Event Gaps: Perplexity's picks for 2026-09-28
Perplexity picked KNDI, MTN, JEF, POCI, GNS for a 1-day horizon. Intraday alpha vs SPY: +5.01%. Picks with positive alpha: 40%.
| Experiment | Event Gaps |
|---|---|
| Model | Perplexity |
| Prompt version | event-gap-v9 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-09-25 |
| Measured to | 2026-09-28 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Intraday alpha vs SPY | +5.01% |
| Picks with positive alpha | 40% |
| Benchmark return | -0.36% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Gap direction | Price change | Return in the called direction | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KNDI | up | +32.26% | +32.26% | 82% | +32.61% | Yes |
| 2 | MTN | up | +1.66% | +1.66% | 68% | +2.02% | Yes |
| 3 | JEF | up | -0.97% | -0.97% | 65% | -0.61% | No |
| 4 | POCI | up | -4.63% | -4.63% | 60% | -4.27% | No |
| 5 | GNS | up | -5.06% | -5.06% | 55% | -4.71% | No |
The model's market view
The September 28 opening-gap opportunity set is concentrated in small- and mid-cap companies with officially scheduled earnings before or after the target session. The clearest catalyst is Kandi Technologies' scheduled premarket results and 8:00 a.m. ET conference call; Vail Resorts and Jefferies are scheduled to report after the September 28 close, so their anticipated results may influence the target session but cannot be observed before that session ends. Because exact opening prices are unavailable for most names, the gap estimates are event-based forecasts rather than observed moves. [34][42][45]
Why each pick
KNDI
Kandi has the strongest identifiable gap catalyst because its unaudited six-month 2026 results are officially scheduled before the U.S. market opens on September 28, followed by an 8:00 a.m. ET conference call. The stock had already closed at $0.5808 on September 24, up 5.03%, indicating anticipatory positioning; a favorable report could produce a sharp continuation gap up, while weak results, thin liquidity and the stock's speculative profile create severe gap-down risk. The reference price is the latest regular-session close I could verify, not a September 25 live quote. [34][37][55]
MTN
Vail Resorts is officially scheduled to report fiscal fourth-quarter results after the September 28 close, creating a known event that can attract positioning during the target session. The stock closed at $137.82 on September 24 after declining 1.59%, so expectations appear less euphoric, and a favorable result or outlook could trigger a relief gap at the next open; however, the report occurs after the target session and therefore cannot directly set the September 28 opening price. The primary risks are weak guidance, seasonal demand concerns and event timing that postpones the actual gap beyond the scored session. The reference price is the latest regular-session close I could verify. [42][44][53]
JEF
Jefferies has an officially scheduled Q3 2026 earnings announcement after the September 28 close, making it a liquid financial-sector event candidate for anticipatory positioning. The stock closed at $46.24 on September 24, down 1.58%, which leaves room for a relief-style gap if investors expect strong investment-banking or market-sensitive results; nevertheless, the after-close timing means the actual earnings gap should occur after the scored session. Risks include weak trading revenue, investment-banking softness and a negative market backdrop. The reference price is the latest regular-session close I could verify. [42][54]
POCI
Precision Optics has an officially announced fiscal 2026 results release after the September 28 close and a 5:00 p.m. ET conference call. The catalyst is unusually material for a small-cap stock because the company intends to release results and file its 10-K on the same date, which can increase speculative positioning during the target session. The September 28 open gap is still only an expectation because the principal information arrives after the session; risks include weak results, filing-related uncertainty and very limited liquidity. I could not verify a current September 25 traded price from the available sources, so reference_price is omitted. [38]
GNS
Genius Group is listed for a September 28 earnings event in the available earnings calendar, making it a small-cap event-driven candidate with potentially large opening-gap sensitivity. The exact release timing is not established by the available evidence, so this is a lower-confidence selection: anticipation may support a gap up, but uncertain timing, low liquidity and binary earnings risk make a gap down equally plausible. I could not verify a current September 25 traded price from the available sources, so reference_price is omitted. [42][46]
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Intraday alpha vs SPY | Picks with positive alpha |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | AKAM, MSFT, NKE, CMCSA, COST | +0.20% | 60% |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | MU, MIRM, AMD, INTC, CCL | -1.56% | 20% |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | STFS, NKE, WKEY, MRK, WDAY | +1.48% | 80% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | MIRM, INCY, COST, NKE, KNDI | +7.09% | 80% |
| Grok 4.5 | AKAM, SCHL, WTTR, PRME, MU | +0.42% | 60% |
| DeepSeek | AKAM, GRAL, BB, COST, INLF | +6.65% | 80% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Event Gaps: Perplexity's picks for 2026-09-28.
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