Extreme Movers: Gemini 1.5 Pro's picks for 2026-09-25
Gemini 1.5 Pro picked MTC, SNX, ARM, FSLR, CRWV for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -2.54%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Gemini 1.5 Pro |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v9 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-25 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-28 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -2.54% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | +0.01% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTC | down | -5.24% | +5.24% | 85% | +5.23% | Yes |
| 2 | SNX | up | -5.87% | -5.87% | 80% | -5.88% | No |
| 3 | ARM | up | -10.68% | -10.68% | 75% | -10.69% | No |
| 4 | FSLR | down | -0.90% | +0.90% | 70% | +0.90% | Yes |
| 5 | CRWV | up | -2.31% | -2.31% | 65% | -2.32% | No |
The model's market view
US equity markets are exhibiting mixed price action following Thursday's pronounced tech sector weakness. Investors are recalibrating portfolios based on individual corporate earnings and sector-specific news. We identify five extreme intraday movers for the September 25, 2026 session. Some stocks with substantive catalysts, such as TD Synnex, are expected to continue their momentum, while speculative bounces in weaker sectors are anticipated to reverse.
Why each pick
MTC
Rank 1. MMTec is experiencing a severe intraday selloff on September 25, dropping 14.79% to $5.82 based on live delayed quotes. This intense downward pressure lacks any fundamental news support to stem the bleeding, making it a highly speculative momentum flush. We expect a continuation of the bearish trend into the next session.
SNX
Rank 2. TD Synnex is rebounding strongly today, up 4.65% to $271.54 following a nearly 10% drop yesterday. The market is finally digesting its positive earnings, updated guidance, and robust dividend/buyback announcements. This substantive catalyst supports a continuation of the upward momentum as institutional buyers recognize the value disconnect.
ARM
Rank 3. Arm Holdings is up 3.50% intraday to $317.06, recovering from a steep 7.8% drop yesterday that was caused by concerns over SoftBank's margin loans. The underlying AI licensing growth thesis remains highly substantive. We expect dip buyers to continue supporting the stock, driving an upward continuation into the next session.
FSLR
Rank 4. First Solar is experiencing a speculative bounce today, up 3.03% to $177.38 after plunging over 10% yesterday. Given the broader macro headwinds and softening sentiment in the renewable energy space, this intraday strength is likely a dead-cat bounce. We forecast a downward reversal as heavy selling pressure resumes.
CRWV
Rank 5. CoreWeave is trading down 3.08% to $87.35, extending short-term weakness. However, as a premier player in AI cloud infrastructure with massive forward revenue visibility, the company possesses strong substantive growth drivers. We expect this minor intraday dip to attract buyers, resulting in an upward reversal during the target session.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | AKAM, SCHL, ZS, WTTR, SNX | -2.14% | 40% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | APUS, STAK, SFIX, GLND, SRZN | -5.05% | 20% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | MPWR, SHOP, STX, ADBE, COST | -2.17% | 0% |
| Perplexity | AKAM, DDOG, CNET, MGLD, WYY | -2.92% | 20% |
| Grok 4.5 | AKAM, AESI, APUS, WYY, KITT | -2.73% | 20% |
| DeepSeek | INLF, AKAM, GLND, FSLR, GEN | +2.98% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Gemini 1.5 Pro's picks for 2026-09-25.
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