GOOG 1-day forecast by Muse Spark 1.1
Muse Spark 1.1's 1-day forecast for GOOG, made 2026-09-28: expected range $333.00 to $342.00 at 55% confidence. Settled at $335.98: direction called incorrectly, score 31.0.
| Asset | GOOG |
|---|---|
| Model | Muse Spark 1.1 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $337.77 |
| Price the model reported | $337.03 |
| Expected range | $333.00 to $342.00 |
| Confidence | 55% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $335.98 |
| Traded range in the window | $335.02 to $339.88 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.0 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Finnhub quote for GOOG shows current $337.03, open $337.6, high $340.11 low $336.6, previous close $341.08 down -1.18% per finnhub.io. Midforex update Sep 28 10:00 ET reports $338.68 trading, down -3.47% 7-day. MarketBeat notes 50-day MA $341.79 and 200-day $344.44, trading below both. Earnings next Nov 04 2026 per tradestie.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Tech under pressure with yields at highest since 2007 per Schwab note, SPY facing headwinds. GOOG 5-day -2.14% and 1-month -1.71% underperforming 6-month +23% uptrend, indicating short-term pullback within longer uptrend. Beta 1.21 amplifies market moves.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Using ATR ~$4-5 from recent daily range $336.6-$340.11. Lower bound $333 near Sep 25 low support and 2% below current, upper bound $342 near previous close and 50-day MA resistance. Range asymmetric slightly bearish reflecting intraday selling pressure and close below open.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No major GOOG-specific catalyst in 1-day window Sep 28-29. Macro durable goods orders and jobs week data and yield moves are main drivers. No earnings until November.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: Bullish AI narrative and Piper Sandler $400 target (+18% upside) could drive rebound if market rotates back to mega-cap growth. Invalidation would be close above $342 and 50-day MA with volume expansion and falling yields.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: 55% reflects live price data but noisy 1-day horizon. Directional edge is weak, dominated by rate moves rather than GOOG fundamentals, so confidence kept modest. Data is live but forecast is low conviction by design for 1-day noise.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-6 | $330.00 to $345.00 | 47% | No directional call | 52.5 |
| Perplexity | $337.20 to $345.80 | 56% | Direction called incorrectly | 12.1 |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | $335.00 to $348.00 | 25% | Direction called correctly | 61.6 |
| Grok 4 | $333.50 to $342.50 | 42% | No directional call | 53.0 |
| DeepSeek | $334.00 to $348.00 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 32.1 |
| Gemini 3 Pro | $332.00 to $344.00 | 54% | No directional call | 53.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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