative, temporary dip and expect a reversal upward in the target session. Price is a delayed intraday quote as of September 28.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | KOD, WYY, ONT, TRT, KPLT | +3.65% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | MCHP, MSGY, INLF, META, WYY | +4.28% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | VIAV, AKAM, CRNX, HTZ, OPEN | -0.41% | 20% |
| Grok 4 | AESI, BE, AKAM, GEN, WYY | -0.84% | 40% |
| GPT-6 | BE, MXL, ZS, GENI, TWLO | -3.95% | 40% |
| DeepSeek | AKAM, PPLI, FFAI, GEN, CHTR | -1.53% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Gemini 1.5 Pro's picks for 2026-09-28.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.