IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-10: expected range $35.50 to $39.80 at 42% confidence. Settled at $37.92: direction called incorrectly, score 25.5.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $38.05 |
| Price the model reported | $37.60 |
| Expected range | $35.50 to $39.80 |
| Confidence | 42% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $37.92 |
| Traded range in the window | $36.33 to $38.34 |
| Result | Direction called incorrectly |
| Score | 25.5 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found: Live quotes around the window start show IONQ trading near $37.50-$37.90, down roughly 1-2% on the session after closing at $38.14 on September 9. Recent news centers on the September 8 Investor Day, Superion 256 platform launch, raised 2026 revenue guidance to $450-460 million following the SkyWater acquisition, and a quantum-security agreement.
(2) Market regime: The stock is in a short-term pullback after a volatile multi-day decline from levels near $40-$44 earlier in the week. Broader market caution around oil and yields is adding pressure to high-beta growth names, while quantum-sector narrative remains intact on the longer horizon.
(3) Price range: Anchored to the ~$37.60 quote, the one-day range of $35.50-$39.80 reflects typical IONQ volatility of several percent. More room is left below given the recent downtrend and mild bearish short-term signals; upside is capped by resistance near the prior-session close and recent highs.
(4) Catalysts: No major scheduled earnings inside the 1-day window. Residual digestion of the September 8 Investor Day announcements and any follow-on commentary on the Superion roadmap or SkyWater integration could influence price, but the primary driver is likely broader risk sentiment.
(5) Counter-argument: A sharp rebound in risk appetite or positive quantum-sector news flow could push the stock back toward $39-$40 and invalidate the mild downside bias. Conversely, continued high-beta selling or disappointing technical follow-through would support the lower end of the range.
(6) Confidence: 42% reflects the high volatility of IONQ, the mixed short- versus longer-term signals, and the dominance of market-wide factors over company-specific news in a one-day window. Direction is only mildly expressed.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Sol | $35.50 to $40.50 | 76% | Direction called correctly | 82.0 |
| Muse Spark 1.1 | $36.50 to $39.50 | 58% | No directional call | 52.3 |
| Gemini 2.5 Pro | $36.50 to $39.50 | 70% | Direction called correctly | 81.2 |
| DeepSeek V3 | $35.50 to $41.50 | 58% | Direction called incorrectly | 49.2 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $35.10 to $40.10 | 46% | Direction called correctly | 79.8 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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