Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-10-01
Muse Spark 1.1 picked ACN, VICR, JBL, LQDA, UTHR for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: -1.90%. Directions called correctly: 20%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-01 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-02 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | -1.90% |
| Directions called correctly | 20% |
| Benchmark return | +1.38% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACN | down | -10.91% | +10.91% | 62% | +9.53% | Yes |
| 2 | VICR | up | -5.61% | -5.61% | 68% | -6.99% | No |
| 3 | JBL | down | +4.87% | -4.87% | 65% | -6.25% | No |
| 4 | LQDA | down | +5.47% | -5.47% | 70% | -6.84% | No |
| 5 | UTHR | up | -4.45% | -4.45% | 67% | -5.83% | No |
The model's market view
October 1 2026 opened Q4 mixed. AI trade revived by Micron beat, Treasury yields rising. Top movers dominated by single-stock catalysts: 【entity-Accenture¦canonical_name=Accenture】 earnings, Vicor royalty guidance, Jabil guidance disappointment, and a binary patent ruling in PAH driving UTHR up and LQDA down sharply. Market breadth is narrow, favoring continuation of substantive catalysts but reversal risk on 20%+ gap ups.
Why each pick
ACN
Rank 1 gainer among large caps. Source session +23.94% on Q4 beat: EPS $3.29 vs $3.19 est, revenue $18.7B, record $84.5B annual bookings, FY27 growth guide 3-6%. Price used is live intraday quote $227.26, stale ~15min, previous close $183.37. Market cap ~$122.5B passes $1B, avg dollar volume ~$1.18B passes $20M, price >$5. Catalyst substantive, not speculative. Hypothesis reversal down: gap +23% on IT services is extreme and likely to fade as valuation catches up to modest growth guide.
VICR
Top gainer +9.85% on Oct 1 after raising Q3 sequential growth guidance to >30% driven by increased royalties from first non-exclusive license for vertical power delivery. Price live $317.39, previous close $288.94, high $331. Source session close confirms $5, $1B, $20M filters. Market cap ~$13.01B in 2026, avg dollar volume ~$255M (853k shares * $300). Substantive catalyst. Continuation up expected as royalty model de-risks AI power delivery revenue.
JBL
Top S&P 500 loser -10.03% despite beating Q4 by $0.35 EPS, opened $288.37, low $285.46. Market focused on timing of FY27 margin guidance $17.55 EPS and cautious outlook. Price $287.43 live, market cap $33.09B ($33089140000) passes, avg volume 1.2M shares ~$360M passes. Substantive earnings catalyst. Continuation down expected as guidance disappointment outweighs beat in high-expectations EMS name.
LQDA
Largest decliner -57.19% after Delaware court ruled Liquidia infringed two UTHR patents on Tyvaso DPI, risking injunction. Trading halted then collapsed from $70.69 prior to $30.26 intraday low. Live price $26.1, market cap ~$6.3B ($6327383300) at source close, avg dollar volume $78.3M passes. Price >$5 before crash but still >$5 now. Catalyst highly substantive legal loss. Continuation down expected as market prices in loss of commercial path and potential damages.
UTHR
Mirror winner to LQDA, +12.55% to $543.86 then $577.33 live, on same patent victory validating Tyvaso franchise. Previous close $541.89, change +$60.42, percent +12.55% per Zacks. Market cap ~$23.31B passes, avg dollar volume $76.3M passes, price $577 passes $5. Catalyst substantive IP protection extends monopoly. Continuation up expected as shorts cover LQDA and rotate to winner, with price near 52-week high $596.76.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | UTHR, JBL, LQDA, FORM, ZETA | -0.68% | 40% |
| Perplexity | FICO, CTVA, LQDA, ACN, SNPS | -1.59% | 20% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | UTHR, ROG, JBL, FORM, LQDA | +1.42% | 60% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | ROG, UTHR, JBL, FORM, ZETA | +2.92% | 100% |
| DeepSeek | HPE, UTHR, FORM, FICO, CEG | +0.21% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: Muse Spark 1.1's picks for 2026-10-01.
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