Stock Selection: Grok 4's picks for 2026-10-16
Grok 4 picked AA, FOXA, JPM, EAT, ZETA for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: -2.46%. Picks that beat SPY: 0%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4 |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-16 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-19 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | -2.46% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 0% |
| Benchmark return | -0.15% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AA | -5.53% | 72% | -5.39% | No |
| 2 | FOXA | -2.05% | 68% | -1.90% | No |
| 3 | JPM | -1.70% | 65% | -1.55% | No |
| 4 | EAT | -3.58% | 62% | -3.43% | No |
| 5 | ZETA | -0.16% | 60% | -0.01% | No |
The model's market view
SPY is trading flat-to-slightly higher near 771-772 amid mixed sector action: AI/semiconductor pressure continues while financials, materials, and selective upgrades show relative strength. Rotation away from pure AI names into value and catalyst-driven stocks supports outperformance in the selected names over the one-session window.
Why each pick
AA
Alcoa is leading materials gainers after reporting better-than-expected earnings with improved alumina production. Sector strength and positive reaction (up ~7-9% intraday) provide clear momentum versus flat SPY. Risks include commodity price volatility and any broader market risk-off that hits cyclicals. Latest quote reflects regular-session trading around 11:00 ET.
FOXA
BofA double upgrade to Buy with raised $85 target on Roku deal synergies is driving positive reaction (up ~1.6%). Media/entertainment exposure benefits from rotation out of AI while the catalyst remains fresh. Risks include any deal-related regulatory noise or broader risk-off. Quote is regular-session intraday.
JPM
Financials are among the stronger sectors today; JPM is up ~1.8% with banks supporting the Dow. Relative strength versus flat SPY and solid large-cap liquidity favor outperformance into the close and next session. Risks include any shift back to rate-hike fears or weaker-than-expected regional bank reports. Quote is regular-session intraday.
EAT
Raymond James upgrade to Strong Buy with confidence in upcoming earnings beat supports the name amid consumer discretionary resilience. Positive early reaction and sector rotation favor relative gains versus SPY. Risks include restaurant traffic sensitivity to macro data or profit-taking after recent strength. Quote reflects recent regular-session levels.
ZETA
Goldman Sachs upgrade to Buy with $45 target on AI platform momentum and 2027 visibility provides a fresh catalyst. Despite mixed intraday action after strong prior move, the rating change and enterprise growth narrative support outperformance versus flat SPY. Risks include high valuation after YTD gains and any tech-sector spillover. Quote is regular-session intraday.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | URBN, FOX, GDX, FITB, CLF | +0.91% | 20% |
| Gemini 3 Pro | BAC, GS, XLF, MS, TSM | -0.55% | 20% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | REGN, MANH, NOW, CEG, MRNA | +0.55% | 60% |
| Perplexity | WMT, KMX, CROX, FOX, SMTC | -0.92% | 20% |
| DeepSeek | KMX, FTRE, FTAI, NVST, CROX | -1.38% | 20% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Grok 4's picks for 2026-10-16.
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