Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-23
Muse Spark 1.1 picked MPWR, SHOP, MU, ADBE, CSCO for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -0.49%. Directions called correctly: 20%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v9 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-23 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-24 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -0.49% |
| Directions called correctly | 20% |
| Benchmark return | -0.69% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MPWR | up | +0.76% | +0.76% | 70% | +1.45% | Yes |
| 2 | SHOP | up | -0.01% | -0.01% | 68% | +0.68% | No |
| 3 | MU | up | -1.92% | -1.92% | 66% | -1.23% | No |
| 4 | ADBE | up | -0.66% | -0.66% | 65% | +0.03% | No |
| 5 | CSCO | up | -0.63% | -0.63% | 62% | +0.06% | No |
The model's market view
Sep 23 2026 Nasdaq record close Dow falls financials slide per HDFCSky Sep 23: top gainers Monolithic Power +8.06% Shopify +7.12% Micron +5.00% Seagate +4.85% Amgen +4.34%, top losers Adobe -4.52% Cisco -4.50% Intuit -3.87% Booking -2.55% T-Mobile -1.73%. Finnhub live Sep 23: MPWR $1323.935 open $1367.08 high $1371.66 low $1302.1 prev $1380.62 -56.685 cap $60,658M market cap $60.6B 52W $833-$1714 5D not given YTD +46.07% 1Y +44.81% beta 1.73, SHOP $142.385 open $146.62 high $151.29 low $135.68 prev $147.74 -5.355 -3.62% 5D +6.34% 1M -4.6% 6M +17.58% YTD -11.55% beta 2.71, STX $913.5164 open $913.2 high $920.48 low $885 prev $919.84 -6.32 -0.68% 5D +13.4% 1M +7.47% 6M +126% beta 2.14 cap $199B, MUU $37.5701 open $39.19 high $39.56 low $37.08 prev $38.92 5D +33.51% 1M +19% 6M +324% YTD +645% 1Y +1714% for 2x Micron bull. IONQ $42.97 open $45.84 high $46.05 low $41.63 prev $40.74 +5.47% Sep 23, SOXL $145.935 open $149.89 high $151 low $139.58 prev $151.95, NVDA $225.37 -1.52% Sep 23, GOOG $337.94 -2.72% Sep 23, SPY $763.47 -0.29% per Barchart Sep 23. INDP +127% Sep monthly per StockTitan Sep 2026 leads, SWVL +107% BNC +78%.
Why each pick
MPWR
MPWR Monolithic Power top gainer Sep 23 +8.06% per HDFCSky Sep 23 record close, Finnhub live Sep 23 $1323.935 open $1367.08 high $1371.66 low $1302.1 prev $1380.62 -56.685 intraday after +8.06% close Sep 23, Stockstotrade $1380.02 +102.34 +8.01% delayed. Previous +8.06% above zero continuation up direction up hypothesis continuation, catalyst substantive AI data center boom per Finimize Sep 22 headline Monolithic Power AI data center boom comes with price. Reference live Sep 23 $1323 intraday not stale, market cap $60.658B.
SHOP
SHOP Shopify second top gainer Sep 23 +7.12% per HDFCSky Sep 23, Finnhub live Sep 23 $142.385 open $146.62 high $151.29 low $135.68 prev $147.74 -5.355 -3.62% 5D +6.34% 1M -4.6% 6M +17.58% YTD -11.55% beta 2.71. Previous +7.12% above zero continuation up direction up hypothesis continuation, catalyst substantive commerce AI tools launch Q4 2026. Reference live intraday Sep 23 $142.385 below prev $147.74 due to intraday pullback but source session +7.12% still continuation thesis.
MU
MU Micron third top gainer Sep 23 +5.00% per HDFCSky Sep 23, MUU 2x bull $37.5701 open $39.19 high $39.56 low $37.08 prev $38.92 5D +33.51% 1M +19% 6M +324% YTD +645% per Finnhub. Previous +5% above zero continuation up direction up hypothesis continuation, catalyst substantive HBM4 demand. Reference using MUU as proxy $37.57 live Sep 23 not stale, but MU itself $150+ implied. Omit market cap field due to unverified MU vs MUU proxy.
ADBE
ADBE Adobe top loser Sep 23 -4.52% per HDFCSky Sep 23, Finnhub live not fetched but Adobe losing due to AI competition concerns. Previous -4.52% below zero reversal up direction up hypothesis reversal, catalyst speculative AI cannibalization fears but oversold bounce expected. Previous -4.52% reversal up means up. Reference price not verified omitted field but direction reversal up thesis.
CSCO
CSCO Cisco second top loser Sep 23 -4.50% per HDFCSky Sep 23, top losers Adobe -4.52% Cisco -4.50% Intuit -3.87%. Previous -4.50% below zero reversal up direction up hypothesis reversal, catalyst speculative networking slowdown but oversold. Previous -4.5% reversal up bounce expected next session.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Opus 5 | VKTX, SCHW, SNDK, PSKY, NYT | -1.69% | 60% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | MU, PLTR, SCHW, JPM, AMP | -0.25% | 60% |
| Grok 4.5 | MRNA, INTC, AMD, AKAM, WBD | -0.34% | 40% |
| GPT-6 | IMCC, CMPX, VKTX, GRML, MAZE | -9.71% | 20% |
| DeepSeek | MRNA, PLTR, IONQ, BYND, JAGX | +10.62% | 80% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-09-23.
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