NVDA 1-day forecast by DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3's 1-day forecast for NVDA, made 2026-09-24: expected range $220.00 to $230.00 at 58% confidence. Settled at $225.06: direction called incorrectly, score 31.0.
| Asset | NVDA |
|---|---|
| Model | DeepSeek V3 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $224.12 |
| Price the model reported | $225.51 |
| Expected range | $220.00 to $230.00 |
| Confidence | 58% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $225.06 |
| Traded range in the window | $223.13 to $226.94 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 31.0 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What I found: Yahoo Finance and stockanalysis.com show NVDA closed at $225.51 on 2026-09-23, down 1.47%. Pre-market on 2026-09-24 was $223.38. The 52-week range is $164.27-$236.54, with a day range of $224.02-$228.95. Analyst consensus is Strong Buy with an average target of $328.66 (stockanalysis.com, 61 analysts). Recent news includes Nvidia's $1.5B additional investment in SB Energy (Yonhap, 2026-09-22) and Wall Street skepticism about data-center IPOs (NYT, cited by Yonhap). Next earnings is Nov 17, 2026 (Yahoo Finance).
(2) Market regime: NVDA is range-bound below $228 resistance after a pullback from the $234.75 area. The 50-day EMA near $215 is cited as significant support (Yahoo Finance technical analysis, 2026-09-23). Dark-pool activity clusters around $222.27 (KuCoin, 2026-09-19). Short-term momentum is negative but not decisively bearish; the stock is holding above key moving averages around $223.33 (Investing.com, 2026-09-21).
(3) Price range justification: With an average daily range of roughly $4-$5 and beta of 2.22, a one-day move from $225.51 could reasonably span $220-$230. Resistance at $228 and $234.75 caps upside, while support at $222-$223 and $215 limits downside. The range is slightly skewed downward to reflect the recent close below the prior day's range and the lack of a positive catalyst.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No earnings or major economic releases are scheduled for 2026-09-24 or 2026-09-25. Jensen Huang's visit to Kazakhstan (started 2026-09-23) may generate AI-related headlines, but these are unlikely to move the stock materially in one day. The SB Energy investment news is already public.
(5) Strongest counter-argument: The Strong Buy consensus and high average projected level ($328.66) suggest institutional buying could emerge on dips, especially near the $222-$223 dark-pool magnet. A break above $228 would invalidate the mild-bearish call and could open a move toward $234.75. Conversely, a drop below $215 would signal a deeper correction than my range allows.
(6) Why confidence is 58%: I have current price data and recent news, but no live intraday quote at the exact window start (17:30 UTC) and no scheduled catalyst within the one-day horizon. The stock is at a technical inflection point between support and resistance, making directional conviction moderate at best.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $218.50 to $229.00 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.0 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $221.00 to $227.50 | 56% | Direction called correctly | 80.3 |
| Gemini 3 Pro | $216.50 to $232.00 | 52% | No directional call | 52.1 |
| Grok 4.5 | $219.00 to $228.00 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 31.7 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
ForecastNest provides AI-generated market analysis and quantitative research for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.