Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-11-02
Muse Spark 1.1 picked REGN, FDXF, GPN, INTC, RDDT for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: +0.88%. Directions called correctly: 80%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-11-02 |
| Measured to | 2026-11-03 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | +0.88% |
| Directions called correctly | 80% |
| Benchmark return | -0.82% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | REGN | up | +0.97% | +0.97% | 78% | +1.79% | Yes |
| 2 | FDXF | up | -1.46% | -1.46% | 72% | -0.64% | No |
| 3 | GPN | down | -0.65% | +0.65% | 60% | +1.47% | Yes |
| 4 | INTC | down | -3.12% | +3.12% | 68% | +3.94% | Yes |
| 5 | RDDT | up | +1.13% | +1.13% | 65% | +1.95% | Yes |
The model's market view
October 30 2026 was a tech-led selloff with S&P 500 down 1.82% and Nasdaq down about 3.8% late session as 【entity-Intel¦canonical_name=Intel】 Q4 forecast miss and 【entity-Amazon¦canonical_name=Amazon】 earnings disappointment raised doubts about AI capex ROI. Energy led with +1.91% while info tech lagged -4.24%. Extreme movers were earnings and deal driven, creating a split between substantive winners on beats or buyout and substantive losers on guidance cuts, with elevated volume and volatility favoring momentum continuation for strong beats and tactical reversal for oversold earnings misses.
Why each pick
REGN
Ranked among top 2 S&P 500 gainers Oct 30. Closed $927.89 up 13.33% on Friday from $818.77 after Q3 2026 earnings beat, substantive catalyst with volume ~2.87M about 4x average and analyst target hikes. Meets screens: price >$5, market cap $93.11B as of Oct 30 close, avg dollar volume $620.01M. Reference price $966.16 is live intraday quote Nov 2 regular session, up 4.12% from prior close, fresh within hours at answer time, indicating continuation momentum. Thesis continuation up on earnings momentum; risk is overbought near 52-week high and biotech profit taking.
FDXF
Top S&P 500 gainer Oct 30. Closed $126.04 up 14.91% from $109.69 after FedEx Freight Holding first standalone results raised adjusted operating income outlook, substantive catalyst. Meets screens: price $126.04 >$5, market cap $18.85B, avg dollar volume $237.02M. Reference price $130.7 is current price Nov 2 regular session with previous close $126.04, up 3.69% intraday, fresh live quote showing follow-through. Thesis continuation up on standalone earnings strength; risk is recent spin-off volatility and no dividend support.
GPN
NYSE top gainer Oct 30. Closed $96.84 up 12.97% after 【entity-Financial Times¦canonical_name=Financial Times】 reported $40B LBO proposal from CD&R and GTCR to take Global Payments private, catalyst is substantive deal headline but still speculative as unconfirmed. Ranked in S&P top movers with 52-week high. Meets screens: price $96.84 >$5, market cap $25.63B, avg dollar volume $246.69M. Reference price $98.61 is current price Nov 2 regular session vs previous close $96.84, fresh intraday. Thesis reversal down expecting fade of buyout rumor without confirmation and profit taking at yearly high; risk is formal bid confirmation drives continuation up.
INTC
Largest S&P 500 loser Oct 30. Closed $65.76 down 28.58% on volume 455.6M after Q4 forecast miss citing PC inventory headwinds and margin pressure, substantive guidance cut dragging PHLX semis down 7.2%. Meets screens: price $65.76 >$5, market cap $349.51B, avg dollar volume $8.93B. Reference price $63.94 is current price Nov 2 regular session vs previous close $65.76 down -2.76% intraday, fresh live quote showing continued weakness. Thesis continuation down as guide-down and AI ROI concerns persist; risk is deeply oversold bounce with RSI oversold and short covering.
RDDT
Top S&P 500 loser Oct 30. Closed $91.73 down 29.22% after Q3 earnings reported weaker user growth and Q4 revenue forecast below Wall Street, substantive miss leading to largest daily loss since IPO, lowest close past year $89.28 intraday. Meets screens: price $91.73 >$5, market cap $17.71B, avg dollar volume $888.27M with 33M volume vs 5M average. Reference price $93.21 is current price Nov 2 regular session vs previous close $91.73 up 1.61% intraday, fresh live quote indicating early bounce. Thesis reversal up expecting oversold bounce and short covering after overreaction; risk is continuation down on AI search fears and guidance cut.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | INTC, SNDK, CBOE, COIN, ORCL | -0.39% | 40% |
| GPT-6 | REGN, INTC, GPN, BFAM, RDDT | +1.43% | 80% |
| GPT-6.1 Sol | REGN, INTC, RDDT, SNDK, GPN | +0.78% | 80% |
| Perplexity | INTC, REGN, RBLX, GPN, GDDY | +0.67% | 60% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | INTC, RDDT, ON, SOLV, ATEC | +0.79% | 80% |
| Grok 4.7 | FDXF, RDDT, INTC, REGN, GPN | +0.62% | 60% |
| DeepSeek | REGN, CPRI, COIN, INTC, GPN | +0.54% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | INTC, REGN, RBLX, RDDT, GPN | +1.10% | 80% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-11-02.
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