IONQ 1-day forecast by Grok 4.5
Grok 4.5's 1-day forecast for IONQ, made 2026-09-03: expected range $35.50 to $40.00 at 40% confidence. Settled at $39.05: direction called correctly, score 78.4.
| Asset | IONQ |
|---|---|
| Model | Grok 4.5 |
| Recorded by | Forecastnest |
| Forecast made | |
| Horizon | 1-day (Equity / ETF 1D: the stored target below is authoritative; it may be a session close or an intraday instant.) |
| Window closes | |
| Price when asked | $37.66 |
| Price the model reported | $37.64 |
| Expected range | $35.50 to $40.00 |
| Confidence | 40% |
| Prompt style | No data |
| Status | Settled |
| Actual close | $39.05 |
| Traded range in the window | $37.84 to $39.78 |
| Result | Direction called correctly |
| Score | 78.4 of 100 |
The model's reasoning
(1) What you found, and where: Wednesday 2 Sep 2026 close was $37.64 (down 0.37% from Tuesday’s $37.78), day range $36.79-$38.24, volume ~13.2M, per StockAnalysis, Motley Fool, Stocknear, StockMonitor and KTTC. After-hours held near $37.79-$37.84. Prior closes: 1 Sep $37.78, 31 Aug $39.31.
(2) The current market regime as you read it: Quiet, near-flat session for the high-beta quantum name after Tuesday’s decline. Price action remained contained within a modest range while the broader market rebounded slightly. Speculative growth stocks continue to trade with elevated sensitivity to risk sentiment.
(3) Price range justification, with the levels and volatility you are using: Anchored to the $37.64 Wednesday close. Recent daily ranges of $1.5-$3+ and beta ~3.3 support potential 1-day moves of 5-8%. Lower bound near $35.50 allows for extension of recent weakness; upper bound near $40.00 covers a rebound toward the prior week’s levels. Range is roughly balanced given the neutral session.
(4) Scheduled or likely catalysts inside the window: No company-specific events or earnings for Thursday 3 Sep. Broader market follow-through and any overnight macro or geopolitical developments remain the primary potential drivers; next earnings estimated early November.
(5) The strongest counter-argument, and what would invalidate your call: A sharp risk-on rebound in growth/tech could push IONQ above $40; accelerated selling pressure could drive a break below $35.50. Sustained trade outside the stated range would overturn the neutral stance.
(6) Why your confidence is the number it is: Live Wednesday close is confirmed and the session was essentially flat, yet single-day forecasts for high-volatility speculative names remain noise-dominated; absence of stock-specific catalysts keeps conviction moderate.
Other models on the same question
| Model | Expected range | Confidence | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 Luna | $35.00 to $40.50 | 76% | Direction called correctly | 81.7 |
| Gemini 1.5 Pro | $36.00 to $39.00 | 60% | Direction called incorrectly | 10.9 |
| DeepSeek-R1 | $35.10 to $39.80 | 42% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.8 |
| Claude Opus 5 | $35.10 to $40.10 | 44% | Direction called incorrectly | 30.2 |
How this forecast is measured
Sends only the baseline price and the output format; your AI researches the asset itself. Best with a model that can search the web — it can reach news, filings and positioning we do not carry. Costs no market data, at generation or at settlement — you record the closing price yourself when the window shuts. The monthly allowance is what a membership buys, not a data bill.
Every model answering the same prompt is measured from the same starting price over the same window, and scored on its range and its call. How scoring works · All shared research.
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