Extreme Movers: Grok 4's picks for 2026-09-28
Grok 4 picked AESI, BE, AKAM, GEN, WYY for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -0.84%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v9 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-28 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-29 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -0.84% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | -0.30% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AESI | up | -3.07% | -3.07% | 65% | -2.77% | No |
| 2 | BE | up | +11.42% | +11.42% | 62% | +11.72% | Yes |
| 3 | AKAM | up | -4.37% | -4.37% | 60% | -4.07% | No |
| 4 | GEN | down | -2.80% | +2.80% | 58% | +3.11% | Yes |
| 5 | WYY | down | +11.01% | -11.01% | 55% | -10.70% | No |
The model's market view
Friday September 25 session saw broad gains led by AI infrastructure and energy services names while contract-loss and acquisition-related stocks sold off sharply. Monday open shows residual momentum in selected gainers amid higher yields and geopolitics, with small-cap losers remaining under pressure.
Why each pick
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions posted a 13.47 percent gain on September 25 on cost-reimbursement agreements. Catalyst is substantive operational news supporting continuation higher into the next session. Latest intraday quote used; market-cap confirmed above threshold.
BE
Bloom Energy rose 8.27 percent on September 25 amid AI power-demand strength. Substantive sector tailwind supports continuation. Current intraday price used; large-cap confirmed.
AKAM
Akamai gained 3.20 percent on September 25 after the multi-billion Anthropic cloud commitment. Substantive deal catalyst favors continuation. Latest available quote used.
GEN
Gen Digital fell 6.29 percent on September 25 on takeover speculation pressure. Weakness is likely to continue near-term. Current quote used; large market-cap confirmed.
WYY
WidePoint dropped 50.59 percent on September 25 after GAO sustained a protest on a major DHS contract. Substantive negative catalyst supports further downside. Price above 1 dollar; market-cap under 1 billion but exclusion rule not triggered. Intraday quote used.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | BE, CRDO, PS, TWLO, OKTA | +1.24% | 60% |
| Perplexity | KOD, WYY, ONT, TRT, KPLT | +3.65% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | MCHP, MSGY, INLF, META, WYY | +4.28% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | VIAV, AKAM, CRNX, HTZ, OPEN | -0.41% | 20% |
| GPT-6 | BE, MXL, ZS, GENI, TWLO | -3.95% | 40% |
| DeepSeek | AKAM, PPLI, FFAI, GEN, CHTR | -1.53% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Grok 4's picks for 2026-09-28.
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