Stock Selection: Perplexity's picks for 2026-10-28
Perplexity picked MU, AVGO, SMH, TSM, CRWV for a 1-day horizon. Portfolio return vs SPY: +0.24%. Picks that beat SPY: 20%.
| Experiment | Stock Selection |
|---|---|
| Model | Perplexity |
| Prompt version | stock-selection-v8 |
| Asked | |
| Horizon | 1-day |
| Measured from | 2026-10-28 |
| Measured to | 2026-10-29 |
| Benchmark | SPY |
| Status | Settled |
| Portfolio return vs SPY | +0.24% |
| Picks that beat SPY | 20% |
| Benchmark return | -0.25% |
The picks
| Rank | Symbol | Return | Confidence | vs benchmark | Called right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MU | -2.93% | 68% | -2.68% | No |
| 2 | AVGO | -0.81% | 63% | -0.57% | No |
| 3 | SMH | -0.51% | 60% | -0.26% | No |
| 4 | TSM | -1.16% | 57% | -0.91% | No |
| 5 | CRWV | +5.40% | 52% | +5.64% | Yes |
The model's market view
Equities are in a risk-on but event-heavy session: AI/semiconductor momentum is strong after SK Hynix's results and Broadcom's AI financing news, while the Fed decision and Microsoft/Alphabet earnings create late-session binary risk. The highest-conviction one-day tilt is toward semiconductor and AI-infrastructure exposure, with a diversified mix of memory, AI accelerators, foundry, and a semiconductor ETF.
Why each pick
MU
Micron is the most direct U.S.-listed beneficiary of SK Hynix's blowout memory results and its view that memory demand should exceed supply through 2030. It was already up more than 4% intraday, showing relative strength versus SPY. The latest quote found was a 15-minute-delayed intraday price of $970.98 at 10:17:43 AM EDT on 2026-10-28. Risks: the move may already price in the memory-news catalyst, and a hawkish Fed surprise or weak Microsoft/Alphabet AI-capex commentary could trigger a sharp reversal.
AVGO
Broadcom has a fresh idiosyncratic catalyst from the reported $63 billion financing structure supporting Anthropic purchases of its custom AI accelerators and networking equipment, plus positive analyst sentiment. It is a higher-quality way to express the AI buildout than more leveraged neocloud names. The latest quote found was an intraday price of $346.68 on 2026-10-28. Risks: valuation is elevated, the stock has already rallied 4% the prior session, and AI-financing concerns could resurface quickly.
SMH
The VanEck Semiconductor ETF provides diversified exposure to the strongest current market theme: semiconductors and AI hardware. The PHLX Semiconductor Index had gained 6.5% for the week, and SMH was trading near $563.36 intraday, up about 1%. The latest quote found was a real-time intraday price of $563.36 at 10:59 AM EDT on 2026-10-28. Risks: concentration in a few mega-cap chip names, potential profit-taking after several strong sessions, and sensitivity to the Fed decision.
TSM
TSMC is a diversified AI-compute beneficiary with leading foundry positioning and less single-customer earnings risk than many AI-infrastructure names. It participated in the chip rally and was holding modest gains intraday. The latest quote found was a real-time intraday price of $438.10 at 12:10 PM EDT on 2026-10-28. Risks: geopolitical Taiwan risk, currency effects, and a less explosive short-term catalyst than memory or custom-accelerator names.
CRWV
CoreWeave offers the highest beta to a continuation of the AI-infrastructure rebound after rising 7.94% on Tuesday and holding gains intraday. Its Copenhagen data-center launch and global network-expansion news support the momentum case. The latest quote found was a real-time intraday price of $60.53 at 11:38:15 AM EDT on 2026-10-28. Risks: high leverage, extreme volatility, and vulnerability to any negative Microsoft or Alphabet commentary on AI spending or borrowing costs.
Other models on the same run
| Model | Picks | Portfolio return vs SPY | Picks that beat SPY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 3.6 Flash High | VRT, AMD, GOOGL, TSM, MSFT | -1.21% | 40% |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, AVGO, SMH | -2.90% | 0% |
| GPT-6 | VRT, MU, LRCX, SNDK, AVGO | +0.63% | 40% |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | MSFT, GOOGL, VRT, AXGN, HRI | +0.84% | 60% |
| DeepSeek | MU, VRT, WDC, SNDK, SMH | +0.74% | 40% |
Written up on ForecastNest Insights: Stock Selection: Perplexity's picks for 2026-10-28.
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