Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-01
DeepSeek picked HPE, UTHR, FORM, FICO, CEG for a 1-day horizon. Average directional return: +0.21%. Directions called correctly: 40%.
| Experiment | Extreme Movers |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek |
| Prompt version | extreme-movers-v11 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-01 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-02 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Average directional return | +0.21% |
| Directions called correctly | 40% |
| Benchmark return | +1.38% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HPE | up | +9.16% | +9.16% | 70% | +7.78% | Yes |
| 2 | UTHR | up | -4.45% | -4.45% | 80% | -5.83% | No |
| 3 | FORM | up | +1.90% | +1.90% | 65% | +0.52% | Yes |
| 4 | FICO | down | +1.48% | -1.48% | 75% | -2.85% | No |
| 5 | CEG | up | -4.09% | -4.09% | 60% | -5.47% | No |
The model's market view
US equities closed mixed on September 30, 2026, with the S&P 500 down 0.25% and the Nasdaq up 0.11%. Enterprise tech and AI infrastructure names led gainers, while high-beta momentum and biotech names sold off. After-hours action was driven by Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon launch, Micron's earnings beat, and Constellation Energy's Amazon nuclear deal. The picks below favor substantive catalysts—patent rulings, guidance raises, regulatory changes, and long-term contracts—over speculative moves.
Why each pick
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise rose 4.2% in the September 30 source session after raising its FY27 networking segment revenue growth guidance and announcing an order from Vultr to deploy AMD Helios AI Rack systems. The catalyst is substantive and the stock is a large-cap with strong liquidity. I used the regular-session close of $64.06 from 24/7 Wall St., the latest price I could verify (as of September 30, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT). Market cap and average dollar volume are well above the floors. Direction up, continuation.
UTHR
United Therapeutics surged 12.55% in the source session after a federal judge ruled that Liquidia infringed on UTHR's '327 patent covering methods of treating pulmonary hypertension with interstitial lung disease. The patent victory is a substantive catalyst that removes a competitive threat. I used the closing price of $541.89 from Morningstar (September 30, 2026). Market cap and average dollar volume exceed the required floors. Direction up, continuation.
FORM
FormFactor climbed 9.59% in the source session after Deutsche Bank analyst George Brown initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $200 price target. The analyst initiation is a substantive catalyst. I used the closing price of $149.31 from moomoo (September 30, 2026). Market cap and average dollar volume are above the floors. Direction up, continuation.
FICO
Fair Isaac plunged 27.31% in the source session after FHFA Director Bill Pulte introduced a single pricing grid for mortgage pricing, a regulatory change that threatens FICO's mortgage scoring business. The catalyst is substantive and likely to persist, making further downside probable. I used the closing price of $592.47 from Morningstar (September 30, 2026). Market cap and average dollar volume exceed the floors. Direction down, continuation.
CEG
Constellation Energy fell 3.99% in the source session amid FERC delaying a PJM reliability backstop filing. After the close, CEG announced a 20-year power purchase agreement with Amazon to support and expand the Calvert Cliffs Clean Energy Center, sending shares up about 3% after hours. This is a reversal setup: the negative regulatory news is offset by a substantive long-term contract. I used the closing price of $254.02 from Yahoo Finance (September 30, 2026). Market cap and average dollar volume are well above the floors. Direction up, reversal.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Average directional return | Directions called correctly |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | UTHR, JBL, LQDA, FORM, ZETA | -0.68% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | ACN, VICR, JBL, LQDA, UTHR | -1.90% | 20% |
| Perplexity | FICO, CTVA, LQDA, ACN, SNPS | -1.59% | 20% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | UTHR, ROG, JBL, FORM, LQDA | +1.42% | 60% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | ROG, UTHR, JBL, FORM, ZETA | +2.92% | 100% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Extreme Movers: DeepSeek's picks for 2026-10-01.
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